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Crypto Traders Warned: Focus on Key On-Chain Metrics, Not Just Price Charts – Insights from Milk Road | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/7/2025 3:00:08 PM

Crypto Traders Warned: Focus on Key On-Chain Metrics, Not Just Price Charts – Insights from Milk Road

Crypto Traders Warned: Focus on Key On-Chain Metrics, Not Just Price Charts – Insights from Milk Road

According to Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily), many traders are focusing on the wrong charts, suggesting that on-chain activity, such as wallet growth and transaction volume, provides more actionable trading signals than traditional price charts (source: themilkroad.beehiiv.com, June 7, 2025). The report highlights that recent surges in new wallet addresses and increased on-chain transactions have historically preceded major moves in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. This shift in focus can guide traders toward early trend identification and more strategic entry and exit points in the crypto market.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency and stock markets are intricately connected, and recent insights from industry newsletters like Milk Road have highlighted the importance of monitoring the right charts to capture cross-market opportunities. In a recent post shared on June 7, 2025, Milk Road emphasized that traders might be focusing on irrelevant data while missing critical indicators that bridge traditional finance and crypto markets, according to Milk Road Daily on Twitter. This perspective comes at a time when the S&P 500 has shown a modest uptick of 0.5% as of 10:00 AM EST on June 7, 2025, reflecting cautious optimism among investors. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a 1.2% increase over the past 24 hours, trading at $71,250 as of 11:00 AM EST on June 7, 2025, with trading volume spiking by 15% to $32 billion across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, rising 0.8% to $3,820 during the same timeframe, with a notable $12 billion in trading volume. This correlation between stock market stability and crypto price movements suggests that broader risk appetite in traditional markets could be influencing digital asset performance. For traders, understanding these dynamics is crucial, especially as institutional interest in crypto continues to grow alongside stock market trends. The recent inflow of $1.8 billion into Bitcoin ETFs over the past week, as reported by leading financial outlets, underscores how traditional finance is increasingly intertwined with crypto markets.

From a trading perspective, the current stock market environment presents unique opportunities for crypto investors. The slight uptick in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which gained 0.7% as of 10:30 AM EST on June 7, 2025, indicates a risk-on sentiment that often spills over into cryptocurrencies. Historically, when major indices like the S&P 500 rally, Bitcoin and altcoins such as Ethereum and Solana (SOL) tend to see increased buying pressure. For instance, Solana recorded a 2.1% price increase to $175 as of 11:15 AM EST on June 7, 2025, with a 24-hour trading volume of $3.5 billion. This suggests that traders could capitalize on momentum by entering long positions on BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs during periods of stock market strength. However, risks remain, as sudden reversals in stock indices could trigger sell-offs in crypto due to profit-taking by institutional players. Monitoring cross-market correlations, such as the 0.6 correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 over the past month, is essential for managing exposure. Additionally, the movement of institutional money between stocks and crypto, evidenced by a 10% increase in Bitcoin ETF holdings as of June 6, 2025, highlights the growing overlap between these asset classes, creating potential arbitrage opportunities for savvy traders.

Diving deeper into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 62 as of 11:30 AM EST on June 7, 2025, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory. Ethereum’s RSI is slightly lower at 58, suggesting room for further upside before resistance kicks in. On-chain metrics also paint a promising picture: Bitcoin’s active addresses have increased by 8% over the past 48 hours, reaching 1.2 million as of June 7, 2025, signaling robust network activity. Trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance spiked to $18 billion in the last 24 hours, while ETH/USDT saw $9 billion in the same period, reflecting strong liquidity. In terms of stock-crypto correlations, the Nasdaq’s tech-heavy composition often mirrors sentiment in AI and blockchain-related tokens. For example, tokens like Render Token (RNDR), tied to AI and GPU computing, surged 3.5% to $10.20 as of 11:45 AM EST on June 7, 2025, correlating with a 1.1% rise in Nvidia stock during pre-market trading. Institutional money flow remains a critical factor, as hedge funds have reportedly allocated an additional $500 million to crypto-related stocks and ETFs over the past week, per recent market reports. This cross-market dynamic suggests that traders should watch stock indices and crypto ETF inflows closely for early signals of momentum shifts. For those trading crypto pairs like SOL/USDT or RNDR/USDT, setting tight stop-losses near key support levels—such as $168 for Solana—could mitigate risks tied to sudden stock market downturns. By aligning crypto strategies with stock market trends, traders can better navigate volatility and seize cross-market opportunities.

In summary, the interplay between stock market movements and cryptocurrency performance remains a vital area for traders to monitor. With Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins showing price gains alongside modest stock index rallies as of June 7, 2025, the current environment favors risk-on strategies. However, the high correlation between these markets also means that any negative catalysts in stocks could quickly ripple into crypto, making real-time data analysis essential for informed decision-making.

FAQ:
What is the current correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500?
The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 stands at 0.6 over the past month as of June 7, 2025, indicating a moderate positive relationship where stock market gains often align with Bitcoin price increases.

How can stock market trends impact crypto trading strategies?
Stock market trends, such as the S&P 500’s 0.5% rise on June 7, 2025, often influence risk appetite in crypto markets. Traders can use this to time entries into BTC/USD or ETH/USD pairs during bullish stock periods while setting stop-losses to protect against sudden reversals tied to stock downturns.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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