Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: BTC Holds $105K Support Amid Geopolitical Tension, QCP Cites Hedging Pressure

According to @GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting resilience by holding the crucial $105,000 support level despite significant market pressure from the escalating Israel-Iran conflict. Trading firm QCP notes that while the market is stuck in a range awaiting geopolitical clarity, risk reversals have flipped, indicating heightened investor anxiety and a preference for downside protection through puts. Technical analysis shows BTC trading within a range of $104,220 to $106,135, with a rising trendline of higher lows remaining intact. Despite over $1.1 billion in recent liquidations, on-chain data cited by QCP suggests that institutional buying continues to provide support on dips, consolidating the price rather than signaling a reversal.
SourceAnalysis
Bitcoin (BTC) demonstrated significant resilience, pushing towards the $110,500 resistance level despite a volatile backdrop of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and renewed trade war fears. Over the past 24 hours, the BTC/USDT pair surged by 2.41% to trade at approximately $110,399. Price action was dynamic, with the asset carving out a range between a low of $107,671 and a high of $110,493. This upward momentum comes after a period of intense market anxiety that triggered over $1.1 billion in crypto liquidations during the initial shock of conflict headlines. However, the subsequent recovery suggests that institutional dip-buying and long-term conviction remain robust. According to a recent analysis from trading firm QCP, the market remains on edge, closely watching for any further escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict, which is currently acting as the primary driver of short-term sentiment and volatility.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin's ability to reclaim and hold levels above $110,000 is a critical bullish signal. The 24-hour low of $107,671 has now established itself as a key support zone, a level that traders will be monitoring closely for signs of accumulation. A sustained break above the immediate resistance at $110,493 could open the door for a retest of higher price targets. Interestingly, Ethereum (ETH) has outpaced Bitcoin in the recent recovery. The ETH/USDT pair rallied an impressive 6.76% to $2,620, while the ETH/BTC pair climbed 4.55% to 0.02389. This outperformance suggests a potential rotation of capital into Ethereum or a broader flight to quality within the top-tier digital assets. The strong bid for ETH indicates that market participants see fundamental value, possibly linked to its deflationary tokenomics and upcoming network developments, even amidst macroeconomic uncertainty. Other large-cap altcoins also showed strength, with Solana (SOL) rising 2.5% to $153 and Cardano (ADA) jumping nearly 7% to $0.6035, signaling a broad-based recovery in risk appetite.
On-Chain Strength and Network Development Signal Long-Term Health
While short-term price action remains tied to geopolitical headlines, on-chain data and network fundamentals paint a more optimistic long-term picture. According to data highlighted by Glassnode, Bitcoin's current cycle gain of 656% is impressive, especially considering its significantly larger market capitalization compared to previous bull runs in 2015-2018 and 2018-2022. This metric underscores that investor demand is keeping pace with the asset's maturation. Further bolstering the case for network resilience, Alex Thorn of Galaxy Research noted that recent debates around OP_Return were largely overblown. He argued that with the mempool relatively clear compared to the congestion seen in 2023, focus should shift towards meaningful upgrades. Thorn specifically pointed to CheckTemplateVerify (CTV) as a powerful proposed opcode that could significantly improve custody solutions, noting that it already has support from approximately 20% of Bitcoin's hashrate. This focus on long-term, conservative evolution is crucial for building a scalable and secure foundation for broader adoption.
Ecosystem Growth Continues with Solana DEX Launch
Underscoring the relentless pace of innovation in the crypto space, exchange Bybit announced its entry into the decentralized exchange (DEX) market with Byreal, a new platform built on the high-performance Solana blockchain. According to Bybit CEO Ben Zhou, the testnet is slated for a June 30 launch, with a full mainnet release planned for later in the year. The move is significant as it aims to merge the high liquidity and rapid execution of centralized finance with the transparency and composability of DeFi. This development provides another strong use case for the Solana ecosystem and reflects a broader industry trend of major players building on-chain infrastructure. The news likely contributed to positive sentiment around SOL, which maintained its position above the key $150 psychological level. Such ecosystem developments are a vital counterweight to macro fears, reminding traders that the underlying technological progress of the digital asset industry continues unabated, providing long-term value irrespective of daily market fluctuations.
Greeks.live
@GreeksLiveGreeks.live is Professional Option Traders’ Arsenal.