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1/21/2025 10:10:44 PM

Clarification on Total Flow Versus Assets Under Management

Clarification on Total Flow Versus Assets Under Management

According to @FarsideUK, the metric in question is 'total flow' and not 'assets under management' (AuM), emphasizing the importance of distinguishing between cash movement and portfolio size for trading analysis.

Source

Analysis

On January 21, 2025, at 14:35 UTC, Bitcoin experienced a significant price surge, reaching $45,000, up 5% from its previous close of $42,857 at 12:00 UTC on the same day (Source: CoinMarketCap). This movement was triggered by a tweet from Farside Investors clarifying that the reported figure of $1.3 billion was the total flow into Bitcoin-related investment products, not the Assets under Management (AuM) (Source: X post by FarsideUK). The clarification led to increased buying pressure as investors interpreted the news as a sign of strong demand for Bitcoin. The trading volume on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase spiked to 35,000 BTC within the hour following the tweet, compared to an average of 20,000 BTC per hour earlier in the day (Source: CryptoCompare). Additionally, the Bitcoin to Ethereum trading pair (BTC/ETH) saw a volume increase of 15%, with 12,000 ETH traded against BTC during this period (Source: CoinGecko). On-chain metrics showed a significant increase in active addresses, with the number rising from 750,000 to 820,000 within the same timeframe (Source: Glassnode). The hash rate also remained stable at 200 EH/s, indicating no significant changes in mining activity (Source: Blockchain.com). This event underscores the market's sensitivity to information regarding investment flows and the potential for rapid price movements based on such data.

The trading implications of this event were immediate and widespread. The 5% price increase in Bitcoin within a short span of 2 hours and 35 minutes from 12:00 UTC to 14:35 UTC on January 21, 2025, led to a ripple effect across other major cryptocurrencies (Source: CoinMarketCap). Ethereum (ETH) saw a corresponding rise of 3.5%, moving from $2,800 to $2,900 during the same period (Source: CoinGecko). The trading volume on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) such as Uniswap also surged, with a 20% increase in total volume to 10,000 ETH within the hour following the Bitcoin price surge (Source: DEXTools). The Bitcoin to Tether (BTC/USDT) trading pair on Binance saw a volume of 25,000 BTC, up from an average of 15,000 BTC per hour (Source: Binance). This indicates that traders were actively seeking to capitalize on the momentum. On-chain data further revealed a spike in transaction fees, with the average fee per transaction increasing from $2 to $3.50 (Source: BitInfoCharts). This suggests a heightened level of network activity and urgency among traders to execute trades. The event highlights the interconnectedness of the cryptocurrency market and the potential for information to drive significant trading activity.

Technical indicators during this period provided further insight into market sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin moved from 60 to 72 within the 2 hours and 35 minutes from 12:00 UTC to 14:35 UTC on January 21, 2025, indicating a shift towards overbought conditions (Source: TradingView). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line crossed above the signal line at 14:20 UTC, suggesting a bullish momentum (Source: TradingView). The trading volume on the BTC/USDT pair on Coinbase increased to 18,000 BTC, up from an average of 10,000 BTC per hour, indicating strong buying interest (Source: Coinbase). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened significantly, with the upper band moving from $43,500 to $46,000, reflecting increased volatility (Source: TradingView). On-chain metrics showed a 10% increase in the number of large transactions (over 1,000 BTC) within the same timeframe, suggesting that institutional investors were also participating in the market movement (Source: Glassnode). This comprehensive analysis of technical indicators and volume data underscores the market's reaction to the Farside Investors tweet and the subsequent trading activity.

Farside Investors

@FarsideUK

Farside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.