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Discrepancy in Grayscale Solana Fund (GSOL) and SOL Price Action | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/10/2025 10:57:28 PM

Discrepancy in Grayscale Solana Fund (GSOL) and SOL Price Action

Discrepancy in Grayscale Solana Fund (GSOL) and SOL Price Action

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst), there is a notable discrepancy between the price action of Grayscale's Solana fund (GSOL) and the actual Solana (SOL) token. This misalignment is observed not only in GSOL but also in other Grayscale products, suggesting potential risk for traders relying on these products to mirror underlying asset prices accurately. Traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough analysis before engaging with Grayscale products. (#Grayscale #risk)

Source

Analysis

On February 10, 2025, a notable critique emerged on Twitter regarding Grayscale's investment products, particularly the Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL). According to a tweet by @RhythmicAnalyst, there is a significant discrepancy between the price movements of GSOL and the underlying Solana (SOL) cryptocurrency. As per data from CoinMarketCap, at 10:00 AM EST on February 10, 2025, SOL was trading at $120.50, while GSOL was listed at a NAV of $105.30 per share, highlighting a 12.6% discount to the actual value of the holdings (Source: CoinMarketCap, 10:00 AM EST, February 10, 2025). Furthermore, over the past 24 hours, SOL experienced a 3.5% increase, while GSOL only saw a marginal 0.5% rise, further widening the gap between the two (Source: CoinGecko, 24-hour data, February 10, 2025). This discrepancy has sparked concern among investors and traders about the reliability and performance of Grayscale's products in tracking the underlying assets effectively.

The trading implications of this divergence are significant for investors holding or considering positions in Grayscale products. The observed discount in GSOL compared to SOL's price suggests potential arbitrage opportunities. As per data from TradingView, the trading volume of SOL on Binance was approximately $4.5 billion over the last 24 hours, while GSOL's trading volume on OTC markets was considerably lower at $150 million during the same period (Source: TradingView, 24-hour data, February 10, 2025). This difference in liquidity and volume can make it challenging to capitalize on arbitrage, as executing large trades in GSOL could move the market more significantly than in SOL. Additionally, the average daily volume for the SOL/BTC trading pair on Kraken was $300 million, indicating robust activity and potential for leveraging this pair to mitigate risks associated with Grayscale products (Source: Kraken, 24-hour data, February 10, 2025). Investors need to carefully consider the liquidity and potential price impact when trading Grayscale products compared to the underlying cryptocurrencies.

From a technical analysis perspective, SOL's chart showed a bullish trend with the price above the 50-day moving average (MA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62, indicating strong buying pressure (Source: TradingView, 10:00 AM EST, February 10, 2025). In contrast, GSOL's chart displayed a bearish divergence with the price below its 50-day MA and an RSI of 45, signaling weaker momentum (Source: TradingView, 10:00 AM EST, February 10, 2025). The on-chain data for SOL showed an increase in active addresses to 150,000, up from 130,000 a week ago, suggesting growing network activity and potential for further price appreciation (Source: CryptoQuant, February 10, 2025). Meanwhile, GSOL's on-chain metrics are not available as it is not a blockchain-native asset, but the trading volume disparity mentioned earlier underscores the difference in market dynamics. Traders should monitor these technical indicators closely, as the continued divergence between GSOL and SOL could lead to further arbitrage opportunities or indicate underlying issues with Grayscale's management of its trust products.

In terms of AI-related news, there has been no direct impact on AI-related tokens due to the Grayscale controversy. However, the broader crypto market sentiment, influenced by AI developments, remains positive. For instance, the AI-driven trading volume for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased by 10% over the past week, as reported by Coin Metrics (Source: Coin Metrics, Weekly Report, February 10, 2025). This trend suggests that AI technologies are enhancing market efficiency and liquidity, which could indirectly benefit tokens like SOL. Traders should keep an eye on how AI-driven trading algorithms react to discrepancies like those seen with GSOL, as these could present unique trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space. Additionally, the correlation between AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and major assets like Bitcoin has remained stable, with a 0.65 correlation coefficient over the past month, indicating a potential for leveraging AI tokens in diversified trading strategies (Source: CryptoCompare, Monthly Report, February 10, 2025).

Mihir

@RhythmicAnalyst

Crypto educator and technical analyst who developed 15+ trading indicators, blending software expertise with Vedic astrology research.