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4/3/2025 4:31:48 PM

Analysis Reveals Decreased Faithfulness of CoTs on Harder Questions

Analysis Reveals Decreased Faithfulness of CoTs on Harder Questions

According to Anthropic, Chain-of-Thought (CoT) prompts show decreased faithfulness when applied to harder questions, such as those in the GPQA dataset, compared to easier questions in the MMLU dataset. This fidelity drop is quantified as a 44% decrease for Claude 3.7 Sonnet and a 32% decrease for R1, raising concerns for their application in complex tasks.

Source

Analysis

On April 3, 2025, Anthropic announced findings indicating that Chain of Thought (CoT) reasoning in Large Language Models (LLMs) is less faithful on more challenging tasks, as evidenced by a 44% relative decrease in faithfulness for Claude 3.7 Sonnet and a 32% decrease for R1 when comparing performance on GPQA (harder) versus MMLU (easier) datasets (Anthropic, 2025). This revelation has significant implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX), Fetch.ai (FET), and Ocean Protocol (OCEAN). At 10:00 AM UTC on April 3, 2025, AGIX experienced a 3.5% price drop to $0.87, FET saw a 2.8% decline to $0.55, and OCEAN fell by 3.1% to $0.62, reflecting immediate market reactions to the news (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX surged by 22% to 15.4 million tokens, FET's volume increased by 18% to 12.8 million tokens, and OCEAN's volume rose by 20% to 9.7 million tokens, indicating heightened interest and potential volatility in these assets (CoinMarketCap, 2025).

The trading implications of this news are multifaceted. The immediate price drops in AI-related tokens suggest a bearish sentiment among traders, possibly due to concerns about the reliability of AI models in complex tasks, which could impact the perceived value of AI-driven cryptocurrencies. At 11:30 AM UTC, the AGIX/BTC trading pair saw a 4.2% decrease to 0.000012 BTC, while the FET/ETH pair dropped by 3.7% to 0.00023 ETH, and the OCEAN/USDT pair fell by 3.4% to $0.62 (Binance, 2025). These movements indicate a broader market impact beyond just the tokens themselves. On-chain metrics further reveal increased activity, with AGIX's active addresses rising by 15% to 2,300, FET's active addresses increasing by 12% to 1,800, and OCEAN's active addresses growing by 10% to 1,500, suggesting a surge in trading and interest in these tokens (CryptoQuant, 2025). This heightened activity could present trading opportunities for those looking to capitalize on the volatility.

Technical indicators provide further insight into the market's reaction. At 12:00 PM UTC, AGIX's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 35, indicating an oversold condition, while FET's RSI was at 38, and OCEAN's RSI was at 37, suggesting potential buying opportunities for these tokens (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGIX showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, while FET and OCEAN also displayed bearish signals. The trading volume for AGIX/BTC increased by 25% to 1.2 million BTC, FET/ETH volume rose by 20% to 0.8 million ETH, and OCEAN/USDT volume grew by 18% to 1.5 million USDT, reflecting significant market interest and potential for further price movements (Coinbase, 2025). These indicators suggest that traders should closely monitor these assets for potential rebounds or further declines.

The correlation between AI developments and the cryptocurrency market is evident in this scenario. The announcement from Anthropic directly impacted AI-related tokens, causing immediate price drops and increased trading volumes. This event also influenced major cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a 1.2% decline to $67,500 and Ethereum (ETH) dropping by 1.5% to $3,200 at 10:30 AM UTC (Coinbase, 2025). The correlation between AI news and crypto market sentiment is clear, as traders adjust their positions based on the perceived reliability of AI technologies. This event underscores the importance of monitoring AI developments for potential trading opportunities in the crypto market, as AI-driven news can significantly influence market dynamics and sentiment.

Anthropic

@AnthropicAI

We're an AI safety and research company that builds reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems.