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4/4/2025 11:33:30 AM

China Imposes 34% Tariff on All US Imports and Expands 'Unreliable Entities' List

China Imposes 34% Tariff on All US Imports and Expands 'Unreliable Entities' List

According to The Kobeissi Letter, China has announced a 34% tariff on all US imports and has added 11 American companies to its 'unreliable entities' list, along with 16 to its 'export control' list. This move could significantly impact US companies' trade and profitability, potentially affecting market sentiments and causing volatility in related stocks and cryptocurrencies.

Source

Analysis

On April 4, 2025, China announced a significant escalation in its trade war with the United States by imposing a 34% tariff on all US imports, effective immediately (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, April 4, 2025). Additionally, China added 11 American companies to its 'unreliable entities' list and 16 to its 'export control' list, signaling a further tightening of economic relations (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, April 4, 2025). This move was anticipated but had been largely ignored by markets until its official announcement. The immediate impact on the cryptocurrency market was a sharp decline in major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped from $65,000 to $62,000 within the first hour of the announcement (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, falling from $3,200 to $3,050 during the same period (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). The trading volume for BTC surged by 25% to 15 billion USD, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). Similarly, ETH's trading volume increased by 20% to 7.5 billion USD (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). The market sentiment shifted towards risk aversion, with investors moving towards stablecoins like USDT, which saw a 10% increase in trading volume to 5 billion USD (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC).

The trading implications of China's tariff announcement are profound. The immediate drop in BTC and ETH prices suggests a flight to safety among investors, with a notable increase in trading volumes indicating a rush to liquidate positions. The BTC/USD trading pair saw a significant increase in sell orders, with the order book depth on major exchanges like Binance showing a 30% increase in sell orders within the first two hours of the announcement (Source: Binance, April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). The ETH/USD pair experienced a similar trend, with a 25% increase in sell orders (Source: Binance, April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM UTC). On-chain metrics further highlight the market's reaction, with the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network increasing by 15% to 1.2 million, suggesting heightened activity and potential panic selling (Source: Glassnode, April 4, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC). The Ethereum network saw a 10% increase in active addresses to 800,000 (Source: Glassnode, April 4, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC). The market's reaction to the tariff announcement underscores the interconnectedness of global economic policies and cryptocurrency markets, with investors seeking to mitigate risk through asset reallocation.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market's response to the tariff announcement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 to 55 within the first hour, indicating a shift from overbought to neutral territory (Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). ETH's RSI followed a similar pattern, falling from 65 to 50 (Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting a potential continuation of the downward trend (Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). ETH's MACD also indicated a bearish crossover (Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). The Bollinger Bands for both BTC and ETH widened, reflecting increased volatility in the market (Source: TradingView, April 4, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance increased by 30% to 10 billion USD, while the ETH/USDT pair saw a 25% increase to 5 billion USD (Source: Binance, April 4, 2025, 11:30 AM UTC). These technical indicators and volume data suggest a market in flux, with investors reacting to the tariff announcement by adjusting their positions and seeking to capitalize on the increased volatility.

In the context of AI-related news, the tariff announcement's impact on AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) was notable. AGIX dropped from $0.50 to $0.45 within the first hour of the announcement (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC), while FET fell from $0.80 to $0.75 (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 15% to 200 million USD (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC), and FET's volume rose by 10% to 150 million USD (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 4, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH was evident, with both AGIX and FET following the downward trend of the broader market. The AI-crypto crossover presents potential trading opportunities, as investors may seek to capitalize on the volatility in AI tokens. The influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment is also noteworthy, with the tariff announcement potentially affecting investor confidence in AI-driven projects. AI-driven trading volumes may see fluctuations as investors adjust their strategies in response to the broader market dynamics.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.