Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Bulls Push Past $108K as Institutional Adoption and Favorable Macro News Signal Further Upside

According to @OnchainDataNerd, Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $108,000, fueled by significant bullish developments, including an order from the Federal Housing Finance Agency for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider cryptocurrency holdings for mortgage applications. Additional positive momentum comes from the Federal Reserve's plan to overhaul bank capital requirements, which is seen as beneficial for risk assets like crypto. Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich from FxPro notes that the total crypto market cap is approaching a critical volatility threshold of $3.40–$3.55 trillion, a level that has previously activated sellers. The market sentiment is further supported by spot BTC ETFs recording 12 consecutive days of net inflows, with the latest daily inflow hitting $548 million. In other altcoin news, SEI token has rallied 50% in a week, driven by what analysts call a 'clean, multi-factor rally' including strong spot-buying and institutional validation from Wyoming's state-backed dollar pilot program.
SourceAnalysis
The cryptocurrency market is witnessing a powerful wave of institutional adoption, fueling a significant rally that pushed Bitcoin (BTC) above the $108,000 mark before a slight consolidation. While the price momentarily retreated to $107,446, a drop of 0.37% as of Wednesday at 4 p.m. ET, the underlying bullish sentiment is being reinforced by groundbreaking policy shifts. In a landmark move, Bill Pulte, the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, has instructed mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare for including cryptocurrency holdings in their mortgage evaluation criteria. This potential integration into the U.S. housing market represents a monumental step for digital asset legitimacy. Further supporting risk assets, the Federal Reserve has advanced a plan to overhaul bank capital requirements, a development seen as broadly positive for market liquidity and assets like Bitcoin.
Market Health Signals Strong Spot-Driven Momentum
The overall market health reflects this optimism, though analysts urge caution at these elevated levels. According to FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich, the total crypto market capitalization has climbed to $3.31 trillion, nearing a critical threshold where volatility often increases. "Just above that, in the $3.40–$3.55 trillion range, is a turning point, which has activated sellers and prevented the market from consolidating higher," Kuptsikevich noted. The market's temperature is running hot, with the Fear and Greed Index reaching 74, just shy of the "extreme greed" zone. This bullishness is backed by hard data from spot Bitcoin ETFs, which, according to Farside Investors, recorded a net inflow of $547.7 million, marking twelve consecutive days of positive flows and bringing cumulative net inflows to over $48 billion. This demand is not just from ETFs; corporate treasuries continue to accumulate, with Japanese firm Metaplanet purchasing another 1,234 BTC.
Altcoin Spotlight: SEI's Multi-Factor Rally
Amid the market-wide uptrend, the SEI token has emerged as a standout performer, surging over 50% in a single week. Analysts, including Shaurya Malwa, describe this as a “clean, multi-factor rally” driven by fundamental catalysts rather than speculative leverage. A key factor is institutional validation, with Wyoming selecting SEI as a settlement layer for its state-backed dollar pilot (WYST). This was compounded by a series of positive developments, including an airdrop v2 snapshot, an increase in validator annual percentage yield (APY) to 9%, and a lack of significant token unlocks in the near future, which alleviates selling pressure. On-chain metrics support the narrative of an organic, spot-led rally. Centralized exchange inflows surpassed $3 million, while perpetual open interest grew by a modest 9% with flat funding rates. Furthermore, Sei's Total Value Locked (TVL) has crossed $540 million, and its decentralized exchange (DEX) volume hit a record $60 million, signaling growing traction within its DeFi ecosystem. For traders, the key is to watch for signs of overextension, such as funding rates climbing above 0.05% or open interest growth outpacing spot volume.
Derivatives and Technicals Show a Mixed Picture
While the spot market flashes green, the derivatives landscape presents a more nuanced view. Bitcoin's slight pullback from its high of over $108,250 was accompanied by a rise in perpetual futures open interest, suggesting some traders may be establishing hedges against a deeper correction. On the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), BTC futures open interest climbed to a four-week high of 159,850 BTC, indicating strong institutional participation. However, the futures basis—the premium of futures price over spot—remains flat below 10%, which slightly weakens the aggressive bullish positioning narrative. In the options market, data from Deribit shows risk reversals have normalized to a slight call (bullish) bias for BTC, while near-term Ether (ETH) options still carry a slight put (bearish) premium. From a technical analysis perspective, traders are watching the Binance-listed BTC/BCH pair, where the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is on track to cross above the 200-day SMA. This “golden cross” is a classic long-term bullish indicator that could signal sustained upside for the pair.
In conclusion, the crypto market is navigating a period of immense opportunity driven by institutional and policy tailwinds. The consistent spot ETF inflows and corporate accumulation provide a strong demand floor. While Bitcoin consolidates below its recent highs, and the derivatives market signals some caution, the broader macro environment remains supportive, with a weakening U.S. dollar and risk-on sentiment in equity markets. Traders are closely monitoring key resistance levels and on-chain data to gauge the sustainability of this powerful rally, with altcoins like SEI demonstrating that strong fundamentals can drive exceptional performance even in a BTC-dominated market.
The Data Nerd
@OnchainDataNerdThe Data Nerd (On a mission to make onchain data digestible)