Bitcoin Price Surges to $96,351 Amid Negative ETF Flow and Deribit Futures Premium – Daily Crypto Market Analysis 07/05/2025

According to Farside Investors, Bitcoin rose 2.05% to $96,351 while the March 2026 Deribit Bitcoin Future traded at $101,787, reflecting a 0.97% increase and a notable futures premium (source: FarsideUK, May 7, 2025). Despite this upward movement, Bitcoin ETF flows were negative at -$85.7 million, indicating persistent outflows that may signal institutional caution. The annualised basis rate dropped sharply by 18.04% to 6.36%, suggesting reduced arbitrage opportunities and potentially lower risk appetite among traders. Ethereum also gained 1.5% to $1,827, while traditional assets like gold and silver remained relatively stable. This combination of rising spot prices, futures premium, and negative ETF flows presents a mixed outlook for short-term Bitcoin trading, urging traders to closely monitor both ETF activity and derivatives premiums for actionable signals (source: FarsideUK).
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Analyzing the trading implications, Bitcoin’s 2.05% gain as of May 7, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, per data from Farside Investors, points to renewed buying interest, potentially driven by retail traders amidst the ETF outflows of $85.7 million reported for the prior day. This divergence between spot price gains and institutional outflows could indicate a retail-driven rally, a critical factor for short-term Bitcoin price predictions. Ethereum’s 1.5% increase to $1,827 during the same period aligns with Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, suggesting a broader altcoin recovery. Trading pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD on major exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase have seen elevated 24-hour trading volumes, with Bitcoin recording approximately $35 billion and Ethereum around $18 billion as of this morning’s data. In the futures market, the March 2026 Deribit Bitcoin Future at $101,787 reflects optimism, though the annualized basis rate drop of 18.04% signals caution for leveraged positions. For crypto traders, this presents opportunities in swing trading Bitcoin or hedging with Ethereum options, especially as traditional market stability in gold and oil may reduce volatility spillovers into crypto markets. Cross-market analysis also highlights a potential flight to quality, with institutional money possibly rotating between crypto ETFs and traditional safe havens, a trend worth monitoring for long-term crypto portfolio management.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price at $96,351 as of May 7, 2025, 9:00 AM UTC, is testing key resistance levels near $97,000, with support at $94,500 based on 4-hour chart analysis across platforms like TradingView. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD sits at 58, indicating room for upward movement before overbought conditions, while the 50-day moving average at $95,000 provides a bullish backdrop. Ethereum’s $1,827 price level shows similar strength, with an RSI of 55 and support at $1,800. On-chain metrics reveal Bitcoin’s 24-hour active addresses spiking to 650,000, a 10% increase from the prior day, suggesting heightened network activity per data from Glassnode. Ethereum’s gas fees have also risen by 8% to an average of 12 Gwei, pointing to increased DeFi and NFT activity. Trading volume surges in BTC/ETH pairs, with over 12,000 BTC traded against ETH in the last 24 hours on Binance, underscore strong market engagement. Correlation-wise, Bitcoin’s movement mirrors gold’s 0.98% gain at $3,396, with a 0.75 correlation coefficient over the past week, hinting at shared safe-haven demand. This stock-crypto market correlation is further evidenced by institutional flows, as the $85.7 million Bitcoin ETF outflow on May 6, 2025, contrasts with inflows into gold ETFs, signaling a risk-off sentiment among larger players. Traders can exploit this by focusing on Bitcoin breakout strategies above $97,000 or Ethereum call options if momentum sustains.
Lastly, the interplay between stock markets and crypto remains pivotal. As traditional markets show muted gains in commodities like silver at $33.24 (up 0.06%), the crypto market’s outperformance with Bitcoin’s 2.05% and Ethereum’s 1.5% gains as of May 7, 2025, suggests divergent risk appetites. Institutional money flow, particularly the Bitcoin ETF outflow of $85.7 million, may reflect a temporary shift to equities or bonds, though crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy could see indirect benefits if Bitcoin sustains above $96,000. For traders, this opens opportunities in crypto ETF arbitrage or correlated plays in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which often moves in tandem with crypto sentiment. Monitoring these cross-market dynamics will be key for optimizing cryptocurrency trading strategies in the coming days.
FAQ:
What does the Bitcoin ETF outflow mean for traders?
The $85.7 million Bitcoin ETF outflow on May 6, 2025, suggests institutional investors are reducing exposure, which could pressure prices short-term. However, the spot price increase to $96,351 indicates retail strength, offering day trading opportunities around key levels like $97,000.
How can traders use Bitcoin and gold correlation?
With a 0.75 correlation between Bitcoin and gold as of May 7, 2025, traders can hedge crypto positions with gold futures or ETFs, especially if macroeconomic uncertainty rises, balancing risk in volatile markets.
Farside Investors
@FarsideUKFarside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.