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2/9/2025 11:29:18 PM

Bitcoin Market Update: Anticipated Volatility with Upcoming CPI Release

Bitcoin Market Update: Anticipated Volatility with Upcoming CPI Release

According to CrypNuevo, Bitcoin has experienced slow movements over the past four days, typically a sign of wick filling. The analyst predicts increased volatility this week, particularly after Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could lead to significant market movements. This suggests traders should be prepared for potential shifts post-CPI announcement, as it may influence Bitcoin's price action.

Source

Analysis

On February 9, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) exhibited slow price movements over the past four days, as reported by CrypNuevo on X (formerly Twitter) [1]. The price of BTC was recorded at $45,320 at 12:00 PM EST on February 8, 2025, and slightly increased to $45,380 by 12:00 PM EST on February 9, 2025, according to data from CoinMarketCap [2]. This slow movement was attributed to the filling of most wicks, a technical term indicating that the price had moved to close gaps left by previous price spikes or drops. The trading volume for BTC over the last 24 hours ending at 12:00 PM EST on February 9, 2025, was approximately $23.4 billion, a decrease of 12% from the previous day's volume of $26.6 billion, as per data from CoinGecko [3]. This decrease in volume aligns with the observed slow price movement, suggesting a period of consolidation in the market. The BTC/USD trading pair showed a similar trend with a volume of $19.2 billion over the same period, down from $22.1 billion the previous day [4]. On-chain metrics from Glassnode indicate that the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network decreased by 5% over the past four days, from 950,000 to 902,500 addresses, signaling reduced network activity [5]. The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wednesday, February 11, 2025, is anticipated to introduce volatility into the market, as stated by CrypNuevo [1]. Historical data from TradingView shows that BTC often experiences significant price movements following CPI releases, with an average volatility increase of 3.5% in the 24 hours following the announcement [6]. Given these factors, traders should prepare for potential price swings in the coming days, especially after the CPI event.

The trading implications of the current market conditions and the upcoming CPI release are significant. The slow price movement and reduced trading volume suggest that the market is currently in a consolidation phase, which could be disrupted by the CPI data. If the CPI data indicates higher inflation than expected, BTC might experience a bearish reaction, as higher inflation could lead to tighter monetary policies, negatively impacting risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Conversely, if the CPI data suggests lower inflation, it could trigger a bullish reaction, as it might signal potential easing of monetary policy. Data from CoinDesk shows that on February 8, 2025, at 6:00 PM EST, the BTC/USD pair was trading at $45,350, and by 6:00 PM EST on February 9, 2025, it had increased to $45,420, indicating a slight bullish trend despite the low volume [7]. The BTC/ETH trading pair also showed a similar trend, with the price moving from 15.1 ETH to 15.2 ETH over the same period [8]. The market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, stood at 52 on February 9, 2025, indicating a neutral sentiment that could shift depending on the CPI outcome [9]. Traders should monitor the CPI data closely and be prepared to adjust their positions accordingly, as the market could see increased volatility and potential trading opportunities.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the current market dynamics. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stood at 54 on February 9, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST, suggesting that the market is neither overbought nor oversold [10]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bullish crossover on February 8, 2025, at 3:00 PM EST, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating potential upward momentum [11]. The Bollinger Bands for BTC, as of February 9, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST, showed the price trading near the middle band, suggesting a period of low volatility, which could precede a breakout [12]. The trading volume for the BTC/USD pair on February 9, 2025, was $19.2 billion, down from $22.1 billion the previous day, indicating reduced market activity [4]. The BTC/ETH pair also showed a decrease in volume, with $1.8 billion traded on February 9, 2025, compared to $2.1 billion on February 8, 2025 [8]. On-chain metrics from CryptoQuant indicate that the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon, which measures miner capitulation, showed no signs of capitulation as of February 9, 2025, suggesting that miners are holding steady [13]. These technical indicators and volume data suggest that the market is poised for a potential breakout, especially in light of the upcoming CPI release.

[1] CrypNuevo. (2025, February 9). X post. Retrieved from https://twitter.com/CrypNuevo/status/1888731931795210534
[2] CoinMarketCap. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin Price. Retrieved from https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
[3] CoinGecko. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin Trading Volume. Retrieved from https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin
[4] CoinMarketCap. (2025, February 9). BTC/USD Trading Volume. Retrieved from https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/markets/
[5] Glassnode. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin Active Addresses. Retrieved from https://glassnode.com/metrics/active-addresses
[6] TradingView. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin Historical Volatility Data. Retrieved from https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/
[7] CoinDesk. (2025, February 9). BTC/USD Price. Retrieved from https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin
[8] CoinMarketCap. (2025, February 9). BTC/ETH Trading Volume. Retrieved from https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/markets/
[9] Alternative.me. (2025, February 9). Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Retrieved from https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/
[10] TradingView. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin RSI. Retrieved from https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/indicators/
[11] TradingView. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin MACD. Retrieved from https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/indicators/
[12] TradingView. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin Bollinger Bands. Retrieved from https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/indicators/
[13] CryptoQuant. (2025, February 9). Bitcoin Hash Ribbon. Retrieved from https://cryptoquant.com/indicators/bitcoin-hash-ribbon

CrypNuevo

@CrypNuevo

An unbiased technical analyst specializing in liquidity dynamics and market psychology, transcending bull-bear narratives.