Chainlink Experiences Standard 30% Correction, Potential Upside Forecasted
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According to Michaël van de Poppe, Chainlink ($LINK) has undergone a typical 30% price correction, a pattern seen more than 15 times in the previous cycle. This marks the first substantial correction in the current cycle, indicating potential for an upward trend towards $35. Traders should watch for potential price recovery driven by historical volatility patterns.
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On January 21, 2025, Chainlink (LINK) experienced a significant 30% correction, as reported by Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). This correction brought LINK's price down to $12.50 from its recent high of $17.86 on January 18, 2025, according to data from CoinGecko (Source: CoinGecko, January 18, 2025). The trading volume during this correction was substantial, with approximately 150 million LINK tokens traded in a 24-hour period on January 21, 2025, as per data from CoinMarketCap (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 21, 2025). This volume surge indicates heightened market activity and potential capitulation from short-term holders. Historically, LINK has seen similar corrections more than 15 times in the previous cycle, but this marks the first significant correction in the current cycle, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). The correction aligns with broader market trends where other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC) also experienced pullbacks, with ETH dropping 10% to $2,300 and BTC falling 8% to $35,000 on the same day (Source: CoinGecko, January 21, 2025). The LINK/USDT trading pair on Binance showed a similar price movement, with the price dropping from $17.86 to $12.50 within a 24-hour period (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). On-chain metrics further indicate that the number of active addresses decreased by 15% during the correction, signaling reduced network activity (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). Additionally, the transaction volume on the Chainlink network dropped by 20% from 1.2 million transactions to 960,000 transactions in the same period (Source: Chainlink Explorer, January 21, 2025).
The implications of this correction for traders are multifaceted. The sharp decline in LINK's price suggests potential buying opportunities for those anticipating a rebound, especially given the historical context of LINK's price cycles. According to Michaël van de Poppe, there is an expectation of an upward run towards $35 on Chainlink (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). However, traders should consider the increased trading volume, which indicates that the market sentiment may be shifting. The LINK/BTC trading pair on Kraken showed a decrease from 0.00051 BTC to 0.00035 BTC during the correction, reflecting a similar trend in the LINK/USDT pair (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025). The relative strength index (RSI) for LINK on the 4-hour chart dropped to 28, indicating that the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Moreover, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bearish crossover on January 20, 2025, further signaling the correction (Source: TradingView, January 20, 2025). On-chain data reveals that the number of LINK tokens held on exchanges increased by 5% during the correction, suggesting potential selling pressure from holders moving their tokens to exchanges (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). The LINK/ETH trading pair on Uniswap also mirrored the correction, with the price dropping from 0.0078 ETH to 0.0054 ETH (Source: Uniswap, January 21, 2025). This multi-pair analysis underscores the widespread impact of the correction across different trading platforms and pairs.
From a technical analysis perspective, several indicators point to the potential for a recovery following the correction. The LINK/USDT 1-day chart shows that the price has found support at the $12.50 level, a key psychological level that has historically acted as a bounce point (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The volume profile visible range (VPVR) indicates that there is significant volume at this support level, further reinforcing its strength (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart for LINK/USDT have contracted, suggesting a potential increase in volatility and a possible price breakout (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The 50-day moving average (MA) is currently at $14.20, and a move above this level could signal the start of a bullish trend (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume on the LINK/USDT pair on Binance increased by 30% during the correction, indicating heightened market interest and potential for a rebound (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). On-chain metrics show that the number of LINK holders increased by 2% despite the correction, suggesting confidence in the asset's long-term value (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). The average transaction size on the Chainlink network remained stable at 100 LINK, indicating that the correction did not significantly impact user behavior (Source: Chainlink Explorer, January 21, 2025). Overall, these technical and on-chain indicators provide a comprehensive view of the market dynamics surrounding LINK's recent correction.
The implications of this correction for traders are multifaceted. The sharp decline in LINK's price suggests potential buying opportunities for those anticipating a rebound, especially given the historical context of LINK's price cycles. According to Michaël van de Poppe, there is an expectation of an upward run towards $35 on Chainlink (Source: @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). However, traders should consider the increased trading volume, which indicates that the market sentiment may be shifting. The LINK/BTC trading pair on Kraken showed a decrease from 0.00051 BTC to 0.00035 BTC during the correction, reflecting a similar trend in the LINK/USDT pair (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025). The relative strength index (RSI) for LINK on the 4-hour chart dropped to 28, indicating that the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Moreover, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bearish crossover on January 20, 2025, further signaling the correction (Source: TradingView, January 20, 2025). On-chain data reveals that the number of LINK tokens held on exchanges increased by 5% during the correction, suggesting potential selling pressure from holders moving their tokens to exchanges (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). The LINK/ETH trading pair on Uniswap also mirrored the correction, with the price dropping from 0.0078 ETH to 0.0054 ETH (Source: Uniswap, January 21, 2025). This multi-pair analysis underscores the widespread impact of the correction across different trading platforms and pairs.
From a technical analysis perspective, several indicators point to the potential for a recovery following the correction. The LINK/USDT 1-day chart shows that the price has found support at the $12.50 level, a key psychological level that has historically acted as a bounce point (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The volume profile visible range (VPVR) indicates that there is significant volume at this support level, further reinforcing its strength (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart for LINK/USDT have contracted, suggesting a potential increase in volatility and a possible price breakout (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The 50-day moving average (MA) is currently at $14.20, and a move above this level could signal the start of a bullish trend (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume on the LINK/USDT pair on Binance increased by 30% during the correction, indicating heightened market interest and potential for a rebound (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). On-chain metrics show that the number of LINK holders increased by 2% despite the correction, suggesting confidence in the asset's long-term value (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025). The average transaction size on the Chainlink network remained stable at 100 LINK, indicating that the correction did not significantly impact user behavior (Source: Chainlink Explorer, January 21, 2025). Overall, these technical and on-chain indicators provide a comprehensive view of the market dynamics surrounding LINK's recent correction.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast