Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable resilience amid escalating Middle East tensions, trading near $104,736 after a modest 1.19% 24-hour decline as of Tuesday evening ET. This stability comes despite former President Trump labeling Iran's leader an easy target, which pushed prediction market Polymarket's odds of U.S. military involvement to 62%, up from 50% just 24 hours prior according to CoinDesk data. Corporate accumulation continues providing crucial support: Strategy added over 10,000 BTC through its STRD offering while The Blockchain Group acquired 182 BTC this week, bringing their holdings to 1,653 BTC worth approximately $170 million. The Senate's passage of the GENIUS stablecoin legislation marked the first major U.S. crypto regulatory milestone, offering structural validation that partially offset geopolitical risks. Bitcoin's 3% Friday pullback contrasts sharply with last April's 8% crash during similar Iran-Israel tensions, indicating maturing market dynamics. Federal Reserve policy looms large with CME's FedWatch tool showing 98% probability of unchanged rates, potentially amplifying crypto sensitivity to Middle East developments. OTC trader Jake O. from Wintermute noted most price discovery occurs during U.S. hours, advising caution until market open. The Iranian exchange Nobitex suffered a $48 million hack attributed to Israel-linked actors, demonstrating conflict spillover into crypto infrastructure. Should Iran close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical 21% global oil transit route, systemic risk-off sentiment could trigger cross-asset liquidation events. Deribit's BTC Volatility Index (DVOL) moderated to 40.86 from April's 62 peak, signaling reduced near-term panic. Technical positioning reveals concerning signals beneath the surface: Chainlink broke below its Ichimoku cloud with $12.60 support at risk, while Deribit's most traded BTC options were protective puts at $90,000-$100,000 strikes. Funding rates remained subdued at 0.0048% on Binance (5.28% annualized), reflecting trader caution. Spot BTC ETFs recorded $216.5 million inflows, lifting cumulative flows to $46.24 billion according to Farside Investors data. Cross-market correlations intensified with S&P 500 down 0.84% and Nasdaq falling 0.91% Tuesday, while gold held steady at $3,400.40. Critical June 18 catalysts include three XRP ETF launches on Toronto Stock Exchange (Purpose's XRPP/B/U, Evolve's XRP/U, 3iQ's XRPQ/U), Fasttoken's $88.8 million token unlock, and Federal Reserve rate decision. DAO governance votes culminate this week including Arbitrum's $80 million DRIP incentives program and Compound's $9 million foundation proposal. Institutional positioning shows divergence as Ark Invest dumped $44.7 million in Circle shares while bitcoin miners like Marathon and Riot traded at 4% discounts. The Dollar Index at 98.65 threatens to break its downtrend, which historically pressures crypto valuations. Bitcoin dominance held at 64.90% as altcoins underperformed, with CoinDesk 20 Index down 2.01%. Corporate treasury movements remain the critical buffer against geopolitical shocks, with Fold securing $250 million and Mercury targeting $800 million for BTC allocations. How did Trump's comments impact crypto markets? Trump's remarks escalated regional tensions, increasing Polymarket's U.S. intervention odds to 62% within 24 hours. However, Bitcoin's 1.19% decline was contained by institutional accumulation, contrasting with traditional markets where S&P 500 fell 0.84%. Corporate treasury activity provided crucial support, with Strategy adding 10,000 BTC and Blockchain Group acquiring 182 BTC this week. What technical levels are critical for Bitcoin? Bitcoin defended the psychological $100,000 support despite geopolitical stress. Current resistance sits near $105,000 with Deribit put options concentrated at $90,000-$100,000 indicating trader downside targets. DVOL's decline to 40.86 suggests reduced volatility expectations near-term. How do XRP ETF launches affect markets? Three Canadian XRP ETFs debut June 18 on TSX, providing new institutional access points. Purpose offers currency-hedged units, Evolve provides direct physical exposure, and 3iQ waives management fees for six months. These may boost XRP volume which surged 6.4% to $2.15 amid pre-launch positioning. What institutional flows reveal about market sentiment? Spot BTC ETF inflows hit $216.5 million despite tensions, showing structural demand. Conversely, Ark Invest's $44.7 million Circle share sale signals profit-taking in crypto equities after the GENIUS Act passage. Mining stocks underperformed bitcoin spot prices, indicating sector-specific caution.