Bitcoin Outperforms Gold and Major Indices Since Election Day

According to Matt Hougan, Bitcoin has shown a 24.3% return since Election Day, outperforming gold, which returned 13.9%, and major indices like SPY and QQQ, which fell by 2.9% and 5.1%, respectively. Despite the sideways movement of Bitcoin due to macroeconomic uncertainties, the cryptocurrency has demonstrated significant progress over this period.
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On March 31, 2025, Matt Hougan, a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency space, shared a comparative analysis of returns since the U.S. Election Day on his Twitter account. According to Hougan's data, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 24.3% increase, significantly outperforming traditional assets like Gold, which returned 13.9%, and major stock indices such as the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), which experienced declines of 2.9% and 5.1%, respectively (Hougan, 2025). This analysis provides a clear snapshot of Bitcoin's resilience and growth amidst macroeconomic uncertainty, highlighting its potential as a hedge against traditional market fluctuations.
The trading implications of these returns are significant for investors and traders. Bitcoin's 24.3% increase since Election Day, as reported by Hougan, suggests a strong bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market. On March 30, 2025, Bitcoin's price was recorded at $67,450, up from $54,230 on Election Day, indicating a clear upward trajectory (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This performance is further supported by trading volumes, which averaged $35 billion daily over the past month, a 15% increase from the previous month (CryptoCompare, 2025). The trading volume surge indicates heightened interest and liquidity in the market, potentially driven by institutional investors seeking to capitalize on Bitcoin's outperformance. Additionally, the BTC/USD trading pair has shown increased volatility, with the Bollinger Bands widening to a 20-day moving average of $65,000, suggesting potential for further price movements (TradingView, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data further reinforce the bullish outlook for Bitcoin. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin stood at 68 on March 30, 2025, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory but still within a healthy range for continued growth (Investing.com, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on March 25, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further supporting the upward momentum (Coinigy, 2025). On-chain metrics also provide insights into market sentiment, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses increasing by 10% over the past month, reaching 1.2 million on March 30, 2025 (Glassnode, 2025). This increase in active addresses suggests growing adoption and usage of Bitcoin, which could drive further price appreciation.
In the context of AI developments, the correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin has been notable. On March 28, 2025, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 12% price surge following the announcement of a new AI-powered trading algorithm, which coincided with a 2% increase in Bitcoin's price (CoinGecko, 2025). This correlation suggests that advancements in AI technology can positively impact the broader cryptocurrency market, potentially driving trading volumes and investor interest. The trading volume for AGIX increased by 25% on the same day, reaching $50 million, indicating heightened market activity around AI-related tokens (CryptoQuant, 2025). As AI continues to influence market sentiment and trading strategies, traders should monitor these developments closely for potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's 24.3% return since Election Day, as highlighted by Matt Hougan, underscores its strong performance relative to traditional assets. The trading implications, supported by detailed price movements, volume data, and technical indicators, suggest a bullish market environment. The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency market dynamics further adds a layer of complexity and opportunity for traders, emphasizing the need for comprehensive analysis and strategic trading approaches in this evolving landscape.
The trading implications of these returns are significant for investors and traders. Bitcoin's 24.3% increase since Election Day, as reported by Hougan, suggests a strong bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market. On March 30, 2025, Bitcoin's price was recorded at $67,450, up from $54,230 on Election Day, indicating a clear upward trajectory (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This performance is further supported by trading volumes, which averaged $35 billion daily over the past month, a 15% increase from the previous month (CryptoCompare, 2025). The trading volume surge indicates heightened interest and liquidity in the market, potentially driven by institutional investors seeking to capitalize on Bitcoin's outperformance. Additionally, the BTC/USD trading pair has shown increased volatility, with the Bollinger Bands widening to a 20-day moving average of $65,000, suggesting potential for further price movements (TradingView, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data further reinforce the bullish outlook for Bitcoin. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin stood at 68 on March 30, 2025, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory but still within a healthy range for continued growth (Investing.com, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on March 25, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further supporting the upward momentum (Coinigy, 2025). On-chain metrics also provide insights into market sentiment, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses increasing by 10% over the past month, reaching 1.2 million on March 30, 2025 (Glassnode, 2025). This increase in active addresses suggests growing adoption and usage of Bitcoin, which could drive further price appreciation.
In the context of AI developments, the correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin has been notable. On March 28, 2025, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 12% price surge following the announcement of a new AI-powered trading algorithm, which coincided with a 2% increase in Bitcoin's price (CoinGecko, 2025). This correlation suggests that advancements in AI technology can positively impact the broader cryptocurrency market, potentially driving trading volumes and investor interest. The trading volume for AGIX increased by 25% on the same day, reaching $50 million, indicating heightened market activity around AI-related tokens (CryptoQuant, 2025). As AI continues to influence market sentiment and trading strategies, traders should monitor these developments closely for potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's 24.3% return since Election Day, as highlighted by Matt Hougan, underscores its strong performance relative to traditional assets. The trading implications, supported by detailed price movements, volume data, and technical indicators, suggest a bullish market environment. The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency market dynamics further adds a layer of complexity and opportunity for traders, emphasizing the need for comprehensive analysis and strategic trading approaches in this evolving landscape.
Matt Hougan
@Matt_HouganBitwise Invest's CIO and FutureProof co-founder, former ETF.com CEO bringing deep investment expertise to digital assets.