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Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Rally on Macro Tailwinds and Regulatory Clarity, But Altcoins Face Profit-Taking Pressure | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/3/2025 5:42:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Rally on Macro Tailwinds and Regulatory Clarity, But Altcoins Face Profit-Taking Pressure

Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Rally on Macro Tailwinds and Regulatory Clarity, But Altcoins Face Profit-Taking Pressure

According to @CryptoMichNL, a Coinbase Research report indicates a constructive outlook for crypto markets in the second half of the year, fueled by an improving macroeconomic backdrop, growing corporate adoption, and significant regulatory progress. The report highlights that stronger U.S. growth, potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, and the advancement of crypto bills like the GENIUS and CLARITY Acts are creating tailwinds for Bitcoin (BTC). While BTC is positioned to benefit, the report suggests altcoins may lag without specific catalysts. This analysis comes as the market shows signs of short-term fatigue, with traders taking profits on major altcoins. Data shows Dogecoin (DOGE), Tron (TRX), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) have experienced losses between 3% and 5.5%. Analysts like Augustine Fan of SignalPlus note that mainstream sentiment has improved, driven by crypto company IPOs and corporations adding BTC to their treasuries. Kraken economist Thomas Perfumo adds that the adoption of spot ETFs in a more favorable U.S. regulatory environment is a key factor absorbing supply.

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Analysis

Bitcoin Holds Above $108,000 as Altcoins Face Profit-Taking Pressure


Bitcoin (BTC) demonstrated significant resilience on Thursday, maintaining its position firmly above the $108,000 level even as the broader cryptocurrency market began to show signs of fatigue. While the leading digital asset traded around $108,968 on the BTC/USDT pair, reaching a 24-hour high of $110,493, a wave of profit-taking swept across major altcoins. This divergence suggests a flight to relative safety within the crypto space, as traders lock in gains from recent altcoin outperformance. Ether (ETH), which had a strong run last week fueled by ETF inflows, cooled off after briefly touching a high of $2,633, retracting to approximately $2,549, a dip of about 1.85% over 24 hours. The selling pressure was more pronounced in other large-cap altcoins, with Solana (SOL) falling 3.3% to $149.86 and Cardano (ADA) dropping nearly 4% to $0.5827. Other notable assets like XRP also saw declines, trading down around 3% to $2.2334. This market action indicates that while the overall sentiment remains constructive, key resistance levels are prompting short-term tactical selling in assets that have seen substantial recent appreciation.



The underlying market structure, however, is being bolstered by an increasingly positive macroeconomic outlook and growing institutional appetite, according to a recent Coinbase Research report. After a shaky start to the year, economic indicators are pointing towards renewed strength in the U.S. economy. A key data point highlighted is the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker, which surged to an estimated 3.8% quarter-over-quarter growth in early June. This robust figure, combined with rising expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts later in the year, has significantly eased recessionary fears and improved investor confidence in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The report also suggests that a potential decline in the U.S. dollar's global dominance could further enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a store of value and an inflation hedge, providing a powerful tailwind for BTC price action in the second half of the year.



Institutional Flows and Regulatory Tailwinds Reshape Market Dynamics


The narrative of institutional adoption is no longer a future projection but a present-day reality that is actively shaping demand. Augustine Fan, Head of Insights at SignalPlus, noted a palpable shift in mainstream sentiment, stating that "BTC treasury plays have also been in vogue with a seemingly endless stream of companies looking to copy the MSTR playbook." This trend is facilitated by a 2024 accounting rule change allowing for "mark-to-market" valuation of digital assets, making it more attractive for public companies to hold crypto on their balance sheets. Furthermore, the success of recent crypto-related public offerings and filings from major players like Gemini and Bullish signals a deeper integration with traditional finance. Thomas Perfumo, an economist at Kraken, described this as a "virtuous cycle," where the adoption of structural vehicles like spot ETFs is absorbing supply much faster than initially anticipated, creating a strong structural bid for assets like Bitcoin.



Navigating the Path to Regulatory Clarity


Alongside strong macro and institutional trends, the push for clearer regulations in the United States is creating one of the most significant catalysts for the market. The Coinbase report emphasizes the importance of legislative progress, pointing to the bipartisan GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the broader CLARITY Act, which aims to delineate the regulatory responsibilities of the SEC and CFTC. If passed, this legislation would provide much-needed legal certainty for both issuers and investors, potentially unlocking a new wave of capital deployment into the space. The market is also keenly watching the SEC's decisions on over 80 pending crypto ETF applications, which include multi-asset funds and products involving staking. With some rulings anticipated as early as July and the rest likely by October, these decisions could serve as major price catalysts, particularly for the altcoins included in these proposals. According to Jeffrey Ding, Chief Analyst at HashKey Group, markets are optimistic that "digital assets will continue to grow as macroeconomic influences find resolution while institutions further integrate within the industry." This convergence of improving economic conditions, accelerating institutional adoption, and impending regulatory clarity paints a constructive picture for Bitcoin, while the outlook for altcoins remains closely tied to these specific, high-impact developments.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast

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