Altcoin Market in Depression, Bull Run Yet to Begin: Michaël van de Poppe

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the altcoin market is currently in a state of depression, indicating that the expected bull market phase has not yet commenced. Traders should note that this observation suggests potential future upward momentum in altcoin prices. This insight is essential for strategizing entry points, as current prices may reflect discounted valuations prior to a potential market rise.
SourceAnalysis
On March 30, 2025, Michaël van de Poppe, a well-known cryptocurrency analyst, tweeted about the current state of the altcoin market, stating, "We're at depression with #Altcoins. The bull market hasn't even started" (Twitter, @CryptoMichNL, March 30, 2025). This statement was accompanied by a chart illustrating the significant downturn in altcoin prices. Specifically, at 10:00 AM UTC on March 30, 2025, the total market capitalization of altcoins stood at $350 billion, a decrease of 25% from the previous month (CoinMarketCap, March 30, 2025). Notable altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) experienced declines of 15%, 20%, and 22% respectively over the past 30 days (CoinGecko, March 30, 2025). The trading volume for these altcoins also saw a sharp decline, with ETH trading volume dropping from $15 billion to $10 billion, ADA from $2 billion to $1.2 billion, and SOL from $1.8 billion to $1 billion between February 28 and March 30, 2025 (CryptoCompare, March 30, 2025). This data indicates a significant loss of investor confidence in the altcoin market, aligning with van de Poppe's assessment of a market in depression.
The trading implications of this market depression are profound. As of 11:00 AM UTC on March 30, 2025, the ETH/BTC trading pair was trading at 0.05 BTC, down from 0.06 BTC a month earlier, reflecting a 16.67% decrease (Binance, March 30, 2025). Similarly, the ADA/BTC pair dropped from 0.000025 BTC to 0.000020 BTC, a 20% decline, and the SOL/BTC pair fell from 0.00022 BTC to 0.00017 BTC, a 22.73% decrease (Kraken, March 30, 2025). These declines in altcoin values against Bitcoin suggest a flight to safety among investors, with Bitcoin being perceived as a more stable asset during this period of market uncertainty. On-chain metrics further corroborate this trend, with the number of active addresses on the Ethereum network decreasing by 15% from 500,000 to 425,000 between February 28 and March 30, 2025 (Etherscan, March 30, 2025). This reduction in network activity indicates a decrease in user engagement and transaction volume, which is a critical indicator of market health.
Technical indicators also reflect the bearish sentiment in the altcoin market. As of 12:00 PM UTC on March 30, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH was at 35, indicating an oversold condition (TradingView, March 30, 2025). Similarly, ADA's RSI stood at 30, and SOL's at 28, both also in oversold territory (Coinigy, March 30, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for these altcoins showed bearish signals, with ETH's MACD line crossing below the signal line on March 25, 2025, and ADA and SOL following suit on March 27 and March 28, respectively (CryptoWatch, March 30, 2025). The trading volume for these altcoins has been consistently declining, with ETH's 24-hour trading volume at $10 billion on March 30, 2025, down from $15 billion on February 28, 2025 (Coinbase, March 30, 2025). This volume reduction, coupled with the technical indicators, suggests that the market may be nearing a bottom, potentially setting the stage for a recovery if positive catalysts emerge.
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments reported on March 30, 2025, that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the general market sentiment towards AI tokens remains correlated with the broader crypto market. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 18% decline in value over the past month, mirroring the downturn in altcoins (CoinGecko, March 30, 2025). The correlation coefficient between AGIX and the total altcoin market cap was calculated at 0.85, indicating a strong positive correlation (CryptoQuant, March 30, 2025). This suggests that AI tokens are not immune to the broader market trends, and their performance is closely tied to the overall health of the altcoin market. Monitoring AI-driven trading volumes, there has been a 10% decrease in trading volume for AI tokens over the past month, from $500 million to $450 million (CoinMarketCap, March 30, 2025). This decline in volume further underscores the bearish sentiment affecting the entire crypto ecosystem, including AI-related assets.
The trading implications of this market depression are profound. As of 11:00 AM UTC on March 30, 2025, the ETH/BTC trading pair was trading at 0.05 BTC, down from 0.06 BTC a month earlier, reflecting a 16.67% decrease (Binance, March 30, 2025). Similarly, the ADA/BTC pair dropped from 0.000025 BTC to 0.000020 BTC, a 20% decline, and the SOL/BTC pair fell from 0.00022 BTC to 0.00017 BTC, a 22.73% decrease (Kraken, March 30, 2025). These declines in altcoin values against Bitcoin suggest a flight to safety among investors, with Bitcoin being perceived as a more stable asset during this period of market uncertainty. On-chain metrics further corroborate this trend, with the number of active addresses on the Ethereum network decreasing by 15% from 500,000 to 425,000 between February 28 and March 30, 2025 (Etherscan, March 30, 2025). This reduction in network activity indicates a decrease in user engagement and transaction volume, which is a critical indicator of market health.
Technical indicators also reflect the bearish sentiment in the altcoin market. As of 12:00 PM UTC on March 30, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH was at 35, indicating an oversold condition (TradingView, March 30, 2025). Similarly, ADA's RSI stood at 30, and SOL's at 28, both also in oversold territory (Coinigy, March 30, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for these altcoins showed bearish signals, with ETH's MACD line crossing below the signal line on March 25, 2025, and ADA and SOL following suit on March 27 and March 28, respectively (CryptoWatch, March 30, 2025). The trading volume for these altcoins has been consistently declining, with ETH's 24-hour trading volume at $10 billion on March 30, 2025, down from $15 billion on February 28, 2025 (Coinbase, March 30, 2025). This volume reduction, coupled with the technical indicators, suggests that the market may be nearing a bottom, potentially setting the stage for a recovery if positive catalysts emerge.
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments reported on March 30, 2025, that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the general market sentiment towards AI tokens remains correlated with the broader crypto market. For instance, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 18% decline in value over the past month, mirroring the downturn in altcoins (CoinGecko, March 30, 2025). The correlation coefficient between AGIX and the total altcoin market cap was calculated at 0.85, indicating a strong positive correlation (CryptoQuant, March 30, 2025). This suggests that AI tokens are not immune to the broader market trends, and their performance is closely tied to the overall health of the altcoin market. Monitoring AI-driven trading volumes, there has been a 10% decrease in trading volume for AI tokens over the past month, from $500 million to $450 million (CoinMarketCap, March 30, 2025). This decline in volume further underscores the bearish sentiment affecting the entire crypto ecosystem, including AI-related assets.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast