Bitcoin Price Correction Analysis: Macro Factors and Potential Rally to $120K-$130K | Crypto Trading Update

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin is currently experiencing a slight correction, likely influenced by macroeconomic factors. He highlights that building momentum during this phase is essential before the next significant rally, with target levels projected between $120,000 and $130,000. Traders should monitor macro-driven events and price consolidation closely, as these developments could signal the optimal entry points for the next bullish move in Bitcoin. Source: Michaël van de Poppe via Twitter (May 26, 2025).
SourceAnalysis
As of May 26, 2025, the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), is showing signs of a potential slight correction, as noted by prominent crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe. In a recent social media post, he highlighted that Bitcoin might be facing a macro-driven pullback before resuming its rally toward the $120,000 to $130,000 range. This analysis comes amidst a volatile macro environment, with stock markets showing mixed signals following recent U.S. economic data releases. The S&P 500 index recorded a marginal decline of 0.3% on May 25, 2025, at 3:00 PM EST, reflecting cautious investor sentiment due to ongoing inflation concerns, according to reports from Bloomberg. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite dipped by 0.5% during the same period, driven by tech sector profit-taking. These stock market movements often influence risk assets like Bitcoin, as institutional investors adjust their portfolios between traditional equities and cryptocurrencies. With Bitcoin trading at approximately $94,500 as of May 26, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC on Binance, down 1.8% from its 24-hour high of $96,200, traders are keenly observing whether this correction will hold or if bullish momentum will return. The interplay between stock market dynamics and crypto price action remains critical for short-term trading strategies, especially as macro uncertainty persists.
Diving into the trading implications, this potential Bitcoin correction could present both risks and opportunities for crypto traders. If macro-driven sentiment from the stock market continues to weigh on risk appetite, Bitcoin could test key support levels around $90,000, a psychological barrier last breached on May 20, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, as per data from CoinGecko. Trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have shown a 12% decrease over the past 24 hours as of May 26, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, signaling reduced buying pressure. However, this pullback could be a strategic entry point for long-term investors eyeing the $120,000 target. Cross-market analysis reveals a notable correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.68 as of May 25, 2025, according to CoinMetrics. This suggests that a sustained downturn in equities could drag Bitcoin lower, but a recovery in stocks might fuel a crypto rebound. Additionally, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), trading at $3,450 (down 2.1% as of May 26, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC on Binance), and Solana (SOL), at $165 (down 1.9% during the same period), are also feeling the pressure, offering potential dip-buying opportunities if correlated stock market sentiment improves. Institutional money flow data from Glassnode indicates a net inflow of $250 million into Bitcoin ETFs on May 24, 2025, hinting at sustained interest despite the correction.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action shows critical indicators to watch. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 58 as of May 26, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView data. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is trending toward a bearish crossover, signaling potential downside momentum. On-chain metrics from Glassnode reveal that Bitcoin’s exchange net flow turned negative with a $180 million outflow on May 25, 2025, at 8:00 PM UTC, indicating accumulation by long-term holders. Trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance dropped to 18,500 BTC in the last 24 hours as of May 26, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, a 10% decline from the prior day. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the recent dip in crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), down 3.2% on May 25, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, mirrors Bitcoin’s correction, reinforcing the interconnectedness of these markets. Institutional investors appear to be reallocating capital, with a reported $300 million outflow from equity funds into crypto funds over the past week, as noted by CoinShares on May 25, 2025. Traders should monitor key resistance at $96,000 and support at $90,000 for Bitcoin, alongside stock market indices like the S&P 500 for macro cues. This cross-market dynamic underscores the importance of a diversified trading approach in volatile periods.
FAQ:
What is driving Bitcoin’s potential correction on May 26, 2025?
Bitcoin’s potential correction is likely influenced by macro factors, including a 0.3% decline in the S&P 500 and a 0.5% drop in the Nasdaq Composite on May 25, 2025, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, as reported by Bloomberg.
How should traders position themselves during this Bitcoin pullback?
Traders can consider buying the dip near the $90,000 support level, as seen on May 20, 2025, while monitoring stock market recovery signals and institutional inflows, with $250 million entering Bitcoin ETFs on May 24, 2025, per Glassnode data.
Diving into the trading implications, this potential Bitcoin correction could present both risks and opportunities for crypto traders. If macro-driven sentiment from the stock market continues to weigh on risk appetite, Bitcoin could test key support levels around $90,000, a psychological barrier last breached on May 20, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, as per data from CoinGecko. Trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase have shown a 12% decrease over the past 24 hours as of May 26, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, signaling reduced buying pressure. However, this pullback could be a strategic entry point for long-term investors eyeing the $120,000 target. Cross-market analysis reveals a notable correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.68 as of May 25, 2025, according to CoinMetrics. This suggests that a sustained downturn in equities could drag Bitcoin lower, but a recovery in stocks might fuel a crypto rebound. Additionally, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), trading at $3,450 (down 2.1% as of May 26, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC on Binance), and Solana (SOL), at $165 (down 1.9% during the same period), are also feeling the pressure, offering potential dip-buying opportunities if correlated stock market sentiment improves. Institutional money flow data from Glassnode indicates a net inflow of $250 million into Bitcoin ETFs on May 24, 2025, hinting at sustained interest despite the correction.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action shows critical indicators to watch. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 58 as of May 26, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView data. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is trending toward a bearish crossover, signaling potential downside momentum. On-chain metrics from Glassnode reveal that Bitcoin’s exchange net flow turned negative with a $180 million outflow on May 25, 2025, at 8:00 PM UTC, indicating accumulation by long-term holders. Trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance dropped to 18,500 BTC in the last 24 hours as of May 26, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, a 10% decline from the prior day. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the recent dip in crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), down 3.2% on May 25, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, mirrors Bitcoin’s correction, reinforcing the interconnectedness of these markets. Institutional investors appear to be reallocating capital, with a reported $300 million outflow from equity funds into crypto funds over the past week, as noted by CoinShares on May 25, 2025. Traders should monitor key resistance at $96,000 and support at $90,000 for Bitcoin, alongside stock market indices like the S&P 500 for macro cues. This cross-market dynamic underscores the importance of a diversified trading approach in volatile periods.
FAQ:
What is driving Bitcoin’s potential correction on May 26, 2025?
Bitcoin’s potential correction is likely influenced by macro factors, including a 0.3% decline in the S&P 500 and a 0.5% drop in the Nasdaq Composite on May 25, 2025, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, as reported by Bloomberg.
How should traders position themselves during this Bitcoin pullback?
Traders can consider buying the dip near the $90,000 support level, as seen on May 20, 2025, while monitoring stock market recovery signals and institutional inflows, with $250 million entering Bitcoin ETFs on May 24, 2025, per Glassnode data.
cryptocurrency market
crypto trading
trading analysis
Macro Factors
BTC Rally
Bitcoin price correction
120K Bitcoin target
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast