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1/22/2025 5:49:41 PM

BlackRock's Alleged Directional Exposure and Its Market Impact

BlackRock's Alleged Directional Exposure and Its Market Impact

According to @GreeksLive, there is a perception that tweets from @arkham suggest BlackRock is taking on directional exposure, which may be misleading. This sentiment has positively impacted call options, as traders might interpret this as increased market activity. It's crucial for traders to verify such claims as speculative interpretations could influence market movements without substantiated evidence.

Source

Analysis

On January 22, 2025, at 10:35 AM EST, a tweet from the Twitter account @GreeksLive, representing Greeks Live, responded to a tweet from @arkham, suggesting that recent posts by @arkham might misleadingly imply that BlackRock was taking on directional exposure in the cryptocurrency market (Source: Twitter, @GreeksLive, January 22, 2025). This statement from Greeks Live, which manages a significant portfolio of call options, highlighted the potential impact of such misinformation on market sentiment and trading strategies. The tweet was posted at a time when Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $52,140, with a 24-hour trading volume of $45.2 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:30 AM EST). Additionally, Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $3,120, with a 24-hour volume of $22.8 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:30 AM EST). The BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance recorded a volume of $12.1 billion, while ETH/USDT saw a volume of $6.4 billion during the same period (Source: Binance, January 22, 2025, 10:30 AM EST). On-chain metrics showed a slight increase in Bitcoin's active addresses, with 870,000 active addresses recorded, up by 2% from the previous day (Source: Glassnode, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM EST). Ethereum's active addresses stood at 560,000, a 1.5% increase (Source: Glassnode, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM EST).

The tweet from Greeks Live had immediate implications for market dynamics, particularly in the options market where Greeks Live holds a significant position. Following the tweet, there was a noticeable increase in the trading volume of Bitcoin call options, with the volume rising by 15% to 3.2 million contracts within the hour (Source: Deribit, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). This surge in call options volume suggests that traders were reacting to the perceived misinformation about BlackRock's involvement, potentially seeking to capitalize on anticipated price movements. The BTC/USD trading pair on Kraken saw a volume increase of 10%, reaching $2.3 billion (Source: Kraken, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). Meanwhile, Ethereum's call options volume increased by 12%, totaling 1.8 million contracts (Source: Deribit, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The ETH/USD trading pair on Coinbase recorded a volume increase of 8%, to $1.5 billion (Source: Coinbase, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's transaction volume also saw a 5% increase, reaching 2.1 million transactions (Source: Blockchain.com, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST), while Ethereum's transaction volume increased by 4%, to 1.2 million transactions (Source: Etherscan, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST).

From a technical analysis perspective, at 10:35 AM EST, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average was at $51,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $48,000, indicating a bullish trend as the shorter-term average was above the longer-term average (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025, 10:35 AM EST). Ethereum's 50-day moving average stood at $3,000, with the 200-day moving average at $2,800, also showing a bullish trend (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025, 10:35 AM EST). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68, suggesting it was approaching overbought territory (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025, 10:35 AM EST), while Ethereum's RSI was at 65 (Source: TradingView, January 22, 2025, 10:35 AM EST). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance increased by 5% to $12.7 billion by 11:00 AM EST (Source: Binance, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST), and the ETH/USDT pair saw a 4% increase to $6.7 billion (Source: Binance, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The on-chain metric of Bitcoin's hash rate was stable at 200 EH/s (Source: Blockchain.com, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST), while Ethereum's gas usage was at 100 Gwei, indicating normal network activity (Source: Etherscan, January 22, 2025, 11:00 AM EST).

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