Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis: Crypto Markets Rally on US Trade Deal Hopes Ahead of Tariff Deadline

According to @KobeissiLetter, major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Dogecoin (DOGE), experienced a price rally on Sunday. This surge is attributed to comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who indicated that several trade deals are close to being finalized before the critical July 9 tariff deadline, as reported by Reuters. Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 1%, surpassing $109,000, with current data showing a price of $109,255.49. Payments-focused XRP and Solana's SOL token each rose over 2%, with XRP trading at $2.27, while Dogecoin (DOGE) saw a 3% increase. Ethereum (ETH) also climbed 1.5% to around $2,576. The report highlights that if negotiations fail by the July 9 deadline, higher tariffs will be reinstated on August 1. This positive market reaction contrasts with the initial market sell-off in April when the tariffs were first announced, causing BTC to drop to $75,000. Despite renewed tariff threats against Canada, markets remained relatively calm on Friday, with Coinbase analysts noting that the potential economic risks have been largely disregarded by investors so far.
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Cryptocurrency markets opened the week on a decidedly bullish note, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading a broad-based rally fueled by positive macroeconomic signals from Washington. Over the weekend, Bitcoin's price surged, climbing over 1% to decisively break the $109,000 level. According to trading data, the BTC/USDT pair reached a 24-hour high of $109,656.72, with its price stabilizing around $109,255. This upward momentum was not isolated to the market leader. Major altcoins also posted significant gains, reflecting a renewed risk-on appetite among traders. Ethereum (ETH) climbed approximately 2.3% to trade at $2,576, while payments-focused token XRP saw an increase of over 2.1% to $2.27. High-performance blockchain token Solana (SOL) was another strong performer, rallying over 3.1% to push above the $152 mark. Even memecoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) caught the bid, rising nearly 2% against Bitcoin, indicating that positive sentiment was widespread across the digital asset ecosystem.
Tariff De-escalation Fuels Market Optimism
The primary catalyst for this market upswing appears to be comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding international trade negotiations. In a Sunday interview with CNN, Bessent suggested that the U.S. is on the verge of finalizing several trade agreements before a critical July 9 deadline. This date marks the end of a temporary pause on higher tariffs that President Donald Trump's administration had announced on April 2. The initial tariff announcement, which included a baseline 10% tax on all trading partners and higher rates for specific countries, had previously sent shockwaves through global financial markets, causing a sharp sell-off in both equities and cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin notably tumbling to the $75,000 level. Bessent's recent remarks, which were also reported by Reuters, have assuaged fears of a renewed trade war. He stated that while the deadline remains firm, he expects many deals to be concluded swiftly, providing a much-needed dose of confidence to investors who have been wary of geopolitical tensions. This has reinforced a narrative of "U.S. exceptionalism" that has seen American equity indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq outperform global peers, a trend that now appears to be spilling over into the crypto space.
Divergence Between Spot Crypto and Equities
Interestingly, the weekend's spot crypto rally stands in contrast to the more subdued action seen late last week and the notable weakness in crypto-related stocks. On Friday, Bitcoin's price action was relatively flat, dipping slightly to around $106,700. An index tracking the top digital assets showed a similar minor decline. However, the real divergence was visible in the stock market. Shares of major crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) fell by 6%, while the stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) experienced a dramatic 16% drop. CRCL's decline was particularly severe, marking a 40% fall since its peak of nearly $300 earlier in the week. The Bitcoin mining sector presented a mixed picture; while many miners remained flat, Hut 8 (HUT) declined by 6.5%. This was juxtaposed with Core Scientific (CORZ) surging over 30% on Thursday following reports of a potential acquisition by AI firm CoreWeave, highlighting how company-specific news can override broader sector trends.
This disconnect between the direct crypto asset prices and their equity proxies suggests a complex market dynamic. Analysts from Coinbase noted in a research report that markets seem to be largely disregarding the potential economic risks of the tariff situation, a complacency they believe will likely continue. Their reasoning is that the tariffs may not be as inflationary as initially feared and that this view has been supported by recent economic data. For traders, this creates a nuanced environment. The immediate technical picture for Bitcoin shows strong support near the 24-hour low of $107,837, with clear resistance at the recent high of $109,656. A sustained break above this level could trigger further buying, while a failure to hold support, particularly on any negative trade news, could see prices retreat. The ETH/BTC pair, which gained 1.77% to 0.02358, is also a key chart to watch, as continued strength could signal the beginning of a broader altcoin season. Ultimately, traders must balance bullish technical momentum with the underlying macroeconomic event risk tied to the upcoming July 9 deadline.
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