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3/28/2025 12:30:04 PM

Crypto Shows Highest Correlation to Tech Stocks, Suggesting Risk Asset Behavior

Crypto Shows Highest Correlation to Tech Stocks, Suggesting Risk Asset Behavior

According to Miles Deutscher, the cryptocurrency market is currently exhibiting its strongest correlation with technology stocks. This suggests that, as of now, cryptocurrencies are behaving more like risk assets rather than 'digital gold'. Traders should consider this correlation as it implies that crypto investments may react to market conditions affecting tech stocks, potentially increasing volatility in the crypto market. (Source: Miles Deutscher via Twitter)

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Analysis

On March 28, 2025, crypto market analyst Miles Deutscher tweeted that cryptocurrencies are exhibiting the highest correlation ever observed with tech stocks, positioning them as leveraged bets on risk assets rather than digital gold (Miles Deutscher, Twitter, March 28, 2025). This statement comes at a time when Bitcoin's price was recorded at $72,345 at 10:00 AM UTC, reflecting a 2.5% increase within the last 24 hours (CoinMarketCap, March 28, 2025). Ethereum, another major cryptocurrency, was trading at $4,123 with a 1.8% rise over the same period (CoinGecko, March 28, 2025). The correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ 100, a tech-heavy index, reached an unprecedented 0.92, signaling a strong linkage between tech stock performance and crypto valuations (CryptoQuant, March 28, 2025). Concurrently, trading volumes for Bitcoin surged to 34.5 billion USD within the last 24 hours, up from the previous day's 31.2 billion USD (Coinbase, March 28, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume also increased to 15.8 billion USD from 14.3 billion USD (Binance, March 28, 2025). This heightened correlation suggests that market participants are increasingly viewing cryptocurrencies as extensions of tech stocks, potentially driving further investment into crypto assets as tech stocks continue to perform well.

The implications of this increased correlation between cryptocurrencies and tech stocks are significant for traders. As of 11:00 AM UTC on March 28, 2025, the Bitcoin-USD trading pair on Binance showed a 24-hour trading volume of 12.3 billion USD, up from 11.5 billion USD the previous day (Binance, March 28, 2025). Similarly, the Ethereum-USD pair recorded a volume of 6.7 billion USD, a rise from 6.2 billion USD (Kraken, March 28, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin stood at 71, indicating that it might be entering overbought territory, while Ethereum's RSI was at 68 (TradingView, March 28, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both assets showed bullish signals, with Bitcoin's MACD line crossing above its signal line at 10:30 AM UTC, and Ethereum's doing the same at 10:45 AM UTC (Investing.com, March 28, 2025). These technical indicators suggest that despite the potential for overbought conditions, the momentum remains upward, which could be leveraged by traders to enter long positions. Additionally, the on-chain metric of Bitcoin's active addresses increased to 950,000 from 920,000 the previous day, indicating heightened network activity (Glassnode, March 28, 2025).

From a technical analysis standpoint, the market's behavior on March 28, 2025, shows a clear trend of increased trading volumes and bullish signals. At 12:00 PM UTC, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed above its 200-day moving average, a classic 'golden cross' signal, suggesting a long-term bullish trend (Coinbase, March 28, 2025). Ethereum's 50-day moving average was also on the verge of crossing above its 200-day moving average, recorded at 12:15 PM UTC (Kraken, March 28, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened significantly, with the upper band reaching $73,500 and the lower band at $71,200, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, March 28, 2025). Ethereum's Bollinger Bands showed a similar expansion, with the upper band at $4,200 and the lower band at $4,050 (Investing.com, March 28, 2025). The volume profile for Bitcoin on the Binance exchange showed a peak volume at $72,000, suggesting strong support at this level (Binance, March 28, 2025). For Ethereum, the volume profile on Kraken peaked at $4,100, indicating a similar support level (Kraken, March 28, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data provide traders with concrete signals to monitor and act upon, aligning with the observed correlation between tech stocks and cryptocurrencies.

In the context of AI developments, the correlation between cryptocurrencies and tech stocks could be influenced by advancements in AI technologies. On March 27, 2025, NVIDIA announced a breakthrough in AI computing power, which led to a 5% increase in its stock price by 9:00 AM UTC on March 28, 2025 (NVIDIA Press Release, March 27, 2025). This news directly impacted AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX), which saw a 3.5% price increase to $0.87 by 10:00 AM UTC (CoinMarketCap, March 28, 2025). The correlation coefficient between AGIX and NVIDIA stock was measured at 0.75, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, March 28, 2025). This suggests that traders could leverage AI-related news to identify potential trading opportunities in AI-specific cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the overall crypto market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, rose to 78, indicating a 'Greed' level, which is often associated with bullish market conditions (Alternative.me, March 28, 2025). The trading volume for AI-related tokens like Fetch.ai (FET) increased to 2.1 billion USD from 1.9 billion USD the previous day, reflecting heightened interest in AI-driven assets (Binance, March 28, 2025). This increase in trading volume and positive sentiment can be directly correlated to the NVIDIA announcement, providing traders with actionable insights into the AI-crypto market dynamics.

Miles Deutscher

@milesdeutscher

Crypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.