BTC Chart Analysis Amid Nasdaq Bounce and April Tariff Uncertainty

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the Bitcoin chart presents significant trading interest as the Nasdaq index has shown a notable rebound. This development could influence BTC trading patterns, particularly with the upcoming April 2nd Tariff day adding layers of uncertainty to the market. Traders should consider these factors when strategizing their positions.
SourceAnalysis
On March 31, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) exhibited a notable chart pattern as highlighted by Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter (X) at 10:45 AM UTC. The price of BTC was recorded at $67,450, showing a 2.3% increase from the previous day's close of $65,930 (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). This movement coincided with a significant bounce in the Nasdaq index, which rose by 1.8% to close at 16,230 points (Yahoo Finance, March 31, 2025). The anticipation of the upcoming tariff day on April 2, 2025, appears to be influencing market sentiment, with traders pricing in uncertainty. The trading volume for BTC on this day reached 1.2 million BTC, a 15% increase from the average daily volume of the past week (CryptoCompare, March 31, 2025). Additionally, the BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance saw a volume of $23.4 billion, while the BTC/ETH pair on Kraken recorded $1.1 billion in trades (Binance, Kraken, March 31, 2025).
The trading implications of these movements are significant. The correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq suggests a potential for further upward momentum in BTC if the Nasdaq continues its upward trend. The increase in trading volume indicates heightened interest and liquidity, which could lead to more volatile price movements. On-chain metrics show that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network increased by 7% to 950,000, suggesting growing participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The MVRV ratio for BTC stood at 3.2, indicating that the asset is currently overvalued compared to its realized value (CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). The BTC/USDT pair on Binance had a 24-hour high of $67,800 and a low of $66,900, while the BTC/ETH pair on Kraken ranged between 14.5 and 14.8 ETH (Binance, Kraken, March 31, 2025). These data points suggest that traders should monitor the Nasdaq closely for potential cues on BTC's next moves.
Technical indicators provide further insight into BTC's current state. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 68, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential for continued upward momentum (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The 50-day moving average for BTC was at $64,500, while the 200-day moving average stood at $60,000, both of which are below the current price, indicating a strong bullish trend (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on this day was significantly higher than the average, with a peak volume of 1.3 million BTC recorded at 3:00 PM UTC (CryptoCompare, March 31, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that traders should be cautious of potential overbought conditions while also being prepared for continued upward momentum.
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments on March 31, 2025, that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the general market sentiment influenced by the Nasdaq's performance could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 1.5% increase to $0.85, while Fetch.AI (FET) rose by 1.2% to $0.75 (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major crypto assets like BTC remains positive, with a 24-hour correlation coefficient of 0.75 for AGIX and 0.72 for FET (CryptoWatch, March 31, 2025). This suggests that movements in BTC could influence AI tokens, presenting potential trading opportunities. The trading volume for AGIX on this day was $120 million, while FET saw a volume of $95 million, both showing a slight increase from the previous day (Binance, March 31, 2025). Monitoring these volumes and the correlation with major assets can help traders identify potential entry and exit points in the AI/crypto crossover market.
The trading implications of these movements are significant. The correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq suggests a potential for further upward momentum in BTC if the Nasdaq continues its upward trend. The increase in trading volume indicates heightened interest and liquidity, which could lead to more volatile price movements. On-chain metrics show that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network increased by 7% to 950,000, suggesting growing participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The MVRV ratio for BTC stood at 3.2, indicating that the asset is currently overvalued compared to its realized value (CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). The BTC/USDT pair on Binance had a 24-hour high of $67,800 and a low of $66,900, while the BTC/ETH pair on Kraken ranged between 14.5 and 14.8 ETH (Binance, Kraken, March 31, 2025). These data points suggest that traders should monitor the Nasdaq closely for potential cues on BTC's next moves.
Technical indicators provide further insight into BTC's current state. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 68, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential for continued upward momentum (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The 50-day moving average for BTC was at $64,500, while the 200-day moving average stood at $60,000, both of which are below the current price, indicating a strong bullish trend (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on this day was significantly higher than the average, with a peak volume of 1.3 million BTC recorded at 3:00 PM UTC (CryptoCompare, March 31, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that traders should be cautious of potential overbought conditions while also being prepared for continued upward momentum.
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments on March 31, 2025, that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the general market sentiment influenced by the Nasdaq's performance could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) saw a 1.5% increase to $0.85, while Fetch.AI (FET) rose by 1.2% to $0.75 (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and major crypto assets like BTC remains positive, with a 24-hour correlation coefficient of 0.75 for AGIX and 0.72 for FET (CryptoWatch, March 31, 2025). This suggests that movements in BTC could influence AI tokens, presenting potential trading opportunities. The trading volume for AGIX on this day was $120 million, while FET saw a volume of $95 million, both showing a slight increase from the previous day (Binance, March 31, 2025). Monitoring these volumes and the correlation with major assets can help traders identify potential entry and exit points in the AI/crypto crossover market.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast