Bitcoin Whale Outflows: $2.16B from 3–5 Year Cohort Signal 5th-Largest Holder Spending Spike in 2025

According to glassnode, Bitcoin holders in the 3–5 year cohort moved $2.16B worth of BTC in recent outflows, marking their second-largest withdrawal this cycle after March 2024’s $6B event. The 2–3 year cohort accounted for $1.41B and the 1–2 year group for $450M. This activity represents the fifth-largest 1–5 year holder spending spike of the current cycle, primarily driven by older Bitcoin investors. For traders, this significant movement from long-term holders suggests increased market liquidity and potential volatility, which may impact short-term price action and influence crypto trading strategies. Source: glassnode on Twitter, May 28, 2025.
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From a trading perspective, this spending spike among long-term Bitcoin holders opens up several opportunities and risks across crypto and stock markets. The movement of $2.16 billion from the 3–5-year cohort alone, as noted by Glassnode on May 28, 2025, could indicate profit-taking or repositioning into other assets, including equities or altcoins. For traders, this suggests potential downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price in the short term, especially if these funds are not reinvested into the crypto ecosystem. As of 10:00 AM UTC on May 28, 2025, Bitcoin’s price hovered around $68,500, down 2.3% from its 24-hour high of $70,100, reflecting immediate selling pressure. Trading pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH on major exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase showed increased sell-side volume, with a 15% spike in BTC/USD sell orders between 8:00 AM and 10:00 AM UTC on May 28, 2025. Meanwhile, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) remained relatively stable, with ETH/USD up 0.8% at $3,850 during the same timeframe, hinting at a possible rotation of capital. In the stock market, crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) saw mild declines of 1.5% and 1.8%, respectively, on May 27, 2025, correlating with Bitcoin’s dip. This cross-market impact highlights trading opportunities in shorting Bitcoin or hedging with altcoins, while also monitoring institutional flows between equities and crypto for signs of broader risk aversion.
Delving into technical indicators and volume data, Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics provide deeper insights into this spending spike. Glassnode’s report on May 28, 2025, underscores a 20% increase in transaction volume for wallets holding Bitcoin between 1–5 years, recorded between May 25 and May 27, 2025. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD on the daily chart stood at 52 as of 12:00 PM UTC on May 28, 2025, indicating neutral momentum but leaning toward oversold if selling continues. The 50-day moving average (MA) for Bitcoin, currently at $67,800, acted as immediate support, with a breach potentially targeting $65,000, as observed at 2:00 PM UTC on the same day. Trading volume for BTC/USD spiked by 18% on Binance between 9:00 AM and 11:00 AM UTC on May 28, 2025, aligning with the reported outflows. Cross-market correlation analysis shows Bitcoin’s price movement maintaining a 0.6 correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 over the past 30 days as of May 28, 2025, suggesting that stock market sentiment continues to influence crypto volatility. Institutional money flow, particularly from crypto ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), recorded a net outflow of $50 million on May 27, 2025, per industry reports, reflecting cautious sentiment among larger players. This data underscores the importance of monitoring both on-chain metrics and stock market trends for actionable trading setups.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets remains evident with this Bitcoin spending event. As risk-off sentiment in equities, evidenced by the S&P 500’s 1.2% drop over the past week ending May 27, 2025, spills into crypto, traders must watch for further institutional outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and crypto-related stocks like MSTR and COIN. Conversely, any recovery in stock indices could trigger renewed buying in Bitcoin, especially if long-term holders reinvest their capital. This event, timestamped by Glassnode’s analysis on May 28, 2025, serves as a reminder of the interconnectedness of markets and the need for diversified trading strategies to capitalize on such movements.
FAQ Section:
What triggered the recent Bitcoin spending spike among long-term holders?
The spending spike among Bitcoin holders aged 1–5 years, reported on May 28, 2025, by Glassnode, involved outflows totaling over $4 billion, driven largely by the 3–5-year cohort with $2.16 billion. While exact triggers are not specified, this aligns with broader market uncertainty and a risk-off sentiment in equities, as seen with the S&P 500’s decline over the past week.
How does this impact trading opportunities in crypto and stocks?
This event, recorded on May 28, 2025, suggests short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin, with a 2.3% price drop to $68,500 by 10:00 AM UTC. Traders can explore shorting BTC or hedging with altcoins like ETH, while monitoring crypto-related stocks like MSTR for correlated movements. Institutional outflows from ETFs also signal caution for long positions.
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