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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: BTC Holds $105K Amid Geopolitical Fears, Analysts Eye $88K Pullback Before $130K Rally | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/2/2025 7:45:00 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: BTC Holds $105K Amid Geopolitical Fears, Analysts Eye $88K Pullback Before $130K Rally

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: BTC Holds $105K Amid Geopolitical Fears, Analysts Eye $88K Pullback Before $130K Rally

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized above $105,000 after a sharp dip caused by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with technical analysis showing strong support in the $104,000–$105,000 range. Despite the rebound, analysts warn of potential further downside. Markus Thielen of 10x Research noted that BTC's drop below $106,000 signifies a failed breakout, suggesting traders should watch the $100,000-$101,000 zone as key support. Furthermore, John Glover, CIO at Ledn, anticipates a corrective phase that could push Bitcoin's price down to an $88,000-$93,000 range, which he identifies as a favorable entry point for investors before a potential rally toward the $130,000 area. This short-term caution contrasts with long-term bullish sentiment, highlighted by Bitwise's Jeff Park, who described owning one whole Bitcoin as the 'new American Dream' for a generation valuing financial self-sovereignty.

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Analysis

Bitcoin Navigates Geopolitical Turbulence as Analysts Eye Key Support Levels


Bitcoin (BTC) is demonstrating resilience, holding its ground above the critical $65,000 mark after a volatile session driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The premier cryptocurrency experienced a sharp, albeit brief, plunge to below $64,000 following reports of military actions between Israel and Iran. However, the dip was met with significant buying pressure, allowing BTC to swiftly reclaim lost territory. As of the latest trading sessions, Bitcoin is consolidating around $65,590, posting a modest gain and signaling underlying market strength. This rapid recovery underscores the importance of the $64,000 to $65,000 range as a formidable support zone, where high-volume accumulation was evident. While the immediate market sentiment remains cautious, with traders bracing for potential weekend volatility, the fundamental upward trend for Bitcoin appears structurally intact for now.



Beyond the short-term market jitters, a powerful long-term narrative continues to build momentum, particularly among younger demographics. In a recent discussion, Jeff Park, Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise Asset Management, highlighted a significant cultural shift in investment aspirations. Park observed that for many, the traditional dream of suburban homeownership is being supplanted by a new digital-age goal: becoming a "wholecoiner," or owning at least one full Bitcoin. This objective is viewed not just as a financial investment, but as a symbol of prestige, long-term security, and even a means to establish a multi-generational financial legacy. Park emphasized that Bitcoin's decentralized and apolitical nature is a core driver of this trend, offering a global value system that allows individuals to opt into a network they perceive as more reliable than traditional financial infrastructures.



Technical Outlook and Potential for Deeper Correction


From a technical standpoint, the recent price action presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic picture. The bounce from the sub-$64,000 lows was sharp, but as crypto trader Skew noted in a recent social media post, the market lacks strong follow-through to the upside. Traders are likely to remain on the sidelines through the weekend, given Bitcoin's tight correlation with traditional markets amidst heightened geopolitical risk. While the immediate support holds, some analysts are warning of a potential for a deeper pullback before the next major leg up. Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, suggested that BTC's inability to decisively break and hold above $66,000 could be interpreted as a failed breakout. He advised traders to wait for more favorable setups, identifying the $60,000 to $61,000 zone as the next key support level. A break below this area could signal a return to a broader consolidation phase.



Furthering this cautious outlook, John Glover, the chief investment officer at Ledn, posited that Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase from its recent all-time highs. He projects a potential decline towards the $58,000 to $63,000 range. However, Glover views this potential dip not as a bearish signal, but as a prime buying opportunity for strategic investors looking to position themselves before the next major uptrend resumes. He anticipates that once this corrective pattern concludes, Bitcoin could be poised to begin its next significant move higher, targeting the $130,000 area. This dynamic highlights the stark contrast in the current market: short-term fear driven by macroeconomic and geopolitical events clashing with a deeply ingrained long-term conviction in Bitcoin's value proposition. While altcoins like Ether (ETH), Avalanche (AVAX), and Toncoin (TON) saw steeper pullbacks of 6-8%, and crypto-related equities such as miners Marathon Digital (MARA) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) fell 4-5%, the broader focus remains on Bitcoin's ability to navigate this turbulence and set the stage for its next chapter.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast

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