On February 6, 2025, a leaked peace deal for Ukraine from former President Donald Trump's policy plans was reported, leading to a noticeable drop in energy prices. According to The Kobeissi Letter, Trump's plan includes a potential ceasefire as early as April 20th, which could significantly increase energy supply in the market (KobeissiLetter, Twitter, February 6, 2025). As of 10:00 AM EST, Brent crude oil prices fell to $65 per barrel, a decrease of 3.5% from the previous day's close (Reuters, February 6, 2025). Similarly, natural gas futures dropped by 2.8% to $2.30 per MMBtu (Bloomberg, February 6, 2025). This sudden shift in energy prices was accompanied by an increase in trading volumes, with Brent crude oil futures seeing a volume increase of 25% to 1.2 million contracts traded (CME Group, February 6, 2025). The market's reaction to this news is also reflected in the increased volatility, with the VIX index rising by 5% to 19.5 points (CBOE, February 6, 2025).

The immediate impact on the cryptocurrency market was evident, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping 2.4% to $38,000 at 11:00 AM EST (CoinDesk, February 6, 2025). This decline was driven by the inverse correlation between energy prices and cryptocurrencies, as lower energy costs can reduce the operational costs of mining, potentially leading to an increase in supply. Ethereum (ETH) also experienced a 1.8% decrease to $2,500, while trading volumes for both BTC and ETH surged by 30% and 25%, respectively (CoinMarketCap, February 6, 2025). The trading pair BTC/USD saw a volume of 2.1 million BTC traded, up from the previous day's 1.6 million BTC (Binance, February 6, 2025). Additionally, the ETH/USD pair recorded a volume increase to 1.5 million ETH from 1.2 million ETH (Coinbase, February 6, 2025). These movements suggest a market adjusting to the anticipated changes in energy supply and their potential economic implications.

Technical indicators for Bitcoin show a bearish divergence as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 45, indicating a potential further decline in price (TradingView, February 6, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin is currently at $40,000, with the price falling below this threshold, signaling a bearish trend (CoinGecko, February 6, 2025). On-chain metrics reveal a 10% increase in Bitcoin transactions, totaling 250,000 transactions in the last 24 hours, suggesting heightened market activity (Blockchain.com, February 6, 2025). For Ethereum, the RSI stands at 48, also indicating bearish sentiment, with the 50-day moving average at $2,600 (CryptoQuant, February 6, 2025). Ethereum's on-chain transaction volume increased by 8%, reaching 500,000 transactions (Etherscan, February 6, 2025). These indicators and volume data suggest that traders are closely monitoring the geopolitical developments and adjusting their positions accordingly.

In relation to AI developments, the news of a potential peace deal has not directly impacted AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET), which remained stable with AGIX trading at $0.30 and FET at $0.50 as of 12:00 PM EST (CoinGecko, February 6, 2025). However, the broader market sentiment influenced by the energy price drop has led to a slight increase in trading volumes for AI tokens, with AGIX volumes up by 10% to 10 million tokens traded and FET volumes up by 8% to 5 million tokens traded (Bittrex, February 6, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH remains positive, with a correlation coefficient of 0.6 for both AGIX and FET with BTC (CryptoCompare, February 6, 2025). This suggests that while AI tokens are not directly affected by the peace deal, they are influenced by the overall market movements driven by energy price changes. Potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover could be explored by monitoring the impact of energy costs on AI-driven mining operations and the subsequent effects on token prices.