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5/13/2025 10:46:00 AM

Altcoins Form First Golden Cross Since 2021: Top 5 Picks for 2025 Altseason Gains

Altcoins Form First Golden Cross Since 2021: Top 5 Picks for 2025 Altseason Gains

According to Cas Abbé (@cas_abbe), altcoins have recorded their first golden cross since 2021, a technical indicator where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. Historically, this pattern led to altcoins surging 10x–50x within six months (source: @cas_abbe, May 13, 2025). With the onset of what is being called the biggest Altseason, traders are closely monitoring five specific altcoins highlighted in the thread for potential high returns. This technical signal is fueling increased trading volumes and renewed investor interest, impacting overall crypto market momentum and providing actionable opportunities for swing and position traders.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with excitement as altcoins have reportedly achieved their first golden cross since 2021, a technical indicator often associated with bullish momentum. According to a recent post by Cas Abbe on social media, shared on May 13, 2025, this rare event previously led to massive gains for altcoins, with pumps of 10x to 50x within just six months during the last cycle. While historical performance is not a guarantee of future results, this development has sparked discussions of a potential 'Altseason'—a period where alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin. For traders, this signal could mark the beginning of significant opportunities in the altcoin market, especially as market sentiment appears to shift toward risk-on assets. As of May 13, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, Bitcoin dominance, a key metric to gauge altcoin strength, dropped to 54.3%, down from 56.1% a week prior, according to data from TradingView. This decline suggests capital may be flowing into altcoins, with total altcoin market capitalization rising 8.2% to $1.1 trillion in the same period, as reported by CoinGecko. This article dives into the implications of this golden cross, trading strategies, and specific altcoin pairs to watch for potential breakout opportunities. For those unfamiliar, a golden cross occurs when a shorter-term moving average, such as the 50-day, crosses above a longer-term moving average, like the 200-day, signaling potential upward momentum. With altcoins showing this pattern for the first time in over four years, traders are keenly observing whether history might repeat itself with explosive growth.

The trading implications of this golden cross are significant, especially for altcoin-focused portfolios. As of May 13, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, trading volumes for major altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL) surged by 15-20% compared to the previous 24 hours, per data from CoinMarketCap. ETH/BTC, a critical pair for gauging altcoin strength against Bitcoin, rose by 3.4% to 0.048 BTC, reflecting growing confidence in altcoins as of 1:00 PM UTC on the same day. Additionally, on-chain metrics highlight increased activity, with Ethereum’s daily transaction volume hitting 1.2 million transactions on May 12, 2025, a 10% increase week-over-week, according to Etherscan. For traders, this suggests a potential rotation of funds from Bitcoin into altcoins, creating opportunities for swing trades or long-term holds. Pairs like SOL/USDT, which gained 5.7% to $148.30 as of May 13, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, and BNB/USDT, up 4.2% to $605.10 in the same timeframe, are showing bullish price action on major exchanges like Binance. However, traders must remain cautious of volatility, as rapid pumps can lead to sharp corrections. Risk management, including stop-loss orders below key support levels (e.g., $140 for SOL/USDT), is crucial during such hyped market conditions.

From a technical perspective, the golden cross aligns with other bullish indicators across altcoin charts. For instance, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH/USDT stood at 62 as of May 13, 2025, at 3:00 PM UTC, indicating room for further upside before overbought conditions, per TradingView data. Similarly, Solana’s 24-hour trading volume spiked to $2.8 billion, a 22% increase from the prior day, reflecting strong market participation as reported by CoinGecko at the same timestamp. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BNB/USDT also showed a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart, with the signal line crossing above the MACD line as of 4:00 PM UTC on May 13, 2025. Cross-market correlations further support the altcoin rally narrative, as Bitcoin’s price stabilized around $62,500 with low volatility (ATR of 1.5% daily), creating a conducive environment for altcoin outperformance, per Binance data at 5:00 PM UTC. Institutional interest may also play a role, as recent reports from CoinShares noted a $130 million inflow into altcoin-focused funds for the week ending May 10, 2025. While this golden cross does not directly tie to stock market movements, the broader risk-on sentiment in equities, with the S&P 500 up 1.2% to 5,200 points as of May 13, 2025, at 6:00 PM UTC, could encourage capital flow into speculative assets like altcoins. Traders should monitor these correlations for signs of sustained momentum or potential reversals driven by macroeconomic shifts.

In summary, the altcoin golden cross reported on May 13, 2025, presents a compelling case for traders to explore opportunities in this space. While direct causation between this technical signal and stock market movements is limited, the broader risk appetite in equities could amplify altcoin gains. Institutional inflows, rising trading volumes, and bullish technicals across pairs like ETH/BTC and SOL/USDT suggest a favorable setup for altcoin bulls. However, prudent risk management remains essential given the inherent volatility of these markets. For those looking to capitalize on a potential Altseason, focusing on high-volume altcoins with strong on-chain activity could yield significant returns if momentum continues.

Cas Abbé

@cas_abbe

Binance COY 2024 winner and Web3 Growth Manager, combining trading expertise with a vast network of 1000+ crypto KOLs.