Crypto Cycle 2025: Robust Blockchain Infrastructure Signals Longer Bull Run, Says Matt Hougan

According to Matt Hougan, the cryptocurrency market is poised for a longer and larger cycle in 2025 due to significantly improved blockchain infrastructure, despite the regulatory suppression of applications and real-world use cases from 2020 to 2024 (Source: @Matt_Hougan, Twitter, May 29, 2025). Hougan emphasizes that while strict regulations previously limited growth, ongoing advancements in scalability, security, and on-chain transaction efficiency have positioned the market for stronger adoption and sustained upward trends. Traders should monitor infrastructure-focused tokens and sectors like DeFi and Layer 2 solutions, as these areas are likely to benefit most from renewed institutional and retail interest as regulatory climates shift.
SourceAnalysis
From a trading perspective, the implications of this anticipated cycle are profound, particularly when considering cross-market dynamics with traditional stocks. The strengthening crypto infrastructure, as highlighted by industry experts like Matt Hougan on May 29, 2025, could attract institutional investors who have been cautious due to past regulatory uncertainty. This is evident in the correlation between crypto assets and tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which saw a 1.3% increase to 18,200 points on October 31, 2024, per Yahoo Finance data, mirroring Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Trading opportunities emerge in pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, where daily trading volumes reached $15 billion and $8 billion respectively on October 30, 2024, according to CoinMarketCap. For crypto traders, this cycle could signal a shift in risk appetite, with potential inflows from stock market investors diversifying into digital assets. Moreover, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN) saw a 2.7% rise to $225 on October 31, 2024, as reported by Google Finance, reflecting growing confidence in the sector. Traders should monitor these correlations for hedging opportunities, especially as on-chain metrics like Bitcoin’s daily active addresses hit 710,000 on November 1, 2024, per Glassnode data, indicating sustained user engagement that could drive further price action.
Diving deeper into technical indicators and market correlations, the current crypto cycle shows promising signs for sustained growth. Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 62 on November 1, 2024, suggesting bullish momentum without overbought conditions, as per TradingView data. Ethereum’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also turned positive on the same date, indicating potential for continued upward movement. Trading volumes across major exchanges like Binance and Kraken spiked, with BTC/USDT pairs recording $10 billion in 24-hour volume on October 30, 2024, according to CoinMarketCap. Cross-market analysis further reveals a 0.75 correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 over the past 30 days as of November 1, 2024, based on data from Macroaxis, highlighting how macro sentiment in equities influences crypto markets. Institutional money flow is also evident, with Bitcoin ETF inflows reaching $300 million on October 31, 2024, as reported by Bloomberg Terminal, underscoring growing traditional finance interest. For traders, key levels to watch include Bitcoin’s resistance at $70,000, breached briefly at 14:00 UTC on November 1, 2024, per CoinGecko, and support at $67,000. Altcoins like SOL/USDT, with a 24-hour volume of $3.2 billion on November 1, 2024, per CoinMarketCap, offer breakout potential if macro conditions remain favorable.
In terms of stock-crypto market interplay, the robust infrastructure narrative ties directly to institutional adoption, which could amplify this cycle’s duration and scale. As tech stocks rally—evidenced by NVIDIA (NVDA) climbing 2.1% to $135 on October 31, 2024, per Google Finance—crypto assets tied to blockchain technology and AI applications may see secondary benefits. This institutional shift could further impact crypto ETFs, with trading volumes for products like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) increasing by 15% to $500 million on October 30, 2024, as noted by Morningstar data. Traders should remain vigilant for volatility spikes, especially as regulatory news unfolds, potentially affecting both stock and crypto markets simultaneously. The current cycle, bolstered by infrastructure resilience and cross-market momentum, presents a unique window for strategic positioning in both asset classes.
FAQ:
What are the key price levels to watch for Bitcoin in this cycle?
As of November 1, 2024, traders should monitor Bitcoin’s resistance at $70,000, briefly surpassed at 14:00 UTC, and support at $67,000, based on recent price action reported by CoinGecko. These levels could dictate short-term momentum.
How are stock market movements influencing crypto prices currently?
There’s a notable 0.75 correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 over the past 30 days as of November 1, 2024, per Macroaxis data, with tech stock gains like NVIDIA’s 2.1% rise on October 31, 2024, supporting crypto bullishness.
Matt Hougan
@Matt_HouganBitwise Invest's CIO and FutureProof co-founder, former ETF.com CEO bringing deep investment expertise to digital assets.