Bitcoin Faces Record Selling Pressure Yet Maintains High Price

According to André Dragosch, Bitcoin spot exchanges are experiencing the highest selling pressure since the 3AC collapse in June 2022. Despite this, the price remains near 100k USD, indicating seller exhaustion. This could suggest a potential stabilization or bounce-back opportunity for traders as the market absorbs the selling pressure.
SourceAnalysis
On February 10, 2025, the cryptocurrency market witnessed an unprecedented level of selling pressure on Bitcoin spot exchanges, reaching levels last seen during the collapse of 3AC in June 2022 (Dragosch, 2025). Despite this intense selling pressure, Bitcoin's price remained resilient, hovering close to $100,000 USD. This phenomenon suggests a potential scenario of seller exhaustion, indicating that the market might be reaching a point where the sellers' influence is waning. According to data from CryptoQuant, the selling volume on major exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase spiked to 35,000 BTC within the last 24 hours, a significant increase from the average daily volume of 20,000 BTC observed over the past month (CryptoQuant, 2025). The resilience of Bitcoin's price amidst such high selling volumes points to strong underlying demand and potential market exhaustion among sellers, which could signal an upcoming bullish reversal (Glassnode, 2025). The on-chain metrics further support this view, with the Bitcoin Exchange Net Position Change showing a decrease from -10,000 BTC to -5,000 BTC over the past week, indicating reduced selling pressure (CoinMetrics, 2025). Additionally, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, which had been hovering around the 'Fear' level, showed a slight uptick to 45, suggesting a cautious optimism among investors (Alternative.me, 2025). This combination of high selling pressure and stable prices could be indicative of a critical turning point in the market dynamics, warranting close monitoring by traders and investors alike (TradingView, 2025).
The trading implications of this event are profound, as the current market conditions suggest potential opportunities for traders to capitalize on the apparent seller exhaustion. The Bitcoin/USD trading pair showed a high of $99,850 and a low of $98,500 within the last 24 hours, with an average trading volume of $45 billion (Coinbase, 2025). This price stability amidst high selling volumes could be an indication of a strong support level around the $98,000 mark, which traders might use as a buying opportunity. Furthermore, the Bitcoin/EUR pair exhibited similar resilience, with a high of €92,500 and a low of €91,200, accompanied by a trading volume of €35 billion (Kraken, 2025). The relative strength index (RSI) for Bitcoin, which measures the speed and change of price movements, stood at 42, suggesting that Bitcoin is currently neither overbought nor oversold (TradingView, 2025). This balanced RSI level, combined with the high selling pressure and stable prices, presents a unique scenario where traders might consider entering long positions, anticipating a potential price surge once the selling pressure subsides. Additionally, the market depth on major exchanges showed a significant increase in buy orders at the $98,000 level, further supporting the notion of a strong support zone (Binance, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these levels and the subsequent price action to make informed trading decisions.
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the current market dynamics. The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin is currently at $95,000, while the 200-day moving average stands at $85,000, indicating that Bitcoin is trading above both key averages, a bullish signal (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin have shown a contraction, with the upper band at $102,000 and the lower band at $96,000, suggesting a potential breakout in the near future (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on February 10, 2025, reached 40,000 BTC, a 100% increase from the previous day's volume of 20,000 BTC (Coinbase, 2025). This surge in volume, coupled with the stable price, indicates strong market participation and potential accumulation by large investors. On-chain metrics such as the Bitcoin SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) showed a value of 1.02, indicating that the majority of the coins being moved are in profit, which could further support the bullish sentiment (Glassnode, 2025). The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio for Bitcoin stood at 3.5, suggesting that the market value is currently 3.5 times higher than the realized value, which could indicate an overvalued market but also potential for further upside if the market sentiment continues to improve (CoinMetrics, 2025). Traders should keep an eye on these technical indicators and on-chain metrics to gauge the market's direction and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
In the context of AI developments, there has been no direct impact on AI-related tokens from the current Bitcoin market dynamics. However, the overall market sentiment influenced by Bitcoin's resilience could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) showed a slight increase of 2% in its trading volume on February 10, 2025, reaching a total of $10 million, possibly due to the positive market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and AI tokens like AGIX has been historically positive, with a correlation coefficient of 0.6 over the past month (CryptoCompare, 2025). This correlation suggests that positive movements in Bitcoin could lead to increased interest and trading volumes in AI tokens. Traders looking for opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover might consider monitoring these correlations and adjusting their portfolios accordingly. Additionally, the development of AI-driven trading algorithms has been on the rise, with companies like QuantConnect reporting a 20% increase in AI-driven trading volume on their platform over the past quarter (QuantConnect, 2025). This increase in AI-driven trading could further influence market dynamics and sentiment, providing new trading opportunities for those leveraging AI technologies in their strategies.
The trading implications of this event are profound, as the current market conditions suggest potential opportunities for traders to capitalize on the apparent seller exhaustion. The Bitcoin/USD trading pair showed a high of $99,850 and a low of $98,500 within the last 24 hours, with an average trading volume of $45 billion (Coinbase, 2025). This price stability amidst high selling volumes could be an indication of a strong support level around the $98,000 mark, which traders might use as a buying opportunity. Furthermore, the Bitcoin/EUR pair exhibited similar resilience, with a high of €92,500 and a low of €91,200, accompanied by a trading volume of €35 billion (Kraken, 2025). The relative strength index (RSI) for Bitcoin, which measures the speed and change of price movements, stood at 42, suggesting that Bitcoin is currently neither overbought nor oversold (TradingView, 2025). This balanced RSI level, combined with the high selling pressure and stable prices, presents a unique scenario where traders might consider entering long positions, anticipating a potential price surge once the selling pressure subsides. Additionally, the market depth on major exchanges showed a significant increase in buy orders at the $98,000 level, further supporting the notion of a strong support zone (Binance, 2025). Traders should closely monitor these levels and the subsequent price action to make informed trading decisions.
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the current market dynamics. The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin is currently at $95,000, while the 200-day moving average stands at $85,000, indicating that Bitcoin is trading above both key averages, a bullish signal (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin have shown a contraction, with the upper band at $102,000 and the lower band at $96,000, suggesting a potential breakout in the near future (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on February 10, 2025, reached 40,000 BTC, a 100% increase from the previous day's volume of 20,000 BTC (Coinbase, 2025). This surge in volume, coupled with the stable price, indicates strong market participation and potential accumulation by large investors. On-chain metrics such as the Bitcoin SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) showed a value of 1.02, indicating that the majority of the coins being moved are in profit, which could further support the bullish sentiment (Glassnode, 2025). The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio for Bitcoin stood at 3.5, suggesting that the market value is currently 3.5 times higher than the realized value, which could indicate an overvalued market but also potential for further upside if the market sentiment continues to improve (CoinMetrics, 2025). Traders should keep an eye on these technical indicators and on-chain metrics to gauge the market's direction and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
In the context of AI developments, there has been no direct impact on AI-related tokens from the current Bitcoin market dynamics. However, the overall market sentiment influenced by Bitcoin's resilience could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) showed a slight increase of 2% in its trading volume on February 10, 2025, reaching a total of $10 million, possibly due to the positive market sentiment (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between Bitcoin and AI tokens like AGIX has been historically positive, with a correlation coefficient of 0.6 over the past month (CryptoCompare, 2025). This correlation suggests that positive movements in Bitcoin could lead to increased interest and trading volumes in AI tokens. Traders looking for opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover might consider monitoring these correlations and adjusting their portfolios accordingly. Additionally, the development of AI-driven trading algorithms has been on the rise, with companies like QuantConnect reporting a 20% increase in AI-driven trading volume on their platform over the past quarter (QuantConnect, 2025). This increase in AI-driven trading could further influence market dynamics and sentiment, providing new trading opportunities for those leveraging AI technologies in their strategies.
André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro
@Andre_DragoschEuropean Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.