According to @lookonchain, a whale with the wallet address 0x9626 is on the verge of liquidation for a significant short position on Ethereum (ETH). The trader is using 25x leverage and currently holds a short position of 12,500 ETH, valued at $40.7 million, even after partially closing the position. The analysis indicates the position has an unrealized loss of over $2 million, with a critical liquidation price of $3,279.57. A move above this price could trigger a forced closure, potentially causing significant volatility and a short squeeze in the ETH market.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, market sentiment for the PUMP token has become increasingly bullish, even as its Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) climbed from $4 billion to $6.5 billion. Trading data reveals that the Open Interest (OI) for PUMP perpetual contracts has reached a massive $616 million on Hyperliquid, with Binance following at $169 million. Combined, these two platforms account for 92.7% of the total OI. Critically for traders, the funding rates across the top 10 platforms by contract volume are all positive, indicating that long-position holders are willing to pay a premium, which signals a strong prevailing bullish sentiment in the derivatives market.

According to @lookonchain, a crypto whale with address 0x5D2F is currently facing an unrealized loss of over $10 million on a significant 1,135 BTC short position, valued at approximately $132.65 million. To mitigate the risk of forced liquidation, the trader has deposited an additional 5.5 million USDC into the derivatives platform Hyperliquid. This strategic deposit of collateral has raised the new liquidation price for the Bitcoin (BTC) short position to $121,080, as verified on hypurrscan.io. This large position is being closely watched as its potential liquidation could introduce volatility into the market.

According to @FarsideUK, historical data suggests a bullish trend for Bitcoin (BTC) in July, with the cryptocurrency rising in all but three Julys over the past decade for an average increase of about 7%, based on CoinGlass data. Analysis from market maker Wintermute further supports this, finding that since 2022, July is the only month combining relatively strong gains with subdued investor sentiment. Institutional interest is surging, as publicly listed firms acquired approximately 131,000 BTC in the second quarter, an 18% jump that surpassed the 8% increase in U.S. spot-ETF holdings. From a derivatives perspective, while BTC and Ethereum (ETH) futures open interest remains flat, XRP's open interest has reached a four-week high with signals of bearish bets, according to the source. Traders should monitor key upcoming token unlocks, including Ethena (ENA) on July 2, Aptos (APT) on July 12, and Arbitrum (ARB) on July 16, as well as macroeconomic events like the U.S. payrolls report which will likely influence Federal Reserve policy.

According to @BitMEXResearch, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a period of extremely low price turbulence, with the 30-day implied volatility index (DVOL) falling below 40% to its lowest level in nearly two years. Despite this calm, market makers are signaling that such periods rarely last. Jimmy Yang, co-founder of Orbit Markets, suggests that with the market direction unclear, going long on volatility through instruments like volatility swaps is a viable strategy to position for future price movement. The market is receiving mixed signals, with continued inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs being counteracted by selling from long-term holders and flat open interest in futures, creating uncertainty about the sustainability of any price rally. Traders are also watching upcoming U.S. labor market data for clues on the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy. Additionally, historical analysis from market maker Wintermute indicates that July has typically been a month of positive returns for BTC, while a potential 'death cross' on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) chart presents a key macro indicator to monitor.

According to FarsideUK, Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a historically strong month, with data from CoinGlass showing an average July increase of around 7% over the past 10 years. Despite this, market maker Wintermute notes that current investor sentiment, measured by funding rates, remains subdued. A significant trend for traders is the surge in institutional buying, with public firms purchasing approximately 131,000 BTC in the second quarter, an 18% jump that surpassed the growth in U.S. spot-ETF holdings. Derivatives markets reflect trader indifference, as BTC and ETH futures open interest remains flat. However, data from Farside Investors shows spot BTC ETFs experienced a daily net outflow of $342.2 million. Key upcoming events include the U.S. payrolls report, which will influence Federal Reserve policy, and significant token unlocks for Ethena (ENA), Aptos (APT), and Arbitrum (ARB) that could introduce volatility.

According to @GreeksLive, reports that crypto exchange OKX is considering a U.S. initial public offering (IPO) triggered a significant, albeit temporary, 9.8% price spike in its native token, OKB, which jumped from approximately $50 to $55.11 before retracing. OKX's Chief Marketing Officer, Haider Rafique, confirmed the exchange would 'absolutely consider an IPO in the future,' with the U.S. as the preferred market, signaling growing confidence in its U.S. operations. This news aligns with a broader trend of crypto firms like Kraken and Bullish planning to go public. Concurrently, the institutional adoption of crypto is accelerating, as evidenced by derivatives exchange Deribit. Its Block Request-for-Quote (RFQ) tool for large institutional trades has processed over $23 billion in cumulative volume in less than four months since its March launch. Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers noted the system's success reflects 'strong institutional demand' for derivatives on assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL), enhancing liquidity and execution for professional traders.

According to @lookonchain, a trader on the decentralized derivatives exchange HyperLiquid, known as AguilaTrades, experienced a significant reversal, turning a $10 million unrealized profit on a Bitcoin (BTC) long position into a $2.5 million realized loss. The loss occurred after BTC's price fell 4% from a high of $108,800 to around $104,000. The source notes this is a recurring issue for the trader, who previously converted a $5.8 million profit into a $12.5 million loss. This event highlights the risks of using high leverage in the current market, where Bitcoin has been range-bound between approximately $100,000 support and $110,000 resistance since May 9, repeatedly catching out directional traders.

According to @GreeksLive, institutional demand for cryptocurrency derivatives is rapidly accelerating, evidenced by crypto exchange Deribit's on-demand liquidity tool, the Block RFQ interface, achieving over $23 billion in cumulative trading volume in under four months. This system, designed for institutions and high-volume traders of assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL), allows for efficient execution of large block trades with minimal market impact, as noted by Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers. The share of block trades via RFQ has grown to 27.5% in June. Separately, the report highlights the risks of corporate crypto strategies, with Semler Scientific's (SMLR) stock falling nearly 50% and trading below the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Despite this, Fundstrat's Tom Lee identifies SMLR as a potential "Granny shot" investment opportunity, suggesting value for contrarian investors.

According to @CoinbaseIntExch, the crypto exchange will launch perpetual-style futures contracts for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) in the U.S. starting July 21. These CFTC-regulated instruments will trade on the Coinbase Derivatives Exchange and are structured as long-dated futures with a funding rate mechanism to mimic perpetual swaps, potentially introducing new liquidity and trading vehicles for U.S. traders. Separately, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong confirmed the company is buying more Bitcoin every week, a move that signals strong institutional conviction. This follows a previous disclosure by CFO Alesia Haas of a $150 million crypto purchase in Q1 2025, primarily in Bitcoin. The company's balance sheet currently holds 9,257 BTC, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries.net, positioning it as a top publicly-listed holder of the asset.

According to @GreeksLive, crypto derivatives exchange Deribit is experiencing a surge in institutional demand, with its Block Request-for-Quote (RFQ) interface registering over $23 billion in cumulative trading volume in less than four months since its March debut. Deribit's CEO, Luuk Strijers, highlighted that the system's success, with RFQ block trades now accounting for 27.5% of the total, reflects strong institutional interest and a focus on trade quality for large OTC transactions in assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL). Despite recent market volatility and geopolitical tensions, analysts remain constructive on Bitcoin's long-term outlook. Valentine Fournier, an analyst at BRN, noted that growing structural demand from public entities and corporations is laying the groundwork for a rebound, and suggests Solana (SOL) could outperform in a recovery. Meanwhile, Mean Theodorou, co-founder at Coinstash, pointed to steep losses in altcoins like DOGE, ADA, and SOL as evidence of broad market de-risking, but believes they may remain active for traders seeking opportunities outside of major tokens. Traders are closely watching upcoming macro events, including Fed Chair Powell's testimony and the release of core PCE data.

According to @rovercrc, Ethereum (ETH) presents a conflicting outlook for traders, balancing significant leverage risk against a strong fundamental narrative. The firm Matrixport warns that ETH's recent rally was primarily driven by leveraged futures positions without fundamental support, making it vulnerable to sharp declines, as seen in a recent 8% weekend sell-off. This caution is echoed in the derivatives market, where QCP Capital notes that risk reversals for both BTC and ETH show a clear preference for downside protection. Conversely, a report from Etherealize, backed by ecosystem leaders, presents a bullish long-term case, labeling ETH as 'digital oil' and the essential settlement layer for a tokenized global economy. This fundamental strength is supported by technical analysis showing a double-bottom formation and strong support near the $2,500 level. Despite U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recently ending a 19-day inflow streak with a minor outflow, ETH's resilience suggests underlying bullish sentiment remains intact.

According to James Van Straten, Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable around $105,000, unaffected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hold and ongoing Middle East conflicts, due to increasing corporate treasury adoption, with public holders rising to 129 entities. However, derivatives data from Velo reveals caution, with open interest declining to $55.3 billion and elevated put/call ratios indicating potential volatility risks near current price levels.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 2.9% amid heightened geopolitical risks from Israeli airstrikes on Iran, contributing to a broad crypto market decline with the CoinDesk 20 Index down 6.1%, as reported by market data. Jake Ostrovskis, an OTC trader at Wintermute, highlighted that Solana (SOL) initially rallied on SEC ETF filing updates but later dropped nearly 9.5%, indicating market underexposure to SOL-related assets. Derivatives data from Velo showed open interest falling to $49.31 billion, with BTC and ETH put/call ratios rising to 1.28 and 1.25 respectively, signaling increased demand for downside protection. Coinglass reported $1.16 billion in liquidations, predominantly from long positions, while Farside Investors noted continued inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs despite investor caution over Middle East tensions.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $106,000, buoyed by reduced geopolitical risks after President Trump delayed a decision on U.S. entry into the Israel-Iran conflict, as per Polymarket odds shifting from 70% to 40% for immediate action. However, CryptoQuant analysts warn that BTC could drop to $92,000 if demand fails to rebound, citing a 60% decline in ETF flows since April and halved whale buying activity. Glassnode notes subdued on-chain activity reflecting institutional dominance, while derivatives data from Velo shows $131.89 million in liquidations skewed toward shorts, with BTC dominance at 65%.

According to James Van Straten, Bitcoin (BTC) remains stable around $105,000, showing resilience to the Federal Reserve's unchanged interest rates and geopolitical conflicts like the Israel-Iran war, with no drop below $100,000 for 42 days. This stability is driven by increasing corporate adoption of BTC as a treasury asset, with total holders rising to 235 entities. However, derivatives data from Velo indicates caution, as open interest fell to $55.3 billion and BTC's put/call ratio increased to 1.13, suggesting elevated risk of short-term volatility.

According to James Van Straten, Bitcoin (BTC) remains resilient at approximately $105,000, unaffected by the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and escalating Middle East conflicts, as cited in the article. This stability stems from growing corporate adoption of BTC as a treasury asset, with the total holders rising to 235 entities, per article data. However, derivatives indicators from Velo show reduced open interest at $55.3 billion, and Deribit reports a bearish BTC put/call ratio of 1.13, signaling heightened market caution despite the price holding above $100,000 for 42 consecutive days.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, bitcoin (BTC) rose to near $107,000 with a 1.7% gain, driven by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel that eased oil supply fears and boosted risk assets, though Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown expressed doubts about the truce holding. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience on rate cuts due to elevated inflation and tariff pressures, adding short-term uncertainty as noted by Bitunix analysts. Derivatives data from Wintermute indicates range-bound trading expectations around $100,000 to $105,000, while call option buying points to modest bullish sentiment.

According to Lennix Lai, institutional demand is boosting ETH, with derivatives volume at 45.2% versus BTC's 38.1% on OKX, making $3,000 ETH increasingly likely. Glassnode analysts report long-term holders are accumulating BTC despite profit-taking, indicating strong institutional conviction. CryptoQuant states the stablecoin market hit a record $228 billion, enhancing trading liquidity, with Tron leading inflows. Presto Research data shows capital rotation to Solana and Tron due to faster ecosystems. Scott Duke Kominers argues crypto is essential for AI agent interoperability. DappRadar analysts note Web3 gaming funding fell to $9 million in May, highlighting gameplay deficiencies.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) rose to near $107,000, gaining 1.7% in 24 hours, as a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel reduced oil supply fears and lifted risk assets. Susannah Streeter, head of money markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, cautioned that doubts over the ceasefire's stability could renew volatility. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's patient stance on rate cuts supports risk assets but requires close watch on inflation, as noted by Bitunix analysts. Derivatives markets indicate neutral sentiment, with Wintermute trader Jake O highlighting range-bound trading between $100,000 and $105,000 ahead of options expiry.