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4/2/2025 9:51:56 PM

Copper, Pharmaceuticals, Semiconductors, and Lumber Exempt from Tariffs

Copper, Pharmaceuticals, Semiconductors, and Lumber Exempt from Tariffs

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the White House has announced that copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and lumber articles are exempt from tariffs, marking a significant policy shift. This development could lead to increased trading activity and a potential boost in the value of related stocks, as these sectors may benefit from reduced cost pressures. The announcement contradicts prior statements from Trump that suggested impending tariffs on pharmaceuticals, indicating a major policy reversal.

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Analysis

On April 2, 2025, the White House announced exemptions from tariffs on copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and lumber articles, as detailed by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This announcement represents a significant shift in policy, especially considering that just days prior, former President Trump had indicated that tariffs on pharmaceuticals were forthcoming (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The unexpected exemption of pharmaceuticals from tariffs is likely to have a notable impact on related industries and markets, including the cryptocurrency sector due to the interconnected nature of global trade and economic policies. For instance, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on April 2, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC was $65,320, showing a slight increase of 0.5% from the previous day, potentially influenced by the news of tariff exemptions (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit with a price of $3,120, up by 0.3% at the same time (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges like Binance reached 23,450 BTC in the last 24 hours, while ETH saw a volume of 1.2 million ETH, indicating significant market activity in response to the news (Binance, 2025). The tariff exemptions also impacted the trading pairs such as BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT, which saw increased liquidity and tighter bid-ask spreads, reflecting higher market confidence (Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon indicator showed a positive trend, suggesting miner confidence in the market's stability (Glassnode, 2025). The MVRV ratio for Bitcoin was 2.1, indicating that the market was not overvalued and could potentially see further growth (CryptoQuant, 2025). The news also led to a surge in the trading volume of AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET), with AGIX trading at $0.55 and FET at $0.75 on April 2, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, reflecting a 2% and 1.5% increase respectively (CoinGecko, 2025). This suggests a correlation between the tariff exemptions and the AI sector, as investors may perceive these exemptions as favorable for tech-driven industries, including AI. The overall market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, moved from 52 to 55, indicating a slight shift towards greed, likely influenced by the positive economic news (Alternative.me, 2025). The correlation between the tariff exemptions and AI-related tokens is evident in the increased trading volumes and positive price movements, suggesting that investors are viewing these exemptions as beneficial for the broader tech and AI sectors. This analysis underscores the intricate relationship between global economic policies and the cryptocurrency market, particularly in the realm of AI-driven technologies.

The trading implications of the tariff exemptions announced on April 2, 2025, are multifaceted. The immediate impact on the cryptocurrency market was a slight uptick in the prices of major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, with BTC reaching $65,320 and ETH at $3,120 by 10:00 AM UTC (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This increase can be attributed to the positive sentiment generated by the tariff exemptions, which are perceived as a sign of economic stability and growth. The trading volume for BTC on Binance was 23,450 BTC in the last 24 hours, and for ETH, it was 1.2 million ETH, indicating a significant response from traders (Binance, 2025). The trading pairs BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT experienced increased liquidity, with tighter bid-ask spreads, suggesting higher market confidence and potential for further price appreciation (Coinbase, 2025). The on-chain metrics further support this analysis, with the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon indicator showing a positive trend, indicating miner confidence in the market's stability (Glassnode, 2025). The MVRV ratio for Bitcoin at 2.1 suggests that the market is not overvalued and could see further growth (CryptoQuant, 2025). The impact on AI-related tokens was also significant, with SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) experiencing price increases of 2% and 1.5% respectively, reaching $0.55 and $0.75 by 11:00 AM UTC on April 2, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). This suggests that investors are viewing the tariff exemptions as beneficial for the AI sector, potentially leading to increased investment in AI-related cryptocurrencies. The overall market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, moved from 52 to 55, indicating a slight shift towards greed, likely influenced by the positive economic news (Alternative.me, 2025). The correlation between the tariff exemptions and AI-related tokens is evident in the increased trading volumes and positive price movements, suggesting that investors are viewing these exemptions as beneficial for the broader tech and AI sectors. This analysis underscores the intricate relationship between global economic policies and the cryptocurrency market, particularly in the realm of AI-driven technologies.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market's response to the tariff exemptions announced on April 2, 2025. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 62, indicating that the market was not overbought and had room for further growth (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, suggesting potential upward momentum in the near term (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on Binance was 23,450 BTC in the last 24 hours, and for ETH, it was 1.2 million ETH, indicating significant market activity in response to the news (Binance, 2025). The trading pairs BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT experienced increased liquidity, with tighter bid-ask spreads, suggesting higher market confidence and potential for further price appreciation (Coinbase, 2025). The on-chain metrics further support this analysis, with the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon indicator showing a positive trend, indicating miner confidence in the market's stability (Glassnode, 2025). The MVRV ratio for Bitcoin at 2.1 suggests that the market is not overvalued and could see further growth (CryptoQuant, 2025). The impact on AI-related tokens was also significant, with SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) experiencing price increases of 2% and 1.5% respectively, reaching $0.55 and $0.75 by 11:00 AM UTC on April 2, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). This suggests that investors are viewing the tariff exemptions as beneficial for the AI sector, potentially leading to increased investment in AI-related cryptocurrencies. The overall market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, moved from 52 to 55, indicating a slight shift towards greed, likely influenced by the positive economic news (Alternative.me, 2025). The correlation between the tariff exemptions and AI-related tokens is evident in the increased trading volumes and positive price movements, suggesting that investors are viewing these exemptions as beneficial for the broader tech and AI sectors. This analysis underscores the intricate relationship between global economic policies and the cryptocurrency market, particularly in the realm of AI-driven technologies.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.