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Bitcoin (BTC) Accumulator Strategy Outperforms DCA by 26%; Circle (USDC) IPO Success Explained | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/6/2025 12:02:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Accumulator Strategy Outperforms DCA by 26%; Circle (USDC) IPO Success Explained

Bitcoin (BTC) Accumulator Strategy Outperforms DCA by 26%; Circle (USDC) IPO Success Explained

According to @QCompounding, new research from crypto options market maker OrBit Markets reveals that a Bitcoin (BTC) 'accumulator' strategy has significantly outperformed traditional dollar-cost averaging (DCA) since January 2023. Pulkit Goyal of OrBit Markets stated that backtesting showed a 12-month BTC accumulator strategy resulted in an average acquisition cost of $32,079, outperforming DCA's average price of $43,329 by 26%. This structured product, which involves a commitment to buy BTC at a discount with a knock-out barrier, is deemed a better fit for corporate treasuries, though it carries risks like mandatory double purchases if the price falls below the strike. Separately, Aaron Brogan of Brogan Law analyzes the recent success of crypto IPOs, particularly Circle's (USDC), which saw its market cap soar to $43.9 billion. Brogan suggests this may be due to a public market 'crypto premium' similar to MicroStrategy, regulatory clarity from the GENIUS Act, and higher revenue from US Treasury yields. Finally, Jean-Marie Mognetti of CoinShares notes that nearly 90% of crypto holders plan to increase their allocations, signaling strong underlying investor commitment and demand for advisor expertise in risk management and secure products like ETFs.

Source

Analysis

Corporate treasuries are increasingly looking beyond simple buy-and-hold strategies for their Bitcoin (BTC) holdings, with new research suggesting a more sophisticated approach could yield significantly better results. While Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) has been a go-to for its simplicity, a study by crypto options market maker OrBit Markets indicates that a structured product known as an "accumulator" has consistently outperformed DCA since January 2023. This strategy is gaining traction as a disciplined, cost-effective method for corporations to build their crypto positions. As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading robustly around $108,892 on the BTC/USDT pair, underscoring the high stakes involved in optimizing acquisition costs.

According to Pulkit Goyal, head of trading at OrBit Markets, backtesting revealed compelling results. "Our backtest results show that the accumulator strategy outperformed DCA over the past 2.5-year period," Goyal stated. Specifically, three-month accumulators delivered a 10% outperformance. The advantage grew with longer time horizons, as six- and twelve-month accumulators outperformed DCA by 13% and 26%, respectively. The backtest, running from January 2023 to mid-June 2025, showed the accumulator strategy achieved an average BTC acquisition cost of $39,035, compared to the DCA average of $43,329. This significant discount makes it a "natural fit for crypto treasury companies' use case," Goyal added.

How the Bitcoin Accumulator Works

The accumulator is a structured product designed to acquire an asset at a discount over time, but it comes with unique obligations. An investor agrees to buy a set amount of BTC at a fixed, discounted strike price at regular intervals. The structure remains active unless the spot price hits a pre-determined upper "knock-out" barrier, at which point the contract terminates. However, the strategy carries a notable risk, earning it the nickname "I Kill You Later" in traditional markets. If the BTC spot price falls below the discounted strike price, the investor is obligated to buy double the agreed-upon amount at that same strike price, which would be higher than the current market rate. This makes the strategy unsuitable for short-term speculators but ideal for long-term accumulators with a bullish conviction who seek to lower their cost basis systematically.

Crypto Meets Wall Street: The IPO Boom

The theme of sophisticated crypto adoption extends to the public markets, where a wave of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) is reshaping the intersection of digital assets and traditional finance. Recent months have seen major listings, including Circle Internet Group Inc., the issuer of the USDC stablecoin. On June 5, 2025, Circle raised approximately $1.05 billion, with its market cap surging to an astonishing $43.9 billion post-IPO. This followed successful offerings from trading platform eToro and Galaxy Digital, which uplisted to Nasdaq. According to analysis from Aaron Brogan of Brogan Law, Circle's remarkable success can be attributed to several factors. These include strong public market comparables like MicroStrategy, which trades at a significant premium to its Bitcoin holdings, growing regulatory clarity for stablecoins, and a favorable macroeconomic environment with rising Treasury yields that directly boost Circle's revenue from its reserves.

This IPO success signals overwhelming investor demand and has prompted other major crypto firms like Gemini and Bullish to pursue public listings. For traders, this trend creates new avenues for crypto exposure through regulated stock exchanges. It also presents complex valuation questions. For instance, Brogan notes that Circle's market cap is now more than half of Coinbase's, despite Coinbase having a contractual right to half of Circle's reserve revenue, among its other business lines. This suggests the market may be applying a unique premium to pure-play stablecoin issuers. As institutional and retail interest grows, the performance of these publicly traded crypto companies will likely influence broader market sentiment and capital flows into digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL), which was recently trading up 2.9% at $151.78.

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