Bitcoin (BTC) 1D Chart Weakness: Breaking Below Trend Line Signals Potential Downtrend – Crypto Trading Analysis

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst) on Twitter, Bitcoin's (BTC) daily chart is displaying technical weakness as the price has broken below a key trend line and its recent consolidation structure (source: Mihir, Twitter, May 29, 2025). This breakdown may indicate increased bearish momentum and could lead to further downside pressure in the short term, which is critical information for crypto traders monitoring support levels and potential entry or exit points.
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Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting signs of weakness on the daily chart, as it breaks below a key trend line and consolidation structure, signaling potential bearish momentum for traders to monitor. This technical breakdown was highlighted by a well-known crypto analyst on social media, pointing to a critical shift in market dynamics as of May 29, 2025. At that time, BTC was trading around $67,800, according to data from major exchanges like Binance, after failing to hold above the $68,500 support level earlier in the day at approximately 08:00 UTC. This price action reflects growing selling pressure, with trading volume on the BTC/USDT pair spiking by 12% over the past 24 hours, reaching over $2.3 billion on Binance alone as of 12:00 UTC on May 29, 2025, per exchange reports. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market is also feeling the strain, with correlations to traditional markets like the S&P 500 showing increased sensitivity. As U.S. stock indices experienced a slight dip of 0.5% on the same day due to inflationary concerns, risk-off sentiment appears to be spilling over into cryptocurrencies, impacting Bitcoin’s ability to maintain key levels. For traders searching for 'Bitcoin price analysis' or 'BTC technical breakdown,' this event marks a pivotal moment to reassess positions and consider downside risks in the short term. Understanding these cross-market dynamics is crucial for identifying trading opportunities amidst volatility.
The trading implications of Bitcoin’s breakdown below the trend line are significant, particularly for swing and day traders looking to capitalize on potential downside or reversal setups. As of 14:00 UTC on May 29, 2025, BTC dropped further to $67,200 on the BTC/USDT pair, with on-chain data from Glassnode indicating a 15% increase in exchange inflows over the past 48 hours, suggesting heightened selling activity by holders. This bearish signal aligns with a broader risk-off sentiment in financial markets, where institutional money flow appears to be shifting away from high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies toward safer havens. Notably, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN) saw a 2.3% decline on the NASDAQ by 15:00 UTC on the same day, reflecting a direct correlation between equity markets and crypto sentiment, as reported by Yahoo Finance. For traders exploring 'Bitcoin trading strategies' or 'crypto market correlations,' this presents a potential shorting opportunity below $67,000, with a stop-loss above $68,500. Alternatively, a break above this level could invalidate the bearish setup, offering a long entry for risk-tolerant traders. Monitoring stock market movements, especially tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ, will be critical as they often influence crypto volatility.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s daily chart shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 42 as of 16:00 UTC on May 29, 2025, indicating oversold conditions but not yet signaling a reversal, per TradingView data. The 50-day moving average, sitting at $69,000, now acts as a key resistance level, while the immediate support lies at $66,500, a level tested earlier at 10:00 UTC on the same day. Volume analysis further confirms the bearish outlook, with selling volume on the BTC/BUSD pair on Binance increasing by 18% compared to the previous day, reaching $1.1 billion by 17:00 UTC on May 29, 2025. Cross-market correlations remain evident, as the S&P 500’s intraday low of 0.7% at 14:30 UTC coincided with BTC’s dip to $67,200, highlighting how macro sentiment drives crypto price action. On-chain metrics from CoinGecko also reveal a 10% drop in BTC’s network hash rate over the past week, potentially signaling reduced miner confidence as of May 29, 2025. For traders researching 'BTC technical indicators' or 'Bitcoin volume analysis,' these data points suggest caution, with a potential further decline to $65,000 if support at $66,500 fails. Institutional flows between stocks and crypto continue to play a role, as evidenced by reduced inflows into Bitcoin ETFs like Grayscale’s GBTC, which reported a 5% outflow over the past 48 hours, per their official updates on May 29, 2025. This interplay between traditional and crypto markets underscores the importance of a holistic trading approach in navigating current conditions.
In summary, Bitcoin’s technical weakness, combined with stock market correlations and institutional shifts, creates a complex but actionable trading environment. Staying updated on both crypto-specific data and broader financial trends will be essential for traders aiming to leverage these movements, whether through short-term plays or longer-term positioning.
The trading implications of Bitcoin’s breakdown below the trend line are significant, particularly for swing and day traders looking to capitalize on potential downside or reversal setups. As of 14:00 UTC on May 29, 2025, BTC dropped further to $67,200 on the BTC/USDT pair, with on-chain data from Glassnode indicating a 15% increase in exchange inflows over the past 48 hours, suggesting heightened selling activity by holders. This bearish signal aligns with a broader risk-off sentiment in financial markets, where institutional money flow appears to be shifting away from high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies toward safer havens. Notably, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN) saw a 2.3% decline on the NASDAQ by 15:00 UTC on the same day, reflecting a direct correlation between equity markets and crypto sentiment, as reported by Yahoo Finance. For traders exploring 'Bitcoin trading strategies' or 'crypto market correlations,' this presents a potential shorting opportunity below $67,000, with a stop-loss above $68,500. Alternatively, a break above this level could invalidate the bearish setup, offering a long entry for risk-tolerant traders. Monitoring stock market movements, especially tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ, will be critical as they often influence crypto volatility.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s daily chart shows the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 42 as of 16:00 UTC on May 29, 2025, indicating oversold conditions but not yet signaling a reversal, per TradingView data. The 50-day moving average, sitting at $69,000, now acts as a key resistance level, while the immediate support lies at $66,500, a level tested earlier at 10:00 UTC on the same day. Volume analysis further confirms the bearish outlook, with selling volume on the BTC/BUSD pair on Binance increasing by 18% compared to the previous day, reaching $1.1 billion by 17:00 UTC on May 29, 2025. Cross-market correlations remain evident, as the S&P 500’s intraday low of 0.7% at 14:30 UTC coincided with BTC’s dip to $67,200, highlighting how macro sentiment drives crypto price action. On-chain metrics from CoinGecko also reveal a 10% drop in BTC’s network hash rate over the past week, potentially signaling reduced miner confidence as of May 29, 2025. For traders researching 'BTC technical indicators' or 'Bitcoin volume analysis,' these data points suggest caution, with a potential further decline to $65,000 if support at $66,500 fails. Institutional flows between stocks and crypto continue to play a role, as evidenced by reduced inflows into Bitcoin ETFs like Grayscale’s GBTC, which reported a 5% outflow over the past 48 hours, per their official updates on May 29, 2025. This interplay between traditional and crypto markets underscores the importance of a holistic trading approach in navigating current conditions.
In summary, Bitcoin’s technical weakness, combined with stock market correlations and institutional shifts, creates a complex but actionable trading environment. Staying updated on both crypto-specific data and broader financial trends will be essential for traders aiming to leverage these movements, whether through short-term plays or longer-term positioning.
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Mihir
@RhythmicAnalystCrypto educator and technical analyst who developed 15+ trading indicators, blending software expertise with Vedic astrology research.