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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Institutional Mortgage Adoption Fuels Rally Past $108K, But Key Resistance Looms | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/4/2025 3:48:13 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Institutional Mortgage Adoption Fuels Rally Past $108K, But Key Resistance Looms

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Institutional Mortgage Adoption Fuels Rally Past $108K, But Key Resistance Looms

According to @FarsideUK, major institutional adoption signals are fueling Bitcoin's (BTC) momentum, highlighted by the US Federal Housing Finance Agency ordering Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider cryptocurrency holdings for mortgages, as stated by Director Bill Pulte. This bullish development helped push BTC price past $108,000, though it faces a significant resistance zone between $3.40–$3.55 trillion in total crypto market capitalization, a level that has previously activated sellers, according to FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich. Strong market underpinnings are evident, with spot BTC ETFs recording 12 consecutive days of net inflows, adding $548 million on the last reported day, according to Farside Investors. Derivatives data presents a mixed picture, as a rise in perpetual futures open interest suggests hedging, and a flat basis on CME futures weakens the bullish case. In altcoins, SEI token has surged over 50% in a week, driven by its selection for Wyoming's state-backed stablecoin pilot and strong on-chain data indicating spot-led buying.

Source

Analysis

Institutional Floodgates Open for Bitcoin as BTC Consolidates Above $109,000


The cryptocurrency market is witnessing a powerful wave of institutional adoption, providing a firm foundation for Bitcoin (BTC) as it consolidates its recent gains. After briefly touching highs above $108,000, BTC is now trading robustly near $109,602, reflecting a 1.4% increase over the past 24 hours. This price stability comes amidst a flurry of groundbreaking news that signals a deeper integration of digital assets into the traditional financial system. A pivotal development came from Bill Pulte, the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), who ordered mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to begin preparing their systems to count cryptocurrency holdings as a valid asset for mortgage applications. This potential entrenchment in the U.S. housing market represents a monumental step forward for crypto's legitimacy and utility. Simultaneously, the Federal Reserve has advanced a plan to overhaul bank capital requirements, a move widely interpreted as a positive catalyst for risk assets like Bitcoin by potentially improving banks' capacity to create credit.


Unpacking the Institutional Momentum


The institutional tailwinds extend far beyond regulatory shifts. On-chain data and investment flows paint a clear picture of sustained accumulation by large players. According to data compiled by Farside Investors, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded an impressive streak of 12 consecutive days of positive net inflows, culminating in an additional $548 million entering these products on the latest reporting day. This brings the cumulative net inflow to over $48 billion, with total BTC holdings in these ETFs now exceeding 1.23 million. Corporate treasuries are also expanding their Bitcoin allocations. The Japanese firm Metaplanet recently announced the purchase of another 1,234 BTC, while Nasdaq-listed Bit Digital is strategically pivoting to become a pure-play Ether (ETH) staking and treasury company. These actions, coupled with a policy statement from the Hong Kong Government aimed at streamlining digital asset regulation, underscore a global and coordinated move towards embracing cryptocurrencies at an institutional level.


Market Indicators and Trader Sentiment


While the fundamental picture is overwhelmingly bullish, market indicators suggest traders are navigating a critical juncture. According to an analysis by FxPro's Alex Kuptsikevich, the total crypto market capitalization is approaching a significant volatility threshold between $3.40 trillion and $3.55 trillion, a zone that has previously activated strong selling pressure. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index currently sits at 74, indicating a state of "Greed" but just shy of "Extreme Greed," suggesting that while sentiment is high, there is still some room for growth before the market becomes overly euphoric. The derivatives market offers a more nuanced view. Open interest in CME Bitcoin futures has climbed to a four-week high of 159,850 BTC, a bullish signal. However, the basis, or the premium of futures contracts over the spot price, remains relatively flat below 10%, which tempers the bullish narrative and suggests that leveraged traders may be exercising some caution. Options data from Deribit shows a slight bias for call options in BTC, but a premium for protective puts in near-term ETH contracts, indicating mixed positioning among sophisticated traders.


Altcoin Spotlight and Cross-Market Analysis


The bullish sentiment is not confined to Bitcoin. Several altcoins are showing remarkable strength, led by SEI, which has surged over 50% in the past week. This rally is fueled by a confluence of positive catalysts, including its selection as a settlement layer for Wyoming's state-backed stablecoin pilot, a recent validator APY increase, and a favorable token unlock schedule. On-chain metrics confirm the rally's organic nature, with CEX inflows topping $3 million against a modest 9% rise in open interest, indicating spot-driven demand. According to data from DeFiLlama, Sei's Total Value Locked (TVL) has surpassed $540 million, with DEX volume hitting a record $60 million. Other major assets like Ether (ETH) are also performing well, climbing over 2.7% to trade at $2,580. This broad market strength is supported by a favorable macroeconomic backdrop, with the U.S. Dollar Index continuing to lose ground and U.S. equity futures pointing to continued risk-on appetite. This environment creates a powerful tailwind for the entire digital asset class, from market leaders to emerging layer-1 protocols.

Farside Investors

@FarsideUK

Farside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.

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