Bitcoin (BTC) Nears $110K, Altcoins Rally on US Trade Deal Hopes; Analysts Eye Major July Volatility from Tariffs and Policy

According to @rovercrc, major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin (BTC), Dogecoin (DOGE), and XRP rose after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinted at forthcoming trade deals ahead of the critical July 9 tariff deadline. The source reports that Bitcoin briefly surpassed $109,000 and later pushed towards $110,000 following news of a U.S.-Vietnam trade agreement. Market sentiment was also boosted by the successful launch of the REX-Osprey Solana + Staking ETF (SSK), which Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted had a strong trading debut. Looking ahead, Vetle Lunde of K33 research warns that July could be a highly volatile month for Bitcoin, citing potential catalysts such as a new U.S. expansionary budget bill, the July 9 tariff deadline, and a final deadline for a crypto executive order on July 22. Despite the potential for volatility, Lunde suggests that since crypto-leverage remains contained, maintaining spot exposure is a favorable strategy.
SourceAnalysis
The cryptocurrency market saw a significant surge in optimism, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading the charge towards the critical $110,000 resistance level. The positive momentum came as risk assets, including digital currencies and U.S. equities, responded favorably to hints of imminent trade deals from the Trump administration. Bitcoin, which had experienced a brief dip below $106,000 during a risk-off wave on Tuesday, rebounded sharply. It was last seen trading near its highest point since June 11, at approximately $109,500, marking a 3.5% increase over a 24-hour period. However, current data for the BTC/USDT pair shows a price of $107,800 after reaching a 24-hour high of $109,656.72, suggesting some profit-taking or consolidation just below the key psychological barrier. The broader market followed suit, with Ethereum (ETH) rising 1.5% to $2,550, while altcoins like XRP and Solana (SOL) posted gains of over 2% each. The popular meme token Dogecoin (DOGE) saw a 3% jump, reflecting widespread bullish sentiment.
Trade Policy and Market Correlation
The primary catalyst for this market-wide rally appears to be comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding trade negotiations. In a CNN interview, Bessent indicated that the U.S. is on the verge of finalizing several trade agreements ahead of the crucial July 9 Liberation Day tariff deadline. According to a report from Reuters, Bessent warned that trading partners who fail to expedite deals would see tariffs revert to the higher levels announced on April 2, effective August 1. This coercive strategy, aimed at rebalancing the U.S. trade deficit, has been a major source of market volatility. The initial tariff announcement on April 2 triggered a severe sell-off, which saw Bitcoin’s price plummet to $75,000. The subsequent 90-day pause allowed markets to recover, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin all rallying significantly. The recently announced trade deal with Vietnam, where the U.S. will impose a 20% tariff on Vietnamese goods and 40% on transshipped products, further fueled the risk-on mood, lifting the Nasdaq by 0.8%.
Solana ETF Debut and Altcoin Performance
Adding to the positive crypto-specific sentiment was the successful launch of the REX-Osprey Solana + Staking ETF (SSK), the first crypto staking product of its kind in the U.S. The ETF's impressive debut saw trading volume reach $20 million, a figure that Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas described as "really strong, top 1% for a new launch." This performance starkly contrasts with the mere $1 million in volume seen on the first day of trading for SOLZ, a futures-based Solana ETF that launched in March. The strong investor appetite for SSK highlights growing institutional and retail interest in yield-bearing crypto assets. While SOL/USDT has seen a recent pullback to $147.91, its 24-hour high was $153.67, indicating strong underlying interest. In other altcoin markets, the AVAX/BTC pair showed exceptional strength, rallying 6.73% to 0.00022670 BTC, outperforming the market leader and signaling robust momentum for the Avalanche ecosystem.
July Looms as a Month of Potential Volatility
Looking ahead, traders are bracing for a potentially turbulent July, with several key dates and events on the horizon. Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33, pointed to multiple sources of what he terms "latent Trump volatility." The President is expected to sign a massive expansionary budget bill, dubbed the "Big Beautiful Bill," by Friday, which could inject $3.3 trillion into the economy and potentially act as a tailwind for scarce assets like Bitcoin. Furthermore, the July 9 tariff deadline remains a critical inflection point that could reintroduce aggressive trade posturing. Finally, July 22 marks the final deadline for action on a long-awaited crypto executive order, which could include updates on the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Despite these looming catalysts, Lunde noted that crypto markets are not showing signs of excessive froth, with leverage remaining contained. "This favors maintaining spot exposure and staying patient as we progress into a period well known for its seasonal apathy," he advised, suggesting that a major market-wide deleveraging event is unlikely.
Crypto Rover
@rovercrc160K-strong crypto YouTuber and Cryptosea founder, dedicated to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency education.