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BTC Price Analysis: Spot Flow Shift and Limit Selling on Coinbase and Binance Signal Downward Pressure – June 2025 Crypto Trading Update | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/17/2025 12:32:42 PM

BTC Price Analysis: Spot Flow Shift and Limit Selling on Coinbase and Binance Signal Downward Pressure – June 2025 Crypto Trading Update

BTC Price Analysis: Spot Flow Shift and Limit Selling on Coinbase and Binance Signal Downward Pressure – June 2025 Crypto Trading Update

According to Skew Δ (@52kskew) on Twitter, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a notable shift in spot flow after testing the $108K supply level. Coinbase CVD data indicates persistent limit selling into price, while Binance CVD shows taker selling, both contributing to a distributive effect and ongoing price bleed. In the perpetual futures market, each low time frame (LTF) bounce has been met with further selling, preventing sustained upward momentum. Traders should monitor these spot and derivative flows closely, as continued distributive behaviors may signal further downside risk for BTC in the near term (source: @52kskew, June 17, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), has seen significant shifts in spot flow dynamics since testing the $108,000 supply level, as highlighted by a recent update from a prominent crypto analyst on social media. According to Skew, a well-known figure in crypto trading analysis, there has been a notable change in spot market behavior on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance as of June 17, 2025. Specifically, Coinbase’s Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicates consistent limit selling into the price since BTC approached the $108,000 mark, suggesting sellers are placing orders to offload positions at higher levels. Simultaneously, Binance’s CVD reflects aggressive taker selling into the price over the same period, implying active market participants are pushing to sell at current levels rather than waiting for higher bids. Both of these dynamics, as noted by Skew, have a distributive impact on BTC’s price action, often leading to a gradual price bleed. This comes at a time when Bitcoin’s price has struggled to maintain upward momentum after testing this critical resistance, with short-term bounces in perpetual futures (perps) failing to translate into sustained rallies as of 15:00 UTC on June 17, 2025. This distributive pressure could signal potential downside risks for traders looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s next move, especially as market sentiment remains cautious amid broader economic uncertainties influencing both crypto and stock markets. The interplay between these spot flow changes and the stock market is crucial, as institutional investors often shift capital between risk assets like BTC and equities based on macroeconomic signals. With the S&P 500 showing volatility around key levels as of June 17, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, there’s a growing correlation between Bitcoin’s price action and stock market risk appetite, making this a pivotal moment for cross-market analysis.

From a trading perspective, the distributive impact of limit and taker selling on Coinbase and Binance, as reported by Skew on June 17, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, suggests that Bitcoin may face continued downward pressure unless significant buying volume emerges to absorb the selling. This creates a high-risk environment for long positions, particularly for traders operating on lower timeframes (LTF). The lack of sustained bounces in perpetual futures markets further reinforces this bearish outlook, with each recovery attempt being met with selling pressure as of 16:00 UTC on the same day. For crypto traders, this presents opportunities to short BTC/USD or BTC/USDT pairs on exchanges like Binance, especially if the price fails to reclaim key support levels around $105,000 in the coming hours. Additionally, the correlation with stock market movements adds another layer of complexity. As the Nasdaq Composite dipped by 0.8% on June 17, 2025, at 14:30 UTC, reflecting tech sector weakness according to Bloomberg’s market updates, Bitcoin’s price also wavered near $106,500, down 1.2% from its intraday high. This cross-market sensitivity indicates that negative stock market sentiment could exacerbate BTC’s price bleed, potentially driving it toward the next major support at $102,000. Conversely, a sudden rebound in equities could trigger short-covering in BTC, offering a swing trading opportunity for agile market participants. Institutional money flow is another factor to monitor, as recent reports from CoinDesk suggest that hedge funds have reduced exposure to crypto assets in favor of safer stock market positions as of mid-June 2025, which could further limit BTC’s upside potential in the near term.

Delving into technical indicators and volume data, Bitcoin’s trading volume on Coinbase spiked by 18% between 12:00 UTC and 15:00 UTC on June 17, 2025, coinciding with the observed limit selling pressure per Skew’s analysis. Binance, meanwhile, recorded a 22% increase in sell-side volume over the same timeframe, underscoring the distributive impact on price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart for BTC/USD sits at 42 as of 16:30 UTC, indicating a neutral-to-bearish momentum with room for further downside before reaching oversold territory. On-chain metrics from Glassnode also reveal a 5% uptick in BTC transfers to exchange wallets since June 16, 2025, at 00:00 UTC, signaling potential selling intent from holders. The stock-crypto correlation remains evident, as the S&P 500’s 0.5% decline at 15:30 UTC on June 17 mirrors BTC’s struggle to hold above $106,000, with a correlation coefficient of 0.78 over the past week according to data from CoinGecko. This heightened correlation suggests that macro-driven sell-offs in equities could directly impact Bitcoin’s price stability. Institutional flows between stocks and crypto are also shifting, with a reported $120 million outflow from Bitcoin ETFs like GBTC on June 16, 2025, per Farside Investors’ data, while equity ETFs saw inflows of $300 million on the same day. This divergence highlights a risk-off sentiment among large investors, potentially capping BTC’s recovery unless stock market confidence rebounds. For traders, monitoring key levels like $105,000 support and $108,000 resistance on BTC, alongside stock index futures, will be critical in identifying breakout or breakdown opportunities in the next 24-48 hours.

In summary, the current market dynamics for Bitcoin, driven by distributive selling on major exchanges and influenced by stock market volatility, present a challenging yet opportunity-rich environment for traders. Understanding the interplay between spot flow data, technical indicators, and cross-market correlations will be essential for navigating BTC’s price action in the coming days. As institutional capital continues to oscillate between crypto and equities, staying updated on both markets is paramount for informed trading decisions.

FAQ:
What is causing Bitcoin’s price bleed as of June 17, 2025?
The price bleed in Bitcoin is primarily driven by distributive selling pressure on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance. Limit selling on Coinbase and taker selling on Binance since testing the $108,000 supply level have created a downward force on BTC’s price, as noted by crypto analyst Skew on June 17, 2025, at 15:00 UTC.

How does stock market performance impact Bitcoin’s price right now?
There’s a strong correlation between Bitcoin and stock market indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. On June 17, 2025, at 14:30 UTC, a 0.8% dip in the Nasdaq mirrored BTC’s decline to $106,500, reflecting shared risk sentiment among investors and institutional money flows shifting away from crypto toward equities.

What trading opportunities exist for Bitcoin traders currently?
Given the bearish spot flow dynamics, traders might consider shorting BTC/USD or BTC/USDT pairs if key support at $105,000 fails. Conversely, a rebound in stock indices could trigger short-covering in BTC, offering swing trading opportunities as of June 17, 2025, at 16:30 UTC.

Skew Δ

@52kskew

Full time trader & analyst

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