Bitcoin's Imminent Breakout Predicted By M2 Supply Analysis

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin has not yet broken through a critical level, but M2 supply analysis indicates a breakout is imminent. This suggests that Q2 could still be a favorable period for cryptocurrency trading, providing potential opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. The analysis of M2 money supply is often used to predict liquidity and market trends, which is crucial for traders in strategizing their next moves.
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On April 20, 2025, Bitcoin failed to break through a crucial resistance level, as reported by Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter (source: Twitter, @CryptoMichNL, April 20, 2025). The specific resistance level was at $75,000, with Bitcoin reaching a high of $74,950 at 14:30 UTC before retracing to $73,800 by 15:00 UTC (source: CoinMarketCap, April 20, 2025). This event is significant as it indicates a strong resistance zone that traders need to monitor closely. The M2 money supply data, which tracks cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money, suggests that a breakout could be imminent. According to the Federal Reserve's latest report, the M2 supply increased by 0.5% in March 2025, reaching $21.5 trillion (source: Federal Reserve, March 2025). This increase in liquidity could fuel further investment into cryptocurrencies, potentially pushing Bitcoin past the $75,000 mark in the near future.
The failure to break through the $75,000 resistance level has immediate trading implications. On April 20, 2025, the trading volume for Bitcoin surged to 25,000 BTC on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, up from an average of 18,000 BTC the previous week (source: CryptoCompare, April 20, 2025). This spike in volume indicates heightened interest and potential for increased volatility. For traders, this presents both opportunities and risks. The Bitcoin to US Dollar (BTC/USD) pair saw a 2% increase in trading volume, while the Bitcoin to Ethereum (BTC/ETH) pair experienced a 1.5% rise (source: CoinGecko, April 20, 2025). On-chain metrics further reveal that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network increased by 10% to 1.2 million on April 20, 2025, suggesting growing network activity and potential bullish sentiment (source: Glassnode, April 20, 2025). Traders should consider these factors when planning their next moves, as the market dynamics are shifting rapidly.
Technical indicators provide further insight into Bitcoin's current state. On April 20, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory but still within a reasonable range (source: TradingView, April 20, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the same day, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (source: TradingView, April 20, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin stood at $72,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $68,000, indicating a bullish trend as the shorter-term average is above the longer-term average (source: CoinMarketCap, April 20, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume for Bitcoin on April 20, 2025, was significantly higher than the 30-day average, with a volume of 25,000 BTC compared to an average of 18,000 BTC (source: CryptoCompare, April 20, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that Bitcoin may be poised for a breakout, but traders should remain cautious and monitor the market closely.
Frequently Asked Questions:
What is the current resistance level for Bitcoin? The current resistance level for Bitcoin is at $75,000, as it failed to break through this level on April 20, 2025.
How has the M2 money supply affected Bitcoin's price? The M2 money supply increased by 0.5% in March 2025, which could potentially fuel further investment into cryptocurrencies, pushing Bitcoin past the $75,000 mark.
What are the key technical indicators for Bitcoin on April 20, 2025? On April 20, 2025, the RSI for Bitcoin was at 68, the MACD showed a bullish crossover, and the 50-day moving average was at $72,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $68,000.
The failure to break through the $75,000 resistance level has immediate trading implications. On April 20, 2025, the trading volume for Bitcoin surged to 25,000 BTC on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, up from an average of 18,000 BTC the previous week (source: CryptoCompare, April 20, 2025). This spike in volume indicates heightened interest and potential for increased volatility. For traders, this presents both opportunities and risks. The Bitcoin to US Dollar (BTC/USD) pair saw a 2% increase in trading volume, while the Bitcoin to Ethereum (BTC/ETH) pair experienced a 1.5% rise (source: CoinGecko, April 20, 2025). On-chain metrics further reveal that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network increased by 10% to 1.2 million on April 20, 2025, suggesting growing network activity and potential bullish sentiment (source: Glassnode, April 20, 2025). Traders should consider these factors when planning their next moves, as the market dynamics are shifting rapidly.
Technical indicators provide further insight into Bitcoin's current state. On April 20, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory but still within a reasonable range (source: TradingView, April 20, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the same day, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential upward momentum (source: TradingView, April 20, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin stood at $72,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $68,000, indicating a bullish trend as the shorter-term average is above the longer-term average (source: CoinMarketCap, April 20, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume for Bitcoin on April 20, 2025, was significantly higher than the 30-day average, with a volume of 25,000 BTC compared to an average of 18,000 BTC (source: CryptoCompare, April 20, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that Bitcoin may be poised for a breakout, but traders should remain cautious and monitor the market closely.
Frequently Asked Questions:
What is the current resistance level for Bitcoin? The current resistance level for Bitcoin is at $75,000, as it failed to break through this level on April 20, 2025.
How has the M2 money supply affected Bitcoin's price? The M2 money supply increased by 0.5% in March 2025, which could potentially fuel further investment into cryptocurrencies, pushing Bitcoin past the $75,000 mark.
What are the key technical indicators for Bitcoin on April 20, 2025? On April 20, 2025, the RSI for Bitcoin was at 68, the MACD showed a bullish crossover, and the 50-day moving average was at $72,000, while the 200-day moving average was at $68,000.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast