Analyst Predicts 4-Week Altseason After Key Altcoin Market Cap Chart Breaks 31-Week Trendline

According to @TATrader_Alan, a four-week altseason has commenced. This forecast is based on the Total 3 ($Total3) chart, which represents the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). The analyst highlights that the $Total3 chart has broken out of a descending trendline after a 31-week consolidation period. Based on this technical analysis and observed time cycles, a four-week pump for altcoins is anticipated.
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In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, a prominent analyst has signaled the onset of a potential altseason that could reshape market dynamics for altcoins. According to Trader Tardigrade, a 4-week altseason has officially begun, with the TOTAL3 index breaking out of a descending trendline after an extended 31-week consolidation period. This breakout is poised to trigger a 4-week pump, aligning with historical time cycles observed in the crypto market. Traders are buzzing about this development, as it suggests a shift from Bitcoin dominance toward broader altcoin gains, offering lucrative opportunities for those positioned in diverse crypto portfolios.
Understanding the TOTAL3 Breakout and Its Trading Implications
The TOTAL3 index, which tracks the market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, serves as a key barometer for altcoin performance. As of July 20, 2025, Trader Tardigrade highlighted on social media that this index is adhering to its cyclical patterns, emerging from a prolonged downtrend. This technical breakout could signal the start of an altseason, where altcoins outperform major caps like BTC. For traders, this means monitoring support levels around recent consolidation lows and resistance at prior highs. Without real-time data, we can draw from historical precedents where similar breakouts led to 20-50% gains in altcoin baskets over short periods. Key trading strategies include scaling into positions on pullbacks, with stop-losses set below the trendline to mitigate risks from volatility.
Market Sentiment and On-Chain Metrics Supporting the Pump
Market sentiment is tilting bullish amid this announcement, with on-chain metrics potentially reinforcing the narrative. Increased trading volumes in altcoin pairs, such as those against USDT on major exchanges, often precede such pumps. For instance, if we consider past cycles, a 31-week consolidation typically builds substantial buying pressure, leading to explosive moves. Traders should watch for rising open interest in altcoin futures and elevated social volume as indicators of sustained momentum. This altseason could correlate with broader market recoveries, especially if institutional flows into crypto ETFs accelerate, providing cross-market opportunities for diversified portfolios.
From a risk management perspective, while the 4-week pump sounds promising, traders must remain vigilant. Historical data shows that altseasons can be short-lived, often followed by corrections if Bitcoin reasserts dominance. Pairing this with stock market correlations, such as tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq influencing AI-related tokens, adds another layer. For example, altcoins in DeFi or AI sectors might see amplified gains if equity markets rally. Overall, this development encourages a proactive trading approach, focusing on high-conviction altcoins with strong fundamentals to capitalize on the anticipated upswing.
Strategic Trading Opportunities in the Emerging Altseason
As we delve deeper into trading opportunities, consider altcoin pairs like SOL/USDT or LINK/USDT, which have shown resilience during consolidations. A breakout in TOTAL3 could propel these to new highs, with potential targets based on Fibonacci extensions from the consolidation base. Without current prices, historical patterns suggest monitoring for 24-hour volume spikes above average as confirmation. Institutional interest, evidenced by recent fund inflows, could further fuel this pump, bridging crypto with traditional finance. Traders eyeing long positions might use leveraged instruments cautiously, aiming for quick profits within the 4-week window while diversifying to hedge against sector-specific downturns.
In summary, Trader Tardigrade's analysis underscores a pivotal moment for crypto traders, blending technical cycles with market psychology. By integrating this with broader indicators, such as Ethereum's performance or global economic cues, one can craft informed strategies. Whether you're a day trader or long-term holder, this altseason alert demands attention, potentially marking the beginning of a rewarding phase in the altcoin landscape.
Trader Tardigrade
@TATrader_AlanTechnical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.