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Bitcoin Price Correction Analysis: Macro Factors and Potential Rally to $120K-$130K | Crypto Trading Update | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/26/2025 6:18:21 PM

Bitcoin Price Correction Analysis: Macro Factors and Potential Rally to $120K-$130K | Crypto Trading Update

Bitcoin Price Correction Analysis: Macro Factors and Potential Rally to $120K-$130K | Crypto Trading Update

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin is currently experiencing a slight correction, likely influenced by macroeconomic factors. He highlights that building momentum during this phase is essential before the next significant rally, with target levels projected between $120,000 and $130,000. Traders should monitor macro-driven events and price consolidation closely, as these developments could signal the optimal entry points for the next bullish move in Bitcoin. Source: Michaël van de Poppe via Twitter (May 26, 2025).

Source

Analysis

As of May 26, 2025, the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), is showing signs of a potential slight correction, as noted by prominent crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe. In a recent social media post, he highlighted that Bitcoin might be facing a macro-driven pullback before resuming its rally toward the $120,000 to $130,000 range. This analysis comes amidst a volatile macro environment, with stock markets showing mixed signals following recent U.S. economic data releases. The S&P 500 index recorded a marginal decline of 0.3% on May 25, 2025, at 3:00 PM EST, reflecting cautious investor sentiment due to ongoing inflation concerns, according to reports from Bloomberg. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite dipped by 0.5% during the same period, driven by tech sector profit-taking. These stock market movements often influence risk assets like Bitcoin, as institutional investors adjust their portfolios between traditional equities and cryptocurrencies. With Bitcoin trading at approximately $94,500 as of May 26, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC on Binance, down 1.8% from its 24-hour high of $96,200, traders are keenly observing whether this correction will hold or if bullish momentum will return. The interplay between stock market dynamics and crypto price action remains critical for short-term trading strategies, especially as macro uncertainty persists.

Diving into the trading implications, this potential Bitcoin correction could present both risks and opportunities for crypto traders. If macro-driven sentiment from the stock market continues to weigh on risk appetite, Bitcoin could test key support levels around $90,000, a psychological barrier last breached on May 20, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, as per data from CoinGecko. Trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have shown a 12% decrease over the past 24 hours as of May 26, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, signaling reduced buying pressure. However, this pullback could be a strategic entry point for long-term investors eyeing the $120,000 target. Cross-market analysis reveals a notable correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.68 as of May 25, 2025, according to CoinMetrics. This suggests that a sustained downturn in equities could drag Bitcoin lower, but a recovery in stocks might fuel a crypto rebound. Additionally, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), trading at $3,450 (down 2.1% as of May 26, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC on Binance), and Solana (SOL), at $165 (down 1.9% during the same period), are also feeling the pressure, offering potential dip-buying opportunities if correlated stock market sentiment improves. Institutional money flow data from Glassnode indicates a net inflow of $250 million into Bitcoin ETFs on May 24, 2025, hinting at sustained interest despite the correction.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action shows critical indicators to watch. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 58 as of May 26, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView data. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is trending toward a bearish crossover, signaling potential downside momentum. On-chain metrics from Glassnode reveal that Bitcoin’s exchange net flow turned negative with a $180 million outflow on May 25, 2025, at 8:00 PM UTC, indicating accumulation by long-term holders. Trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance dropped to 18,500 BTC in the last 24 hours as of May 26, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, a 10% decline from the prior day. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the recent dip in crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), down 3.2% on May 25, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, mirrors Bitcoin’s correction, reinforcing the interconnectedness of these markets. Institutional investors appear to be reallocating capital, with a reported $300 million outflow from equity funds into crypto funds over the past week, as noted by CoinShares on May 25, 2025. Traders should monitor key resistance at $96,000 and support at $90,000 for Bitcoin, alongside stock market indices like the S&P 500 for macro cues. This cross-market dynamic underscores the importance of a diversified trading approach in volatile periods.

FAQ:
What is driving Bitcoin’s potential correction on May 26, 2025?
Bitcoin’s potential correction is likely influenced by macro factors, including a 0.3% decline in the S&P 500 and a 0.5% drop in the Nasdaq Composite on May 25, 2025, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, as reported by Bloomberg.

How should traders position themselves during this Bitcoin pullback?
Traders can consider buying the dip near the $90,000 support level, as seen on May 20, 2025, while monitoring stock market recovery signals and institutional inflows, with $250 million entering Bitcoin ETFs on May 24, 2025, per Glassnode data.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast