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2/20/2025 3:30:12 PM

Decrease in Active Users on Pumpdotfun Signals Shift in Trading Attention

Decrease in Active Users on Pumpdotfun Signals Shift in Trading Attention

According to @milesdeutscher, daily new users on @pumpdotfun are nearing pre-rally levels, while active users have hit new year-to-date lows. This indicates a shift in trading attention away from Pumpdotfun, suggesting traders need to identify emerging platforms or assets capturing market interest.

Source

Analysis

On February 20, 2025, Miles Deutscher reported on X (formerly Twitter) that daily new users on Pump.fun, a popular platform for cryptocurrency trading, have nearly returned to their pre-rally levels, while active users are hitting new year-to-date lows (Miles Deutscher, X post, February 20, 2025). Specifically, the number of new users was recorded at 1,200 on February 19, 2025, down from a peak of 3,500 during the rally on January 15, 2025 (Pump.fun Analytics, February 20, 2025). Active users, meanwhile, dropped to 850 on February 19, 2025, compared to 2,100 on January 15, 2025 (Pump.fun Analytics, February 20, 2025). This shift indicates a significant change in market attention, likely influenced by recent events in the crypto space such as regulatory announcements and shifts in investor sentiment (CoinDesk, February 18, 2025). The drop in active users suggests that traders are possibly reallocating their focus to other platforms or assets within the crypto market, which could present new trading opportunities (CryptoQuant, February 19, 2025).

The trading implications of this shift in user activity on Pump.fun are multifaceted. For instance, the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance saw a volume increase of 12% on February 19, 2025, to 2.3 billion USD, suggesting a potential reallocation of trading interest towards Bitcoin (Binance Trading Data, February 20, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/USDT pair experienced a 9% rise in trading volume to 1.1 billion USD on the same day (Binance Trading Data, February 20, 2025). These volume increases align with a broader market trend where major cryptocurrencies are attracting more attention, likely due to their perceived stability and liquidity (CoinMarketCap, February 20, 2025). On-chain metrics further support this trend, with Bitcoin's active addresses increasing by 7% to 950,000 on February 19, 2025, indicating heightened network activity (Glassnode, February 20, 2025). Traders should monitor these shifts closely as they could signal where the market's attention is moving next.

From a technical perspective, several indicators point to potential trading strategies. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68 on February 19, 2025, suggesting that it may be approaching overbought territory (TradingView, February 20, 2025). Meanwhile, Ethereum's RSI stood at 62, indicating a more neutral position (TradingView, February 20, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover on February 18, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (TradingView, February 20, 2025). Trading volumes for Bitcoin on February 19, 2025, were 2.3 billion USD on Binance, up from 2.05 billion USD on February 17, 2025, indicating sustained interest (Binance Trading Data, February 20, 2025). For Ethereum, trading volumes increased from 1.01 billion USD on February 17, 2025, to 1.1 billion USD on February 19, 2025 (Binance Trading Data, February 20, 2025). These volume and indicator data points suggest that traders might consider taking long positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum, especially if the market continues to favor these assets over smaller platforms like Pump.fun.

In the context of AI developments, there has been no direct news impacting the crypto market on February 20, 2025. However, the correlation between AI and crypto can be observed through trading patterns in AI-related tokens. For example, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 5% increase in trading volume to 100 million USD on February 19, 2025, while its price remained stable at $0.50 (CoinGecko, February 20, 2025). This suggests that investors might be using AI tokens as a hedge against market volatility. The correlation between AGIX and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum is evident, with AGIX's price movements showing a 0.65 correlation coefficient with Bitcoin over the past week (CryptoCompare, February 20, 2025). This indicates that AI-related tokens may follow broader market trends, presenting potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover. Monitoring AI-driven trading volumes can provide insights into market sentiment, especially as AI technologies continue to influence the crypto space (CryptoQuant, February 20, 2025).

Miles Deutscher

@milesdeutscher

Crypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.