Bitcoin (BTC) Retreats from $108K as Institutional Adoption and ETF Inflows Fuel Bullish Sentiment

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin (BTC) retreated from a high of $108,000 but remains supported by bullish institutional developments, including Bill Pulte of the Federal Housing Finance Agency ordering Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider cryptocurrency holdings in mortgage criteria. The Federal Reserve's plan to overhaul bank capital requirements could boost credit creation and benefit risk assets like crypto, as noted in the report. Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro highlighted the crypto market cap at $3.31 trillion approaching a volatility threshold, while spot BTC ETFs saw $548 million in net inflows for 12 consecutive days, per Farside Investors data. Metaplanet increased its BTC holdings, and Bit Digital shifted to ETH staking, reinforcing market optimism.
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Bitcoin experienced a notable retreat from its recent high of $108,250, settling at $107,446 by 4 p.m. ET Wednesday, according to Omkar Godbole's analysis. This pullback reflects profit-taking amid broader bullish momentum, driven by institutional adoption signals. For instance, Bill Pulte, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, announced on X that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should consider cryptocurrency holdings in mortgage criteria, potentially integrating crypto into the U.S. housing market. Additionally, the Federal Reserve advanced plans to overhaul bank capital requirements, enhancing fiat liquidity and supporting risk assets like BTC. These developments underscore a shift toward mainstream acceptance, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording a net inflow of $548 million, marking 12 consecutive days of positive flows as reported by Farside Investors.
Market Indicators and Trading Opportunities
The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization reached $3.31 trillion, approaching a volatility threshold identified by Alex Kuptsikevich of FxPro. He noted that the market faces resistance in the $3.40–3.55 trillion range, which could trigger selling pressure if breached. Concurrently, the Fear and Greed Index climbed to 74, nearing extreme greed territory, indicating heightened trader optimism. On-chain metrics reveal Bitcoin's hashrate at 803 EH/s and total fees at 4.81 BTC ($515,528), while CME futures open interest spiked to a four-week high of 159,850 BTC. Derivatives data showed increased open interest for BCH, PEPE, and XMR, suggesting hedging against potential dips. For traders, key support for BTC lies near $106,414 (24-hour low), with resistance at $108,250, offering entry points on pullbacks.
Cross-Market Correlations and Macro Events
Crypto markets exhibited strong correlations with traditional assets, as Nasdaq futures hit record highs and the dollar index fell 0.56% to 97.14, reflecting risk-on sentiment. Upcoming macro events could drive volatility; for example, the U.S. Census Bureau releases May durable goods orders data on June 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET, with estimates at 8.5% MoM growth versus previous -6.3%. Similarly, Q1 GDP data and core PCE figures later in the week may influence Fed rate cut expectations, impacting crypto liquidity. Institutional flows remain robust, with Metaplanet purchasing 1,234 BTC, reinforcing corporate accumulation trends. Traders should monitor altcoins like SEI, which surged 50% amid institutional endorsements, and ETH, holding steady at $2,473 with staking rates at 3.04%, for diversification opportunities.
Technical analysis highlights bullish setups, such as the impending golden cross for the Binance-listed BTC-BCH pair, where the 50-day SMA is poised to cross above the 200-day SMA. This signals long-term upside potential, with BCH showing strength at $501.80 (24-hour high). Risk reversals on Deribit normalized to slight call bias for BTC options, while ETH options retained a put premium, indicating cautious sentiment. Volume spikes in DeFi, like USDtb borrowing on Aave hitting record highs, suggest rising demand for yield-bearing stablecoins. With token unlocks scheduled, such as SUI releasing 1.3% of supply worth $117.91 million on July 1, traders can capitalize on short-term volatility by setting stop-losses near key supports like $106,000 for BTC.
In summary, Bitcoin's retreat from $108K is a healthy consolidation within an ongoing bull run, supported by institutional inflows and favorable macro conditions. Key trading strategies include buying dips toward $106,500 with targets at $110,000, leveraging altcoin momentum in SEI or ETH, and hedging with derivatives ahead of high-impact data releases. Always verify sources like Farside Investors for ETF flows and on-chain metrics for real-time adjustments.
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