Altcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating Downtrend and Timing the Next Bull Cycle – Insights from Michaël van de Poppe

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the current downward momentum in altcoins presents a challenging period for traders, but he emphasizes that selling altcoins just before a bull cycle can lead to missed profit opportunities (Source: Twitter, May 24, 2025). For trading strategy, this suggests that patient holding during market corrections may be beneficial, especially as historical cycles show strong altcoin recoveries following bear phases. Traders should closely monitor price action, on-chain data, and macroeconomic signals to optimize entry and exit points, and to avoid panic selling at cycle lows. This trading perspective is valuable for those seeking to maximize gains from the anticipated altcoin bull run.
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From a trading perspective, van de Poppe’s comments highlight a classic dilemma: the risk of selling low versus the pain of holding through further declines. For altcoin traders, this period of downward momentum presents both risks and opportunities. On-chain data from Glassnode, as of May 24, 2025, shows that ADA’s active addresses dropped by 12% week-over-week to 320,000, signaling reduced network activity and potential bearish sentiment. However, whale transactions for SOL, valued over $100,000, increased by 9% to 1,200 transactions in the last 24 hours as of May 24, 2025, 8:00 AM UTC, suggesting institutional or large-player accumulation. This divergence between retail and whale behavior could foreshadow a reversal if broader market sentiment shifts. Traders might consider setting stop-losses below key support levels, such as $0.42 for ADA and $158 for SOL, while monitoring Bitcoin’s price action for directional cues. Additionally, the altcoin market’s correlation with stock indices like the S&P 500, currently at 0.65 as of May 24, 2025, per TradingView data, indicates that macroeconomic events could sway crypto prices. A potential rate cut signal from the Federal Reserve, expected in upcoming economic reports, could boost risk appetite and drive inflows into altcoins. For now, altcoin trading pairs like SOL/BTC and ADA/BTC are showing relative weakness, with SOL/BTC down 2.3% to 0.00238 as of May 24, 2025, 11:00 AM UTC, suggesting underperformance against Bitcoin.
Diving into technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for major altcoins paints a picture of oversold conditions. As of May 24, 2025, 9:00 AM UTC, ADA’s daily RSI on Binance stood at 38, while SOL’s was at 41, both below the neutral 50 level, indicating potential for a bounce if buying pressure returns. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADA/USDT also shows a bearish crossover, with the signal line below the MACD line as of May 23, 2025, 6:00 PM UTC, reinforcing short-term downside risks. However, trading volume spikes on dips, such as a 15% volume increase for SOL/USDT to $320 million on Binance during a price drop at May 23, 2025, 3:00 PM UTC, suggest dip-buying activity. Cross-market analysis reveals that altcoins remain tied to Bitcoin’s dominance, which rose to 54.2% as of May 24, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC, per CoinMarketCap data, signaling capital rotation away from altcoins. Meanwhile, institutional flows into crypto, as tracked by CoinShares, showed a net outflow of $120 million from altcoin funds for the week ending May 23, 2025, compared to a $50 million inflow into Bitcoin funds, indicating a flight to safety. Traders should watch for a break above key resistance levels, such as $0.46 for ADA and $165 for SOL, to confirm bullish momentum. Until then, the interplay between stock market risk sentiment and crypto-specific metrics will likely dictate altcoin price action. This dynamic underscores the importance of van de Poppe’s advice to avoid panic-selling ahead of a potential cycle shift.
In summary, while altcoins face downward pressure, the current market setup offers strategic entry points for patient traders. The correlation between crypto and stock markets suggests that broader economic indicators could catalyze a reversal, especially if institutional money flows back into risk assets. For now, monitoring on-chain metrics, technical levels, and Bitcoin’s dominance will be crucial for navigating this volatile phase in altcoin trading.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast