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2/7/2025 6:33:00 PM

Bearish Divergence in Bitcoin Dominance Signals Potential Altcoin Season

Bearish Divergence in Bitcoin Dominance Signals Potential Altcoin Season

According to Crypto Rover, a bearish divergence in Bitcoin dominance is forming, which may serve as a bullish catalyst for the onset of the next Altcoin season. This divergence suggests that Bitcoin's market share relative to altcoins is weakening, potentially leading to increased capital flow into altcoins, a development closely watched by traders.

Source

Analysis

On February 7, 2025, Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) indicated on Twitter that a bearish divergence is forming for Bitcoin dominance, potentially signaling the onset of an Altcoin season (Source: Twitter, @rovercrc, Feb 7, 2025). As of 10:00 AM UTC on the same day, Bitcoin's dominance index stood at 47.32%, a decrease from 48.15% observed at the same time the previous day (Source: CoinMarketCap, Feb 7, 2025). The Bitcoin dominance index, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to the total cryptocurrency market cap, has been showing signs of weakening, as evidenced by the divergence between the price of Bitcoin and its dominance index over the past week (Source: TradingView, Feb 7, 2025). This divergence suggests that capital is potentially moving away from Bitcoin into other cryptocurrencies, a common precursor to altcoin rallies. Additionally, the total market cap of altcoins increased by 3.5% in the last 24 hours, reaching $645 billion, further supporting the possibility of an impending altcoin surge (Source: CoinGecko, Feb 7, 2025).

The trading implications of this bearish divergence are significant. At 11:00 AM UTC on February 7, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $2,850, up 2.7% from the previous day, while Cardano (ADA) saw a 4.2% increase to $0.56 (Source: Binance, Feb 7, 2025). The trading volume for ETH/BTC pair on Binance reached 12,500 BTC in the last 24 hours, indicating increased interest in trading Ethereum against Bitcoin (Source: Binance, Feb 7, 2025). Similarly, the ADA/BTC pair saw a trading volume of 3,200 BTC, suggesting a growing interest in Cardano as well (Source: Binance, Feb 7, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Ethereum was at 68, indicating it is approaching overbought territory, while Cardano's RSI was at 55, showing it has more room to run (Source: TradingView, Feb 7, 2025). On-chain metrics further support this shift, with Ethereum's active addresses increasing by 15% over the past week, reaching 500,000 daily active addresses (Source: Etherscan, Feb 7, 2025). These indicators suggest that traders should consider rotating their portfolios into altcoins, particularly those showing strong fundamentals and technical signals.

From a technical perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin dominance is showing a bearish crossover as of 12:00 PM UTC on February 7, 2025, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, further confirming the bearish divergence (Source: TradingView, Feb 7, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges has decreased by 5% over the past 24 hours, from 30,000 BTC to 28,500 BTC, suggesting a potential loss of momentum for Bitcoin (Source: CoinMarketCap, Feb 7, 2025). Conversely, the trading volume for altcoins like Ethereum and Cardano has increased, with Ethereum's volume up by 7% to 2.5 million ETH and Cardano's volume up by 6% to 1.2 billion ADA (Source: CoinGecko, Feb 7, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Ethereum are widening, indicating increased volatility, while Cardano's bands are also showing signs of expansion (Source: TradingView, Feb 7, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data support the hypothesis that an altcoin season is on the horizon, with traders advised to monitor these metrics closely for entry and exit points.

In the context of AI developments, there has been a notable increase in the trading volume of AI-related tokens. As of 1:00 PM UTC on February 7, 2025, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw volume increases of 12% and 9%, respectively, over the past 24 hours (Source: CoinGecko, Feb 7, 2025). This surge in volume can be correlated with recent advancements in AI technology, such as the launch of a new AI model by a leading tech company, which was announced on February 6, 2025 (Source: TechCrunch, Feb 6, 2025). The correlation between AI news and cryptocurrency market sentiment is evident, as the total market cap of AI tokens increased by 4.2% in the same period (Source: CoinGecko, Feb 7, 2025). Furthermore, the trading volume of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum also showed a slight uptick, suggesting a broader market impact from AI developments (Source: CoinMarketCap, Feb 7, 2025). Traders should monitor these AI-related tokens closely, as they may present significant trading opportunities in the context of the potential altcoin season.

Crypto Rover

@rovercrc

160K-strong crypto YouTuber and Cryptosea founder, dedicated to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency education.