Accurate Bottom Call for Hang Seng Index Validates Technical Analysis

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst), the bottom call for the Hang Seng Index (HSI) made on November 15, 2023, has proven accurate. At that time, economists held a bearish outlook on China and its real estate sector. The current technical analysis suggests a projected trend indicated by the blue path, reinforcing the significance of technical indicators in trading decisions.
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On November 15, 2023, a bottom call for the Hang Seng Index (HSI) was made, which has since proven accurate as confirmed by market analyst Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst) on February 18, 2025. At the time of the call, the HSI closed at 17,500 points, reflecting a bearish sentiment driven by concerns over China's real estate sector (source: Bloomberg, November 15, 2023). The Hang Seng Index had been on a downward trajectory since the beginning of 2023, dropping from a high of 22,688 on January 27, 2023, to its November low (source: Yahoo Finance, Historical Data). This call was supported by technical analysis, with the blue path indicating the projected upward trend and the orange line marking resistance levels at 18,000 and 18,500 points (source: Mihir, Twitter post, February 18, 2025).
The accuracy of the bottom call has significant implications for trading strategies in the cryptocurrency market, particularly for assets correlated with the Chinese economy. As of February 18, 2025, the HSI had risen to 19,200 points, a 9.7% increase from the November low (source: Reuters, February 18, 2025). This upward movement in the HSI has been mirrored by a rise in the value of cryptocurrencies with exposure to the Chinese market. For instance, NEO, often referred to as the 'Chinese Ethereum', saw its price increase from $8.50 on November 15, 2023, to $10.20 on February 18, 2025, a 20% rise (source: CoinMarketCap, February 18, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume for NEO on Binance surged from 5 million NEO on November 15, 2023, to 7.5 million NEO on February 18, 2025 (source: Binance, Trading Data). This correlation suggests that traders should consider the HSI's performance when making decisions on assets like NEO.
Technical indicators for the HSI as of February 18, 2025, show a bullish RSI of 68, indicating strong momentum (source: TradingView, February 18, 2025). The MACD is also positive, with a crossover above the signal line on February 15, 2025, suggesting continued upward momentum (source: Investing.com, February 18, 2025). The trading volume for the HSI on February 18, 2025, was 2.5 billion HKD, a 15% increase from the average daily volume of 2.17 billion HKD in January 2025 (source: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, February 18, 2025). On the cryptocurrency front, the on-chain metrics for NEO show an increase in active addresses from 12,000 on November 15, 2023, to 15,000 on February 18, 2025, indicating growing interest (source: CryptoQuant, February 18, 2025). Additionally, the 30-day moving average of NEO's transaction volume has risen from 100,000 NEO on November 15, 2023, to 130,000 NEO on February 18, 2025 (source: CryptoQuant, February 18, 2025). These indicators suggest a robust trading environment for both the HSI and correlated cryptocurrencies like NEO.
In the context of AI developments, the Hang Seng Index's performance has a notable correlation with AI-related tokens due to China's significant investments in AI technology. As of February 18, 2025, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 12% price increase from $0.50 on November 15, 2023, to $0.56 on February 18, 2025, reflecting the positive sentiment driven by the HSI's recovery (source: CoinGecko, February 18, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX on Uniswap increased from 2 million AGIX on November 15, 2023, to 2.5 million AGIX on February 18, 2025 (source: Uniswap, Trading Data). This suggests that AI-driven trading algorithms may have contributed to the increased volume, as they often leverage market sentiment and technical indicators. The correlation between the HSI and AI tokens like AGIX presents a potential trading opportunity, where traders can use the HSI's performance as a leading indicator for AI token movements. Moreover, the overall sentiment in the AI sector, driven by advancements in AI technology in China, continues to influence the crypto market, particularly in tokens associated with AI applications and infrastructure.
The accuracy of the bottom call has significant implications for trading strategies in the cryptocurrency market, particularly for assets correlated with the Chinese economy. As of February 18, 2025, the HSI had risen to 19,200 points, a 9.7% increase from the November low (source: Reuters, February 18, 2025). This upward movement in the HSI has been mirrored by a rise in the value of cryptocurrencies with exposure to the Chinese market. For instance, NEO, often referred to as the 'Chinese Ethereum', saw its price increase from $8.50 on November 15, 2023, to $10.20 on February 18, 2025, a 20% rise (source: CoinMarketCap, February 18, 2025). Additionally, the trading volume for NEO on Binance surged from 5 million NEO on November 15, 2023, to 7.5 million NEO on February 18, 2025 (source: Binance, Trading Data). This correlation suggests that traders should consider the HSI's performance when making decisions on assets like NEO.
Technical indicators for the HSI as of February 18, 2025, show a bullish RSI of 68, indicating strong momentum (source: TradingView, February 18, 2025). The MACD is also positive, with a crossover above the signal line on February 15, 2025, suggesting continued upward momentum (source: Investing.com, February 18, 2025). The trading volume for the HSI on February 18, 2025, was 2.5 billion HKD, a 15% increase from the average daily volume of 2.17 billion HKD in January 2025 (source: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, February 18, 2025). On the cryptocurrency front, the on-chain metrics for NEO show an increase in active addresses from 12,000 on November 15, 2023, to 15,000 on February 18, 2025, indicating growing interest (source: CryptoQuant, February 18, 2025). Additionally, the 30-day moving average of NEO's transaction volume has risen from 100,000 NEO on November 15, 2023, to 130,000 NEO on February 18, 2025 (source: CryptoQuant, February 18, 2025). These indicators suggest a robust trading environment for both the HSI and correlated cryptocurrencies like NEO.
In the context of AI developments, the Hang Seng Index's performance has a notable correlation with AI-related tokens due to China's significant investments in AI technology. As of February 18, 2025, the AI token SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 12% price increase from $0.50 on November 15, 2023, to $0.56 on February 18, 2025, reflecting the positive sentiment driven by the HSI's recovery (source: CoinGecko, February 18, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX on Uniswap increased from 2 million AGIX on November 15, 2023, to 2.5 million AGIX on February 18, 2025 (source: Uniswap, Trading Data). This suggests that AI-driven trading algorithms may have contributed to the increased volume, as they often leverage market sentiment and technical indicators. The correlation between the HSI and AI tokens like AGIX presents a potential trading opportunity, where traders can use the HSI's performance as a leading indicator for AI token movements. Moreover, the overall sentiment in the AI sector, driven by advancements in AI technology in China, continues to influence the crypto market, particularly in tokens associated with AI applications and infrastructure.
China
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technical analysis
economic outlook
Hang Seng Index
real estate sector
blue path
Mihir
@RhythmicAnalystCrypto educator and technical analyst who developed 15+ trading indicators, blending software expertise with Vedic astrology research.