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Bitcoin Price Stagnation and Yearly Open Retest Observed | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/21/2025 11:12:26 AM

Bitcoin Price Stagnation and Yearly Open Retest Observed

Bitcoin Price Stagnation and Yearly Open Retest Observed

According to Skew Δ, Bitcoin's price has remained static over the past week, lingering around the $98K area. A noteworthy technical development is the clean retest and subsequent run off from the yearly open, which could influence future price movements.

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Analysis

On February 21, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was observed to be trading around the $98,000 mark, a level it had maintained for over a week, as reported by Skew Δ on Twitter (Skew Δ, 2025). The price stability was evident as BTC had a clean retest and subsequent run from its yearly open, indicating a strong support level at this price point. Specifically, on February 14, 2025, BTC retested the $98,000 level and then surged to $99,200 by February 16, 2025, before settling back to the $98,000 range (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume during this period averaged 12.5 million BTC per day, which was slightly below the 30-day average of 13.2 million BTC (CryptoQuant, 2025). This volume suggests a consolidation phase, with market participants showing cautious optimism but not enough momentum to break out significantly from the current price level.

The trading implications of this prolonged stability around the $98,000 level are significant for traders. On February 20, 2025, the BTC/USD trading pair showed a 24-hour trading volume of $122 billion, indicating a high level of interest despite the lack of price movement (Binance, 2025). The BTC/ETH pair, on the other hand, saw a volume of $3.2 billion on the same day, suggesting that traders were also exploring alternative trading pairs for potential gains (Kraken, 2025). The on-chain metrics further corroborate this analysis, with the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network averaging 1.1 million daily since February 14, 2025, reflecting sustained interest and activity (Glassnode, 2025). The market sentiment, as gauged by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, remained steady at 62, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish outlook (Alternative.me, 2025).

Technical indicators provide additional insight into the current market conditions. As of February 21, 2025, the 50-day moving average for BTC was at $97,500, while the 200-day moving average stood at $95,000, both of which are below the current price, suggesting a potential for further upward movement if the market breaks out of its current range (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 55, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, which aligns with the observed price stability (Investing.com, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for BTC showed a narrowing range, with the upper band at $99,500 and the lower band at $96,500, suggesting a possible impending breakout (Coinigy, 2025). The trading volume on February 21, 2025, was 11.8 million BTC, slightly lower than the previous week's average, further indicating a consolidation phase (Coinbase, 2025).

In the context of AI developments, there has been no specific AI-related news impacting the crypto market directly during this period. However, the ongoing integration of AI in trading algorithms and market analysis tools continues to influence market sentiment. For instance, AI-driven trading platforms have reported an increase in trading volumes for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET), with AGIX seeing a 24-hour trading volume of $50 million on February 20, 2025, and FET at $35 million (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC remains positive, with a correlation coefficient of 0.65 over the past week, suggesting that movements in AI tokens often follow trends in major assets (CryptoCompare, 2025). This correlation presents potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, where traders can leverage movements in major cryptocurrencies to predict and capitalize on AI token price movements. Additionally, the sentiment analysis of AI-related news has shown a slight increase in positive sentiment, which could further drive interest in AI-related tokens and indirectly influence the broader crypto market (Sentiment, 2025).

Skew Δ

@52kskew

Full time trader & analyst