Place your ads here email us at info@blockchain.news
NEW
Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Fuels Altcoin Season Hopes as Institutional ETF Flows Surge, Analyst Predicts Rotation | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
Latest Update
7/1/2025 10:35:38 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Fuels Altcoin Season Hopes as Institutional ETF Flows Surge, Analyst Predicts Rotation

Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Fuels Altcoin Season Hopes as Institutional ETF Flows Surge, Analyst Predicts Rotation

According to Gregory Mall of Lionsoul Global, Bitcoin's (BTC) recent rally, driven by strong institutional inflows into spot ETFs and optimism around central bank rate cuts, may be setting the stage for an altcoin season. Mall's analysis highlights that Bitcoin dominance has climbed above 54%, a level that has historically preceded periods of altcoin outperformance, with altcoin rallies typically lagging BTC's all-time highs by two to six months. He points to Ethereum's (ETH) recent strength and a resurgence in DeFi, where total value locked (TVL) has surpassed $117 billion according to DeFiLlama, as early signs of a market rotation. Supporting this view, Kevin Tam notes significant institutional accumulation, with Canadian pension funds adding $55 million in spot BTC ETFs and ETF demand last year (500,000 BTC) far exceeding the newly mined supply (164,250 BTC). For traders, this suggests that while Bitcoin led the charge, the next phase of the cycle could see capital rotate into Layer-1s like Solana (SOL) and the broader DeFi ecosystem.

Source

Analysis

In a significant move underscoring the growing corporate embrace of digital assets, New York-based Mercurity Fintech Holding (MFH) announced its ambitious plan to raise $800 million for a dedicated Bitcoin (BTC) treasury. According to a company press release, this initiative is not merely about accumulation but involves creating a sophisticated, yield-generating financial structure. The strategy includes acquiring BTC, securing it with blockchain-native custody, and integrating it into a system featuring tokenized treasury tools and staking services. CEO Shi Qiu stated, “Bitcoin will become an essential component of the future financial infrastructure,” positioning the company as a key player in this evolution. This development, which saw MFH shares initially climb 1.9% before a 2.84% drop in after-hours trading, coincides with its anticipated inclusion in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indexes, signaling growing mainstream recognition and potentially attracting further institutional capital.

The Macro Landscape: Bitcoin's Quiet Rally and Institutional Tailwinds

Mercurity's strategic pivot aligns with a broader market trend that has propelled Bitcoin forward in what some analysts, like Gregory Mall of Lionsoul Global, have termed the "most hated rally." Despite low trading volumes and market skepticism, BTC has managed to challenge its all-time highs. Looking at the BTC/USDT pair, the price reached a 24-hour high of $107,437.81 before settling around $105,567.41, demonstrating sustained strength. This resilience is attributed to several key factors. Firstly, growing optimism around potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in the latter half of 2025 has revived risk appetite. Secondly, institutional inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have been relentless, absorbing over $16 billion year-to-date and creating a significant demand shock. As noted by expert Kevin Tam, ETF demand in the past year was approximately three times higher than the newly minted supply from mining, a powerful market dynamic. This institutional accumulation, exemplified by entities like Trans-Canada Capital adding $55 million in spot Bitcoin ETFs, is fundamentally altering Bitcoin's market structure.

BTC Dominance Points to a Potential Altcoin Rotation

While Bitcoin enjoys the spotlight, the broader altcoin market has been lagging. Bitcoin dominance—its share of the total crypto market capitalization—has surged to over 54% from a low of 38% in late 2022. Historically, a peak in BTC dominance often precedes a significant rally in altcoins as capital begins to rotate down the risk curve. Currently, major altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) remain roughly 20% and 30% below their respective all-time highs. The ETH/BTC pair, which saw a 24-hour range between 0.02094000 and 0.02330000, reflects this dynamic tension, with traders watching for a decisive breakout. Conversely, the SOL/BTC pair has shown a 4.3% decline over the last 24 hours, indicating that the rotation has not yet fully materialized for all major altcoins, presenting a potential opportunity for observant traders.

Is Altcoin Season on the Horizon? Key Indicators for Traders

If historical cycles repeat, the much-anticipated "altseason" could be on the horizon. Several indicators suggest this rotation may be imminent. As allocators become comfortable with their initial BTC exposure via ETFs, they are beginning to explore broader, diversified crypto products. This is coupled with significant innovation in Layer 1 (L1) ecosystems. For example, while Solana (SOL) has seen a pullback to $147.32, its underlying technology continues to advance. In contrast, Avalanche's token (AVAX) has shown remarkable strength against Bitcoin, with the AVAX/BTC pair surging 6.73% in the last 24 hours. Furthermore, the DeFi sector is showing a strong resurgence. According to data from DeFiLlama, the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols has climbed to over $117 billion, a 31% recovery from its April lows. This increasing on-chain activity suggests that as the bull market matures, investors may follow the traditional pattern of rotating from large-cap assets like BTC to mid and small-cap assets, which includes a vast array of altcoins.

However, traders should proceed with a degree of caution. As a recent OECD report highlighted, the global economic landscape remains fragile, with risks of tighter credit and declining consumer confidence. Crypto largely behaves as a risk-on asset class and would be susceptible to a broad market sell-off. Nonetheless, the trend of institutional adoption, from Mercurity's $800 million treasury plan to the steady drumbeat of ETF inflows, provides a strong foundational support for the market. For traders, the key is to watch for the confirmation of a capital rotation from BTC to the altcoin market. A breakout in the ETH/BTC pair, followed by strength in other L1s, could signal that the next, more speculative phase of this market cycle is underway, offering significant opportunities beyond Bitcoin itself.

Farside Investors

@FarsideUK

Farside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.

Place your ads here email us at info@blockchain.news