Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and DOGE Surge as US Hints at Trade Deals Before Critical July Tariff Deadline

According to @KobeissiLetter, major cryptocurrencies experienced a rally following comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggesting trade deals could be finalized before the July 9 tariff deadline. Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 1%, surpassing $109,000, while XRP and Solana (SOL) each rose over 2%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped 3%. Bessent stated that if deals are not reached by the deadline, tariffs announced on April 2 will be reinstated on August 1. This news follows a period of relative calm in the crypto markets, which had previously shrugged off renewed tariff threats against Canada. Analysts from Coinbase noted that markets have largely disregarded these economic risks because they have not yet been reflected in economic data, suggesting the complacency is likely to continue.
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Cryptocurrency markets demonstrated notable resilience and optimism over the weekend, with major digital assets posting significant gains. The rally was largely fueled by comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who hinted at the strong possibility of forthcoming trade agreements before a critical July 9 tariff deadline. Bitcoin (BTC), the market's bellwether, surged past a key psychological level, briefly trading above $109,000 with a 24-hour gain of over 1%. Specifically, the BTC/USDT pair reached a high of $109,656.72. The positive sentiment was not confined to Bitcoin; altcoins also enjoyed a strong bid. Ethereum (ETH) climbed 1.5% to trade around $2,550, with its USDT pair showing a 2.37% increase to hit a high of $2,603.59. Other major tokens, including Ripple's XRP and Solana's SOL, each advanced by over 2%. Meme token Dogecoin (DOGE) outperformed many of its peers, rising by 3% amidst the broad-based recovery.
Tariff Tensions and Market Reactions
The market's positive reaction is directly tied to the geopolitical narrative surrounding U.S. trade policy. According to a Reuters report on his CNN interview, Secretary Bessent emphasized that the administration is on the verge of finalizing multiple trade deals. He issued a stern warning that the temporary pause on higher tariffs, first announced on April 2, would expire on July 9. "President Trump's going to be sending letters to some of our trading partners saying that if you don't move things along, then on August 1, you will boomerang back to your April 2 tariff level," Bessent stated. This development is crucial for risk assets like cryptocurrencies, which experienced significant volatility when the tariff policy was initially unveiled. The April 2 "Liberation Day" announcement, which imposed a baseline 10% tax on trade partners, had previously sent shockwaves through financial markets, causing U.S. stocks to falter and Bitcoin to plunge to $75,000. The subsequent 90-day pause allowed markets to recover, with BTC since rallying to over $100,000, reflecting a renewed risk appetite.
Crypto Stocks and AI Sector Divergence
While the digital asset spot markets rallied on Sunday, the preceding Friday session painted a more complex picture, especially in the equities space. Bitcoin's price action was more subdued, declining 0.7% to trade at $106,700, a move largely in step with the broader crypto market indices. However, crypto-related stocks faced substantial selling pressure. Coinbase (COIN) shares dropped 6%, while stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) experienced a dramatic 16% fall. Circle's stock has been particularly volatile, down approximately 40% from its peak earlier in the week. In stark contrast, Bitcoin mining stocks remained relatively stable. This stability was underscored by the recent news involving Core Scientific (CORZ), which saw its stock jump over 30% on Thursday following reports of a potential acquisition by AI Hyperscaler CoreWeave. This highlights a growing divergence where specific company news and sector narratives, such as the intersection of crypto mining and AI infrastructure, can insulate certain stocks from broader market jitters.
Despite the looming tariff deadline and a new threat from President Trump to terminate trade discussions with Canada over a proposed Digital Services Tax, both crypto and traditional markets appear to be showing a degree of complacency. Analysts have noted that markets have largely disregarded the potential economic risks, partly because the negative impact has not yet materialized in hard economic data. The prevailing view, as noted in some institutional research, is that this complacency may persist. The rationale is that the tariffs, even if fully implemented, are unlikely to be as inflationary as initially feared. For traders, this creates a nuanced environment. While headline risk from trade disputes remains, the market's focus appears to be on specific growth stories, such as the AI-crypto nexus, and the underlying strength of bellwether assets like Bitcoin, which continues to hold its ground above the critical $100,000 support level, indicating strong investor conviction.
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